Tag: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds predictions pick betting line spread

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (61-47) travel north to start a 3-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers (72-33) Friday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego had a 5-game win streak snapped Thursday with a 7-3 loss to the Colorado Rockies but the Padres are 7-3 straight up (SU) over their last 10 games.

Los Angeles is 8-2 SU over its last 10 games and has won 5 straight, including a 4-game sweep at the San Francisco Giants Monday-Thursday.

Season series: The Dodgers lead 5-2 and have outscored the Padres 35-14.

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Padres at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Tony Gonsolin

Manaea is 6-5 with a 4.25 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 110 IP over 19 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 3-2, Sunday at home vs. the Minnesota Twins with 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 HR, 3 BB and 7 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Dodgers: 1 start — a 10-2 loss at home April 24 — with 4 1/3 IP, 7 R (6 ER), 6 H, 2 HR, 3 BB and 5 K.

Gonsolin is 12-1 with a 2.41 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 104 2/3 IP across 19 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 7-3, Sunday at the Rockies with 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 6 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Padres: 1 start — a 5-1 home win July 1 — with 7 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 8 K.

Padres at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:49 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-155) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Dodgers 2

Money line

BET a HALF-UNIT on the PADRES (+130) because they are 15-10 SU as road underdogs and there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market, which suggests the Dodgers (-160) could be a trap line.

The oddsmakers are at least comfortable taking more pro-L.A. action because nearly two-thirds of the handle is on the Dodgers according to Pregame.com but the line hasn’t budged at Tipico Sportsbook.

However, L.A. ranks higher than San Diego in the 3 most important phases of the game (starting and relief pitching and hitting) and the Under is my favorite look in the Padres-Dodgers.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS with a “lean” to the Padres +1.5 (-155) because they are 19-6 RL as road underdogs and I’d love some insurance for our San Diego ML wager.

But, the Dodgers are 30-20 RL as home favorites and 6 of their 7 meetings with the Padres have been decided by at least 2 runs.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 8.5 (-105).

Both starters pitch better on 4 days of rest than any other rest split, and the Padres have gone Under the total in Manaea’s last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. On top of that, the Dodgers are 5-13-1 O/U in Gonsolin starts this year.

San Diego is also 12-19-1 O/U as an underdog, L.A. is 40-54-9 O/U as a favorite, Padres-Dodgers have gone Under the total in 5 of their last 7 meetings and Padres-Dodgers have a combined 33-52-4 O/U record in division games.

Most of the market is barreling into the Over 8.5 (-115) according to Pregame.com because there are sluggers littered throughout both lineups. Since both starters have above-average stuff and both bullpens are reliable, this feels like a good spot to fade the market backing the Over.

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (46-34) and Los Angeles Dodgers (49-28) close out their 4-game series Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium  Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 5-1

The Padres have dropped the first 3 games of this series and are just 5-10 in  their last 15 games. An offensive attack that was red-hot from June 3-16 (.798 OPS) has cooled. The Friars own a .677 OPS in the last 15 games.

The Dodgers have rallied after a rough spell in early June. Los Angeles went 4-9 over a 13-game stretch from May 30-June 12. They have since gone 12-5, outscoring foes 82-48 along the way.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

LHP MacKenzie Gore vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw

Gore (4-3, 3.34 ERA) owns a 1.33 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 59 1/3 IP over 11 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Bounced back with 4 shutout innings his last start (June 24 vs. Philadelphia). That came on the heels of allowing 14 runs over 6 1/3 IP in back-to-back starts against the Colorado Rockies.
  • The 23-year-old rookie has pitched just 25 innings at Triple-A.

Kershaw (5-2, 2.94 ERA) is tabbed for his 10th start of the season. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 49 IP.

  • Owns a 2.97 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Padres.
  • Rocked for 2 HR and 6 R overall on 9 H with 4 BB in 4 IP in June 28 start at Colorado.

Padres at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Padres +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Money line

Los Angeles is the lean here, but only at a price tag of -190 or better. Otherwise, LOOK ELSEWHERE.

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Run line/Against the spread

The last 17 Los Angeles victories have been by margins of 2 or more runs. The Dodgers have done well in closing out recent series with decisive victories. Their offensive numbers pop in the seeing-a-pitcher-multiple-times department, and that spells trouble for the San Diego bullpen.

TAKE LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

There is enough ammo on both sides of the equation as to make for a stalemate. And from a bettor’s standpoint, that’s a PASS.

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (46-33) and Los Angeles Dodgers (48-28) clash in an NL West battle Saturday at 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX) in the 3rd game of a 4-game series at Dodger Stadium  Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-1

The Padres have dropped the first 2 games of this series and are just 5-9 in their last 14 games. An offensive attack that was red-hot from June 3-16 (.798 OPS) has cooled. The Friars own a .671 OPS in the last 14 games.

The Dodgers have rallied after a rough spell in early June. Los Angeles went 4-9 over a 13-game stretch from May 30-June 12. They have since gone 11-5, outscoring foes 75-46 along the way.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. LHP Tyler Anderson

Darvish (7-3, 3.26 ERA) makes his 15th start of the season. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 88 1/3 IP.

  • Pitched 6 shutout innings of 1-hit ball against the Dodgers April 23 but ended up with a no-decision
  • Owns a 2.48 ERA over his last 5 outings against L.A.
  • Owns a 2.19 ERA, 0.83 WHIP since May 19.

Anderson (8-1, 3.23 ERA) has made 12 starts in 14 total appearances. He’s logged a 1.04 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 78 IP.

  • Faced San Diego April 23, allowing 2 ER in 4 2/3 IP in a no-decision, a game Los Angeles won 3-2
  • Registered a 4.84 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 12 ER) over his last 4 starts (3 on the road)
  • Owns a 2.97 home ERA across 36 1/3 IP at Dodger Stadium this season

Padres at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 2:43 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Padres +1.5 (-170) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Money line

Los Angeles is the lean here, but only at a price tag of -145 or better. Otherwise, LOOK ELSEWHERE.

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Run line/Against the spread

Consider a partial-unit play on the DODGERS -1.5 (+135).

Anderson throws a heavy dose of change-ups, and that’s a problem pitch for Padres batters. The last 16 Los Angeles victories have been by margins of 2-or-more.

Over/Under

The weather forecast for Chavez Ravine calls for a warm day and an outward-blowing breeze. With 2 fly-ball pitchers on the mound, BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-130).

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (46-32) and Los Angeles Dodgers (47-28) clash in an NL West battle Friday at 10:10 p.m. in the 2nd of a 4-game series at Dodger Stadium  Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-1 after winning Thursday’s series opener 3-1.

The Padres are just 5-8 in their last 13 games. An offensive attack that was red-hot from June 3-16 (.798 OPS) has cooled. The Friars own a .687 OPS in the last 13 games.

The Dodgers have rallied after a rough spell in early June. Los Angeles went 4-9 over a 13-game stretch from May 30-June 12. They have since gone 10-5, outscoring foes 70-45 along the way.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Tony Gonsolin

Snell (0-5, 5.60 ERA) has made 7 starts this year. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 35 1/3 IP.

  • Coming off a rocky month of June that saw him post a 6.20 ERA and 1.72 WHIP.
  • Clocked a tidy 1.90 ERA in 5 starts against the Dodgers last season. Has not yet faced them in 2022.

Gonsolin (9-0, 1.58 ERA) has registered a 0.85 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 74 IP in 14 starts.

  • Owns a 2.20 ERA over 3 career outings against San Diego.
  • Has registered a 1.78 ERA, 0.92 WHIP at Dodger Stadium since 2020.

Padres at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 1:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Padres +1.5 (-145) | Dodgers -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Money line

San Diego ranks 20th in the league with a .686 OPS against right-handers. Los Angeles is the lean here, but only at a price tag of -170 or better. Otherwise, LOOK ELSEWHERE.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers offense has struggled in the last 6 home games (.687 OPS). But the price on LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+120) is solid. Its worth a look on a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

The market has leaned heavily toward the Under in early betting. A counter bet would make sense if the total dropped to 6.5 runs. Otherwise, PASS due to conflicting signals on both sides.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (46-31) open a 4-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers (46-28) Thursday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-1 and hold a 1.5-game lead in the NL West over the 2nd-place Padres.

The Padres ended a 3-game losing streak with a 4-0 victory at the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday. San Diego is 5-7 in its last 12 games, coming off a 2-game series split at Arizona.

The Dodgers avoided getting swept in 3 at the Colorado Rockies with an 8-4 win Wednesday. They are 9-5 in their last 14 games.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Mitch White

Musgrove (8-1, 2.12 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 85 IP.

  • Suffered his 1st loss of the season in last start, allowing 6 runs on 7 hits and a walk in 6 innings of a 6-2 home loss to the Philadelphia Phillies June 23. It was the 1st start this season where he allowed more than 2 earned runs.
  • He is 0-2 in 3 career starts at Dodger Stadium with a 2.87 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.

White (1-1, 4.25 ERA) makes his 6th start in 11 appearances. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 29 2/3 IP.

  • The Dodgers have lost his last 3 starts. He allowed 3 runs in his most recent touting, pitching just 4 innings in a no-decision at the Atlanta Braves Saturday – Los Angeles lost 5-3.
  • He has 1 appearance against the Padres this season, working 1 perfect inning with 2 strikeouts out of the bullpen (April 23).

Padres at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:24 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Padres +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Dodgers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 2

Money line

The Dodgers are great at home (20-12) and the Padres are 25-15 on the road, tied for the 3rd-most road wins in the majors.

Musgrove is coming off his worst start of the season and should bounce back.

Take the DODGERS (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Padres are 28-12 ATS on the road, the best mark in baseball. They are 16-2 ATS as road underdogs.

But when the Dodgers win, it is almost without fail by 2 or more runs. Of their 46 wins this season, 42 are by at least 2 runs. They are 17-15 ATS at home.

It will come down to this, based on the trends, if you think the Padres will cover, they will probably win outright, so take them on the money. If you like the Dodgers to win outright like I do, you can’t ignore how they usually win.

Take the DODGERS -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under

Before Musgrove’s last start, he had allowed a total of 3 runs over 5 starts.

The previous 2 times White yielded 3 runs in a start this season, he responded by not allowing a run in his next start.

We are primed for a June pitching duel in Chavez Ravine.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (78-79) and Los Angeles Dodgers (101-56) play the middle game of a three-game set Wednesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 10-7

The Dodgers, who already clinched a playoff spot, took Tuesday’s opener 2-1. They remain 2 games back of the first-place San Francisco Giants in the NL West with 5 games to go. The Padres, losers of four in a row and nine of their last 10, were eliminated from postseason contention this past weekend.

LHP Ryan Weathers is projected to start for the Padres Wednesday. The rookie, who made his MLB debut in last year’s NLDS vs. the Dodgers, is 4-7 with a 5.01 ERA (91 2/3 IP, 51 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 17 starts and 12 relief appearances this season.

  • Last outing: 2 IP in relief, 0 ER (1 unearned), 2 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 10-8, 10-inning home loss vs. Atlanta Braves Saturday
  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 10-2 loss at Los Angeles Angels Aug. 28
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 0-0, 0.84 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 10 K in two starts and one relief appearance

RHP Max Scherzer is the Dodgers’ projected starter. He is 15-4 with an MLB-best 2.28 ERA (174 IP, 44 ER) in 29 combined starts between the Dodgers and Washington Nationals. He also leads the majors with a 0.83 WHIP and features 12.0 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 rates.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 7-5, 10-inning victory at Colorado Rockies Thursday
  • Since joining the Dodgers: 7-0, 1.43 ERA (63 IP, 10 ER), 0.71 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 6-2, 2.57 ERA (98 IP, 28 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 12.7 K/9 in 15 starts

Padres at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Dodgers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (+110) | Dodgers -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Dodgers 5, Rockies 2

Money line (ML)

BET DODGERS (-300) to WIN 0.4 UNITS. For a $100 player, this play is to wager $120 for a $40 profit.

I don’t like backing big favorites, but we’re talking Scherzer. Los Angeles is 10-0 in his starts this season after acquiring the three-time Cy Young winner from the Nationals in a July 30 trade.

Scherzer is on an 11-game winning streak, dating back to June 4 when was still with Washington. He is 2-0 with a 3.76 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.65 WHIP and 11.6 K/9 in four starts vs. the Padres in 2021.

The Dodgers also own the best home record in the majors at 53-23. The Padres are 33-43 on the road.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

ATS records: Padres 74-83 | Dodgers 77-80

LOS ANGELES -1.5 (-135) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

After dropping 8 in a row ATS (1-7 straight up) to the Padres in the middle of the season between April 18 to June 23, the Dodgers won the last 7 against their NL West rivals, going 5-2 ATS.

Over/Under (O/U)

O/U records: Padres 83-70-4 | Dodgers 66-81-10

BET UNDER 7.5 (+105).

The Under is 5-2 in Scherzer’s last seven starts. The Over cashed in his last outing, but that was in the thin air at Coors Field vs. the Rockies. The Under is 19-10 in his 29 starts this season.

Umpire Tripp Gibson is scheduled to be behind the plate. He has the best Under record among umpires this season at 22-6.

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 39-22 17-7 +15.647
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (74-65) and Los Angeles Dodgers (88-53) open a three-game set Friday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 10:10 p.m ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Padres RHP Joe Musgrove (10-8, 2.87 ERA) makes his 27th start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 153 2/3 IP.

  • Is 5-1 with a 2.77 ERA across nine second-half starts, including allowing just 3 earned runs over his last 20 1/3 innings.
  • Faced the Dodgers twice this season. Allowed 1 earned run over 3 innings April 25 in Los Angeles and allowed 1 earned run over 6 innings June 23 in San Diego.

Dodgers LHP Jose Urias (16-3, 3.11 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 156 1/3 IP.

  • Has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in a start since June 16; is 4-0 with a 1.42 ERA over 44 1/3 innings across eight starts in that span.
  • Faced the Padres in San Diego twice this season. Allowed 6 earned runs over 4 innings June 21 and pitched 5 scoreless innings Aug. 24

Padres at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-170) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

San Diego and L.A. meet for the 14th time Friday with the Padres holding a 7-6 lead in the season series, but the last month and a bit tell the story of two teams heading in starkly different directions.

San Diego is a sub-.500 team since the beginning of August, with a 14-18 record that includes being swept at home by L.A. in a three-game series. Los Angeles posted a 25-10 record over that time span.

While these two clubs still occupy the two NL Wild Card spots the Dodgers have a 13 game lead over the Padres who are just 1 game ahead of the Cincinnati Reds for the last playoff position.

The Padres roughed up Urias in a previous start and handed the southpaw one of his three losses this season but they’ve generally done poorly against left-handed pitching. San Diego is 24th in OPS and wOBA and 25th in wRC+ against lefties.

Back LOS ANGELES (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The odds here don’t quite justify the 2 runs you’d need to pick up a Los Angeles cover. L.A. is coming off two losses in a row for the first time since late July, and its bullpen was used for 8 of the 16 innings Wednesday and Thursday.

Concerns about road weariness as the Dodgers return home from a seven-game trek, a bullpen that shouldered a heavy load and Musgrove holding them in check through two previous starts are enough to make me leery of a 2-run cushion at only +125.

If this gets up to a +150 range I’d be considering it as a value-based play. In the meantime, PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Although I anticipate good starting pitching Friday this is a spot that both bullpens might give up some action. These clubs’ back ends are both bottom-10 units in xFIP and SIERA over the last two weeks.

This number is quite low. Back the OVER 7.5 (-125) and I’d even get behind the Over 8.0 if it moved there. However, if it reaches 8.5 as the day goes on it’s a pass from me.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (12-11) and Los Angeles Dodgers (15-6) wrap up their four-game series on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 3-3

The Dodgers won 5-4 Saturday after losing the first two games of the series: 3-2 Thursday and 6-1 Friday.

RHP Joe Musgrove is Sunday’s projected starting pitcher for San Diego. He is 2-2 with a 1.04 ERA (26 IP, 3 ER), 0.54 WHIP, 12.8 K/9 and 1.0 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 13 K vs. Milwaukee Brewers Monday – Padres lost 3-1
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-3, 5.40 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 in 3 starts

The Dodgers are looking to RHP Dustin May in the finale. Through 3 starts, he is 1-1 with a 2.93 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K at Seattle Mariners Monday – Dodgers lost 4-3
  • 2020 postseason vs. Padres: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (3 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 1-3, 2.97 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 4 starts and 3 relief appearances

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Padres at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Dodgers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Padres 4, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

Based on the pitching matchup, SAN DIEGO (+105) is the way to go.

Musgrove is a stud. He might be 0-2 since tossing the Padres’ first no-hitter in franchise history April 9, but the right-hander only allowed 3 runs in those two outings.

In his first game after the no-no in which he threw 112 pitches, he was lifted for a pinch-hitter in the top of the fifth inning after tossing 81 pitches.

In his next start, Musgrove was a hard-luck loser, allowing just 2 runs in 7 innings and striking out 13 in a 3-1 loss to Milwaukee.

There’s no doubt he’s capable of shutting out the Dodgers if he’s on top of his game.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Padres +1.5 (-190) is just too chalky. However, back the alternate line of PADRES -1.5 (+180) with a QUARTER-UNIT wager.

ATS records: Padres 12-11 | Dodgers 11-10

Over/Under (O/U)

Back UNDER 7.5. (-120) to win 30% OF 1 UNIT. A $100 player should bet $36 to win $30; a $10 player should bet $3.60 to win $3.

The Under is 4-0 in Musgrove’s starts and 2-1 in May’s starts.

Plus, both clubs have been paying off for Under bettors so far this season, but the last two games of this series finished Over.

Prior to the two Overs, San Diego played six Unders in a row and Los Angeles was on a 5-game Under streak.

O/U records: Padres 8-15 | Dodgers 8-13

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Note: There is no STRONGEST PLAY on this card.

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 28-18-1 8-5-1 +8.5275
2021 (all sports) 131-103-2 57-46-1 +22.0775
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (12-10) and Los Angeles Dodgers (14-6) play Game 3 of a four-game series Saturday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Blake Snell is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. Over the last two seasons, Snell is 4-2 with a 3.44 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 11.98 K/9 and 3.86 BB/9 in 65.1 IP over 15 starts. He has posted a 4.11 ERA in 4 starts this season. He allowed 2 ER in 5 IP against LA April 18.

RHP Trevor Bauer is the projected starter for the Dodgers. Over 15 starts in 2020-21, Bauer is 7-4 with a 1.91 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 12.4 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 99 IP . He has clocked a 2.42 ERA through 4 starts this season; the most recent of those was a 6-inning effort (1 ER on 3 hits) against these Padres on Sunday.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Padres at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:00 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

The Friars took Friday’s game, 6-1, and have allowed just three total runs in claiming games one and two of this series. The back-to-back rivalry wins come after San Diego had gone just 2-7 over its previous nine.

The Padres look to be catching the Dodgers at the right time. Los Angeles owns a mere .547 OPS over its last six games. And with the Friars starting Snell in this one, that turns the Dodgers around to their lesser platoon splits (.682 OPS vs. left-handed pitching).

Peg a bit of play on Snell, and bank on the Padres owning the better bullpen. Current Padre bats own an .858 OPS against Bauer. TAKE SAN DIEGO +125.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Consider a PADRES +1.5 (-160) wager as an undercard bet, especially if a line watch yields a tag closer to -150. The Under is 3-1 in the last four games of this Southern California season series, and a tight game with a total near 7 would not be a surprise on Saturday.

Over/Under (O/U)

Respecting the public here, with no real lean toward any batting or pitching components being under- or over-estimated. PASS.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (10-10) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (14-4) Thursday for the start of a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers 2-1

The NL West rivals met last weekend at Petco Park with the Dodgers taking the first two games and the Padres avoiding a sweep with a win in the finale.

Los Angeles had Wednesday off after winning 1-0 at the Seattle Mariners Tuesday to split a two-game series. San Diego enters on a 3-game slide after getting swept at home in three by the Milwaukee Brewers.

To begin this series, Padres LHP Ryan Weathers is projected to make his second career start. The 21-year-old rookie is 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 0.72 WHIP, 10 strikeouts and 4 walks in 3 relief appearances and 1 start.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 3 K vs. Dodgers Friday – Padres lost 11-6 in 12 innings
  • 2020 postseason vs. Dodgers: MLB debut, 1 relief outing, 0.00 ERA (1 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 2 BB and 1 K

RHP Walker Buehler is the projected Dodgers’ starter. The five-year veteran is 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA (18 IP, 4 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 and 0.5 BB/9 in 3 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K at Padres Friday – Dodgers won 11-6 in 12 innings
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 4-0, 1.62 ERA (39 IP, 7 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 6 starts

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 2

Money line (ML)

PASS. The Dodgers’ (-185) price is chalkier than I prefer. The better value is actually with the Padres (+150), but I don’t like their chances against Buehler.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

When the Dodgers win, they cover the run line. They’ve won by at least 2 runs in 11 of their 14 overall wins this season. Both of their victories (11-6 in 12 innings and 2-0) in last weekend’s three-game series in San Diego were by at least 2 runs.

The Dodgers were 6-4 straight up vs. the Padres in the 2020 regular season and five of the six wins were by at least 2 runs. Plus, when they met in an NLDS last year, the Dodgers swept the Friars in three with two wins by at least 2 runs.

ATS records: Padres 9-11 | Dodgers 11-7

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 7.5 (+100) is worth a 0.75-UNIT wager. Both clubs are Under teams.

The Padres have played 5 Unders in a row; the Dodgers have played 4 Unders in row. Both streaks include the final 2 games of last weekend’s series at Petco as the Under went 2-1 in those 3 games.

O/U records: Padres 6-14 | Dodgers 6-12

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 26-15 8-3 +11.1775
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 129-100-1 57-44 +24.7275
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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