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The Houston Rockets (4-3) welcome the San Antonio Spurs (3-4) to Toyota Center Wednesday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Spurs vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
Then teams split 2 games in Houston with the Spurs winning 109-106 on Oct. 26 and the Rockets winning 106-101 on Oct. 28.
The Rockets beat the New York Knicks at home 109-97 Monday, closing as a 2-point underdog. Houston has played 2 straight games at home, losing 127-121 to the Golden State Warriors Saturday. It is 2-2 straight up and against the spread (ATS) at home. The Rockets have performed well defensively as of late, allowing 102 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games. Houston is led by G Jalen Green, who is averaging 22.9 points per game.
The Spurs had a 2-game winning streak snapped with a 113-104 loss to the LA Clippers 113-104 Monday, failing to cover as a 4-point road underdog. They are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games, 3 of which were on the road. San Antonio is 2-2 ATS in its 4 road games. It has stifled offenses as well, allowing 106 or fewer points in 5 of its last 6 games. They are led by F Victor Wembanyama, who is averaging 18.9 points and 10.3 rebounds per game.
Spurs at Rockets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 12:34 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Spurs +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Rockets -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +6.5 (-110) | Rockets -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Spurs at Rockets key injuries
Spurs
- G Tre Jones (ankle) out
- F Jeremy Sochan (thumb) out
- G Devin Vassell (third metetarsal) out
Rockets
- C Steven Adams (knee) out
- G Dillon Brooks (illness) questionable
- F Tari Eason (illness) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Spurs at Rockets picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockets 108, Spurs 103
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no great value here. The Rockets (-275) should come out on top. They are 2-2 straight up at home and have turned it on as of late, winning 3 of their last 4 and scoring at least 108 points in 3 straight games.
The Spurs (+200) have potential as a moneyline underdog, but are better played on the spread.
Against the spread
BET SPURS +6.5 (-110).
The Spurs have covered at a high rate as of late. They are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 games and 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games as an underdog. San Antonio is starting to click offensively, scoring at least 104 points in 3 straight after hitting that mark just twice in the first 4 games.
The Rockets have exceeded expectations as an underdog, but they are only 2-3 as a favorite and just 1-2 as a home favorite. Houston has eclipsed 110 points just twice this season, so its offense hasn’t been overly consistent. Both games between these teams this season were within 5 points.
Expect a tight game and back SPURS +6.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 212.5 (-110).
If there’s something both teams can agree on, it is that the Under has been the better play this season. The Spurs are 3-4 O/U and have gone Under in 4 of their last 6 games. They have allowed 103 or fewer points in 2 of the last 3.
The Rockets are 1-4 O/U in their last 5 games and 2-5 O/U on the season. They are 2-2 O/U at home. Houston has given up 102 or fewer points in 3 of its last 4 games. Both teams rank in the bottom 5 of pace in the league, so neither play at a fast tempo.
With that in mind, back UNDER 212.5 (-110).
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