San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Antonio Spurs (13-48) and Houston Rockets (26-34) meet Tuesday. Tip-off from Toyota Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Spurs are seeking a 3rd straight win, something they have not done all season. They upset the Oklahoma City Thunder 132-118 at home as 11-point underdogs Thursday and beat the Indiana Pacers 117-105 at home Sunday as 6.5-point underdogs.

The Rockets last played Saturday, snapping a 3-game losing streak with a 118-109 road win over the Phoenix Suns as 9-point underdogs. They are 2-5 in their last 7 games.

Spurs at Rockets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Spurs +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Rockets -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +7.5 (-110) | Rockets -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Rockets key injuries

Spurs

  • Julian Champagnie (ankle) questionable
  • C Victor Webanyama (shoulder) questionable

Rockets

  • None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Spurs at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockets 113, Spurs 105

Moneyline

The Spurs have not won 3 games in a row all season. They are 6-27 on the road this season and have lost 5 straight games overall and 9 of their last 10 on the road.

Meanwhile, Houston (-300) is 20-10 at home; 20 of its 28 wins this season have been at home. It has won 3 of its last 4 games at home.

The home team has won in both meetings this season — the Rockets 93-82 as 9-point favorites Dec. 11 and the Spurs 126-122 in OT as 3.5-point favorites Oct. 27.

With this home-road disparity, and especially with Webanyama possibly not playing, there is not a reason to bet the Spurs for the upset.

That said, -300 odds is not a good bet on the Rockets.

PASS.

Against the spread

Both teams are much better bets to cover the spread than to win games. The Spurs are 30-31 ATS with only 13 outright wins, while the Rockets are 31-28-1 ATS with 28 outright wins.

The favorite covered the spread in both meetings earlier this season.

The Spurs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games and have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 losses. They are 15-17 ATS as road dogs.

But Houston is 9-5-1 ATS as a home favorite.

BET ROCKETS -7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

In 2 previous meetings, the totals were 248 and 175.

The Spurs have allowed 118 or more in 4 of their last 6 games.

The Rockets have allowed an average of 107 points per game in their last 4 wins. They have scored more than 114 points just once in their last 10 games.

BET UNDER 228.5 (-110).

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San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (17-30) travel to Toyota Center Tuesday to take on the Houston Rockets (14-33). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Spurs vs. Rockets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Despite a record that shows 33 losses, the Rockets have won two of their last three games. Houston returns home after a five-game road trip where they took down the Spurs, Utah Jazz and Sacramento Kings. The Rockets 4-point win over the Spurs was in San Antonio as a 7.5-point underdog. Houston is 21-25-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.

San Antonio is 24-23 ATS. The Spurs’ net rating ranks 18th in the league (minus-0.6) yet they have the sixth-worst straight-up (SU) record. Basically speaking, they hold their games close but typically fail to come out on top. The Spurs are just 1-3 ATS as road favorites.

Spurs at Rockets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Rockets +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs -4.5 (-120) | Rockets +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Spurs at Rockets key injuries

Spurs

  • None

Rockets

  • None

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Spurs at Rockets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockets 120, Spurs 118

Money line

SPRINKLE on the ROCKETS (+165).

Houston beat San Antonio while putting up 128 points Jan. 12 behind an explosion from G Eric Gordon.

While the Rockets season may be over in terms of making the playoffs, Gordon and C Christian Wood still have to perform if they want to be traded, and I expect them to keep playing at a high level. Wood’s length and quickness gave the Spurs problems last time these two teams met.

The Rockets are 7-13 at home which compares favorably to their 7-20 road record.

Against the spread

BET on the ROCKETS +4.5 (-105).

The Rockets play at the fastest pace in the NBA while the Spurs are fifth.

San Antonio also allowed 16 threes last time these teams met. That’s been a huge problem as the Spurs rank 20th in opponents’ three-point field goal percentage and the teams’ pace-up play gives Houston additional opportunities from distance.

Meanwhile the Rockets shoot the fifth-most per game and rank 13th in field goal percentage at home. Their shooting should help decide the game, and there’s a strong chance they again cash in from deep.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 233.5 (-112).

These are two of the fastest-paced teams in the NBA. The Spurs are 23-22-2 O/U and the Rockets 26-21-0.

I don’t love betting on the Over at this high of a total, but given that both teams scored over 120 points in the last meeting, it’s really the only side that makes sense.

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San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (12-10) travel in-state Saturday to play the Houston Rockets (11-10) at Toyota Center. The tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Rockets NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

San Antonio just finished a seven-game homestand on a winning note by taking down the Minnesota Timberwolves 111-108 Wednesday. The Spurs failed to cover the spread as 7.5-point favorites. During their homestand, the Spurs were 4-3 straight up but 3-4 against the spread and had nice upsets over the Denver Nuggets and Boston Celtics.

The Rockets wrapped up a four-game road trip with a 115-103 upset at the Memphis Grizzlies Thursday. Houston has been on a roll lately, winning seven of its last eight games (6-2 ATS) behind the second-best net rating and by far the best defensive efficiency over that stretch.

Each team won and covered in the two earlier meetings this season, which were both in San Antonio.

Spurs at Rockets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Rockets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Spurs -1.5 (-105) | Rockets +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Rockets: Key injuries

Spurs

  • PG Dejounte Murray (ankle) questionable
  • PF LaMarcus Aldridge (hip) out
  • SG Lonnie Walker IV (illness) out

Rockets

  • PG John Wall (back) questionable
  • SF David Nwaba (ankle) questionable
  • Christian Wood (ankle) out
  • PG Dante Exum (calf) out

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Spurs at Rockets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 113, Rockets 105

Money line (ML)

Spurs All-Star SG DeMar DeRozan dismantled the Timberwolves the other night. Aldridge not being there and two banged-up ballhandlers could mean crazy usage for DeRozan again. Granted, DeRozan didn’t play well against the Rockets earlier this season but that just help his motivation.

If the season ended today and Wood didn’t win the NBA Most Improved Player award it would be a crime. Wood is 13th in PER, 19th in rebounding percentage, 10th in effective field goal percentage, fifth in defensive rating and 19th in win shares per 48 minutes.

He’s the best player on a Houston team that has the second-best net rating in the Association over its last eight games and he abused the Spurs previously this season. Wood scored 25.5 points, grabbed 16.5 rebounds and had a 98 defensive rating in the first two Spurs-Rockets games,

His absence Saturday is too much for Houston to overcome. And while San Antonio has a couple of injury concerns, including a missing big, I’d argue no Aldridge may be addition by subtraction. DeRozan should wreak havoc in the mid-range with C DeMarcus Cousins taking Wood’s spot.

BET SPURS (-115) for 1 unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS and stick with the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

This is more of a lean even though my predicted score is 6.5 points below the total but, I’ll TAKE UNDER 224.5 (-110) for a half-unit. I have a hunch we see a sloppy game offensively between the two teams.

The market seems to be backing the Over and I’d guess that’s mostly because Wood is being replaced by a lesser defender in Cousins. While Cousins can get buckets, he takes bad shots and Wood’s absence hurts Houston’s offensive efficiency more than its defensive.

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