San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks odds predictions pick betting line spread

San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (5-7) welcome the San Antonio Spurs (6-7) to the American Airlines Center Saturday. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Spurs vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mavericks lead 1-0

The Spurs lost to the Los Angeles Lakers 120-115 Friday, closing as 2.5-point home underdogs. They were led by C Victor Wembanyama, who went for 28 points on 12-of-25 shooting. The Spurs snapped a 2-game winning streak with the loss. San Antonio is 3-2 straight up over its last 5 but just 2-3 against the spread (ATS).

The Mavericks, who return home after 3 straight away games, lost to the Utah Jazz 115-113 Friday, closing as 8-point road favorites. They were led by G Luka Doncic, who dropped 37 points. Dallas has lost 4 in a row and is just 2-6 in its last 8 games. It is 4-7-1 ATS on the season.

Spurs at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Spurs +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Mavericks -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
Against the spread: Spurs +10.5 (-110) | Mavericks -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Mavericks key injuries

Spurs

(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)

F Tre Jones (ankle) out
F Jeremy Sochan (thumb) out

Mavericks

F Luka Doncic (knee) probable
F P.J. Washington (knee) doubtful

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Spurs at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 118, Spurs 112

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value here. The Mavericks (-500) are the better side and have the rest advantage, but they are too expensive to play on the ML.

Against the spread

BET SPURS +10.5 (-110).

The Spurs are 1-0 ATS this season as double-digit underdogs, and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10. San Antonio has scored at least 110 points — and hasn’t lost by double digits — in 5 straight games.

The Mavericks have dropped 4 straight games, including their last home game (114-113 vs. the Phoenix Suns Nov. 8). They are just 2-3 straight up/ATS in their last 5 at home. Dallas’ defense has struggled lately, as well, allowing at least 114 points per game over its last 4.

Take SPURS +10.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 229.5 (-110).

The Mavericks have gone Over in 2 of their last 3 games and scored at least 113 points in 6 in a row. Dallas has allowed at least 120 in 2 of its last 3.

The Spurs are 2-0 O/U in their last 2 games and 6-2 O/U in their last 8. They’ve scored at least 110 points in 5 straight games and allowed at least 120 in their last 2. Considering those trends, especially on the defensive end, back OVER 229.5 (-110).

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San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks open their seasons Thursday. Tip-off from the American Airlines Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Spurs vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dallas swept 4-0 last season

The Spurs went 22-60 in 2023-24, the first season of the C Victor Wembanyama era for San Antonio. The Spurs acquired F Harrison Barnes from the Sacramento Kings in July — part of a 3-team deal with the Chicago Bulls — and signed G Chris Paul, who averaged just 9.2 points per game (PPG) with the Golden State Warriors last season.

The Mavericks went 50-32 last season — good for 5th in the Western Conference — and worked their way through the playoffs before losing 4-1 to the Boston Celtics in the NBA Finals. The highlight of their offseason was bringing in G Klay Thompson from the Warriors — part of a 6-team sign-and-trade — to form a big 3 alongside G Luka Doncic and G Kyrie Irving.

Spurs at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 4:47 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Spurs +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Mavericks -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +8.5 (-105) | Mavericks -8.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Mavericks key injuries

Spurs

G Devin Vassell (foot) out

Mavericks

G Dante Exum (wrist) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Spurs at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Spurs 110

Moneyline

The Mavericks (-400) will likely beat the Spurs for a 5th straight meeting, but this line has too much vig to recommend.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

While the Spurs struggled overall in 2023-24, they ended the season on a high note, covering 9 of their final 11 games. Their regular-season wins total is set at 35.5 (O: -120 | U: +100 at BetMGM Sportsbook), so the market is expecting them to take a huge step forward this year with Barnes and Paul.

Dallas was nothing special at home last season, going 26-25 ATS, according to Teamrankings.com. It will need time to fully integrate Thompson into the offense, and laying 8.5 points against an improved Spurs team seems like an overreaction to last season’s impressive playoff run.

BET SPURS +8.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Dallas was the 3rd-best Under bet when playing at home last season, going 20-31 O/U (60.8%).

San Antonio was 17-22-2 O/U in road games, the 7th-highest clip for cashing Unders. We can only assume that Wembanyama will continue to progress as a defender this season. The Paul signing also gives him another leader on the defensive end — and hopefully helps us cash this Under!

BET UNDER 227.5 (-110).

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San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (21-60) visit the Dallas Mavericks (38-43) Sunday. Tip from American Airlines Center is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

San Antonio fell 151-131 at home to the Minnesota Timberwolves Saturday, failing to cover as a 15.5-point underdog. The Spurs are just 2-8 in their last 10 games and 2-8 against the spread (ATS) in the same span. For the season, the Spurs are 32-49 ATS.

The Mavericks were eliminated from the playoff picture after a 115-112 home loss to the Chicago Bulls Friday — Dallas was a 2-point favorite. The Mavs are also 2-8 in their last 10 games and 3-6-1 ATS in that stretch. They are 30-48-3 ATS this season.

This will be the 4th matchup between these 2 teams as Dallas aims for a 4-0 sweep. The Mavs won 126-125 but failed to cover as 7-point road favorites in a late December contest. In late February, Dallas managed to cover a 14-point spread behind a 142-116 rout at home, and most recently, in mid-March, Dallas needed overtime to win and cover as a 4-point road favorite in a 137-128 victory.

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Spurs at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Spurs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mavericks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +4.5 (-115) | Mavericks -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): Off the board

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Spurs at Mavericks key injuries

Spurs

Not yet submitted

Mavericks

F Reggie Bullock (rest) out
G Luka Doncic (thigh) out
G Josh Green (rest) out
F Tim Hardaway Jr. (ankle) out
G Kyrie Irving (foot) out
F Maxi Kleber (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Spurs at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 119, Spurs 117

Moneyline

PASS.

At -175 odds, the moneyline does not present any profitable play on the Mavericks in this matchup.

Against the spread

LEAN SPURS +4.5 (-115).

With the Mavericks’ top stars out, including Doncic and Irving, they will struggle to maintain their typical competitive advantage. They are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 day’s rest. They are also just 13-25-2 ATS at home this season.

Over/Under

At the time of this publishing, the O/U line was off the board. My play is to BET a FULL UNIT on any OVER of 233.5 or lower.

The Over is 4-1 in the Spurs’ last 5 games and 7-2 in their last 9 games playing on 0 day’s rest. For Dallas, the Over is 5-0 in its last 4 games against a team with a losing outright record.

The Over is 22-17-1 in the Spurs’ road games this season and 23-16-1 in the Mavs’ home games this season. The Over is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these 2 clubs, including 3-0 this season.

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San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (14-45) battle the Dallas Mavericks (31-29) Thursday. Tip from American Airlines Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Spurs lost to the Mavericks 126-125 at home Dec. 31, covering as a 7-point underdog. The Over 231 hit.

San Antonio comes into this game off a 120-110 loss in Charlotte, failing to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. It was 1-12 against the spread (ATS) in its last 13 games before the All-Star break and 1-8 ATS on the road in that span. The Spurs are 24-35 ATS this season.

The Mavericks, on the other hand, are 22-36-2 ATS this season. They lost to Denver 118-109 on the road before the break, failing to cover as a 6.5-point underdog. They are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games yet 5-3 ATS in their last 8.

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Spurs at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Spurs +950 (bet $100 to win $950) | Mavericks -1500 (bet $950 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +14.5 (-115) | Mavericks -14.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Spurs at Mavericks key injuries

Spurs

G Tre Jones (foot) doubtful
G Devin Vassell (knee) out

Mavericks

F Maxi Kleber (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Spurs at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 130, Spurs 115

Moneyline

AVOID.

There’s no sense in risking this for Dallas, and the Spurs don’t seem to care much about defense or winning. Most certainly pass on this.

Against the spread

LEAN MAVERICKS -14.5 (-105).

The Spurs will be down their starting point and shooting guard in this game and were awful ATS leading up to the All-Star break. They are just 10-19 ATS on road games this season.

Dallas has been far from a betting darling this season, but it should be able to expose the league’s worst defense and score at will in this game. There’s little chance the Spurs can keep up.

Back MAVERICKS -14.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 239.5 (-108).

The Mavericks went Over in 5 of their last 7 games leading up to the All-Star break, and they are going against the defense that ranks last in opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (39.4%) and opponents’ field goal percentage (50.9%).

The Spurs also should want to push the pace, ranking 7th in the league. The tempo should be quick, and G Luka Doncic should be able to have his way. Back the OVER 239.5 (-108).

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San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (24-26) visit in-state rival Dallas Mavericks (29-22) for an 8 p.m. ET game at American Airlines Center. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The sinking Spurs have lost five in a row and six of their last seven (2-5 against the spread) including back-to-back losses to the Denver Nuggets entering Sunday.

San Antonio is ninth in the Western Conference, with a half-game lead over the 10-seed Golden State Warriors, and two games in front of the 11th-place New Orleans Pelicans.

The Mavericks are heading in the opposite direction as the Spurs winning six of their last seven games (6-1 ATS) with recent victories over the Milwaukee Bucks and Utah Jazz.

Dallas is jostling for playoff positioning in hopes of avoiding the Western Conference play-in tournament and is seventh, 2.5 games back of the 6-seed Portland Trail Blazers.

Dallas is 2-0 overall and ATS this season against San Antonio and Mavs All-Star Luka Doncic has torn up the Spurs this year.

In the two Spurs-Mavericks games this season, Luka is averaging 29.0 points, 10.5 rebounds and 11.5 assists per game.

Spurs at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

Money line: Spurs +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Mavericks -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +6 (-110) | Mavericks -6 (-110)
Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Mavericks: Key injuries

Spurs

C Gorgui Dieng (shoulder) out

Mavericks

C Willie Cauley-Stein (health and safety protocols) probable
PF Maxi Kleber (lower leg) questionable
SG J.J. Redick (heel) out

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Spurs at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 114, Spurs 104

Money line (ML)

PASS since Dallas is the right side, but the Mavericks (-250) are terrible value considering how random the NBA regular season can be.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The MAVERICKS -6 (-110) just match up too well with the Spurs. Dallas attempts the fifth-most 3-pointers per game and San Antonio has the 26th-ranked defensive 3-point percentage.

The Mavs also do a good job defending what the Spurs do frequently. San Antonio attempts the third-highest volume of midrange shots, but Dallas is eighth in defensive midrange shooting percentage, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Finally, the Spurs struggle against good teams, and the Mavericks have the ninth-best net rating in the Association.

San Antonio is 4-12 overall with minus-8.9 points per 100 possessions differential and the 21st-ranked ATS margin (according to CleaningTheGlass.com).

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 220.5 (-110) for a half-unit only because we are arriving at the party a little late as this total opened at 222.

Curiously enough, way more money and bets have been placed with the Over than the Under, so bookmakers moving the total down would suggest the House wants more Over action.

Both teams play at a below-average pace and the Under has cashed in four of the last five Mavericks-Spurs contests.

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San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (18-14) travel in-state Wednesday to play the Dallas Mavericks (18-16) at the American Airlines Center. The tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

San Antonio had a nine-day COVID-related layoff followed by a 2-3 overall and ATS stretch heading into the NBA All-Star break. The Spurs are currently atop the Southwest Division, one game ahead of Dallas.

The Mavericks were on fire prior to the All-Star Game as winners of eight of their previous 10 games (5-5 ATS) and Luka Doncic‘s superstardom was the primary reason. Luka averaged 31.7 points on 51.9% shooting (46.5% from 3) with 7.6 rebounds and 8.0 assists per game in his last 10 games.

Dallas won and covered the first meeting with San Antonio 122-117 back on Jan. 22 and has beaten the Spurs in four of the last five games.

Spurs at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:11 a.m. ET.

Money line: Spurs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Mavericks -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +4.5 (-110) | Mavericks -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Mavericks: Key injuries

Spurs

SF Devin Vassell (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

None

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Spurs at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 112, Mavericks 106

Money line (ML)

Slight lean on SPURS (+155) since I like San Antonio to cover the spread.

San Antonio PG Dejounte Murray sprained his ankle in the opening minutes of the first Spurs-Mavericks game earlier this season and it significantly affected San Antonio’s perimeter defense.

Murray’s absence also played a role in the Spurs only forcing five Mavs turnovers in that game since Murray is 5th in steals per game and 18th in defensive win shares in the Association.

Dallas needs Doncic to dominate for it to make a playoff push and Murray is good enough defensively to minimize Doncic’s damage.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET SPURS +4.5 (-110) heavier or instead of their money line.

This is a great spot for San Antonio, which is 6-1 ATS with a plus-6.2-point spread differential as a road dog, whereas the Mavs are 4-10 ATS with a minus-8.5-point spread differential as home favorites.

Furthermore, CleaningTheGlass.com grades the Spurs as the 5th-best defensive team in points per possession, which removes garbage time stats. Well, the Mavs are 5-8 overall with a minus-5.9-point spread differential vs. top-10 defenses.

Also, against bottom-10 defenses—the Mavs are 25th—the Spurs are 7-4 overall with the 7th-highest ATS margin (plus-2.9 points).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under has cashed in six of the previous eight Spurs-Mavericks games and San Antonio matches up well with Dallas defensively.

Dallas is 12th in points per possession out of the half-court and San Antonio is 5th in defensive points per possession out of the half-court, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

This total is suspicious considering the last Spurs-Mavericks game had a 223-point total. It soared Over the total by 16 points and the previous four meetings were all projected to be higher scoring.

BET UNDER 222.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

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Also see:

Bet Slippin’ Podcast: The Players Championship and NBA’s second half
Hoops Hype rumors: Spurs | Mavericks

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