The Texas A&M Aggies will welcome the Sam Houston State Bearkats to help commence the 2022 college football season. Kickoff from Kyle Field is set for noon ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Sam Houston State at Texas A&M odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Sam Houston State was 11-1 last season but did not play a Power 5 program, so it could be in for a rough awakening when it travels to College Station to take on a top-10 opponent.
The Bearkats averaged 41 points per game last year, but they will not return their starting quarterback. Junior QB Keegan Shoemaker will look to take over and lead the upset.
Texas A&M, on the other hand, has College Football Playoff aspirations. It will not be returning QB Zach Calzada, who captained the Aggies to an 8-4 record last season, and the Aggies will look for a new era behind QB Haynes King.
The Aggies’ strength last season was in their defense, allowing under 16 points per game (3rd of 130 programs). They’ll look to keep that trend consistent this season.
Texas A&M is No. 7 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Sam Houston State at Texas A&M odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Sam Houston State +2500 (bet $100 to win $2,500) | Texas A&M -100000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Sam Houston State +34.5 (+100) | Texas A&M -34.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O -110 | U -110)
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Sam Houston State at Texas A&M picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas A&M 49, Sam Houston State 10
Money line
PASS.
Can you imagine risking $100 to profit 10 cents? That’s what the Texas A&M (-10000) line equates to.
This is such a mismatch that Tipico Sportsbook didn’t offer a money line until early Saturday morning.
Against the spread
BET TEXAS A&M -34.5 (-120).
Texas A&M is coming into the season with arguably a better roster than it had a year ago. While Sam Houston State had a good season, Texas A&M beat each of the 3 non-Power 5 teams it faced last season by more than 30 points.
A&M will have a massive advantage in the trenches which is true of most of these matches between top recruiting programs and smaller schools.
Senior WR Ainias Smith will also be back, and he had the 2nd-most receiving yards on the team, giving King a comfortable weapon to target. Smith should be a key difference-maker in this battle.
Sam Houston State will likely be shaken in this type of environment as well, especially under the leadership of a new QB. I’ll take A&M at home to come away with a massive victory.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 53.5 (-110).
Sam Houston State does have several 300-pound offensive lineman, one a graduate student and one a senior. It should be able to generate some offense.
Well, with a team that scored 41 points per game last season, that should be the hope. As for A&M, it went over this total once out of its 3 non-major conference matchups a year ago.
The Aggies should be able to almost get the job done themselves, and with a relatively young defense, they may give up some points, which should be enough to help cash on the OVER 53.5 (-110).
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