Tag: Royals Yankees odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

ALDS Game 4: New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees and Kansas City Royals meet Thursday in Game 4 of their best-of-5 ALDS. First pitch at Kauffman Stadium is slated for 7:38 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: New York leads 2-1; won regular season series 5-2

The Yankees took Games 1 and 3, winning both in 1-run fashion. Since Sept. 11, New York has gone a combined 13-7 with a 3.23 ERA.

Kansas City pitching has issued 17 free passes in the club’s 2 losses in the series. And Wednesday’s loss, a 3-2 affair that saw the Royals collect just 6 hits and 2 walks, marked K.C.’s 7th in a row at Kauffman Stadium.

Yankees at Royals projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Michael Wacha

Cole (8-5, 3.41 ERA) made 17 starts in the regular season. He authored a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 95 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-5 win vs. Kansas City Royals Saturday (ALDS Game 1)
  • Career vs. Royals (regular season): 4-1, 2.77 ERA (52 IP, 16 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Owns a 3.05 ERA in 109 1/3 career playoff innings

Wacha (13-8, 3.35 ERA) made 29 starts in the regular season. He registered a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 166 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 6-5 loss at New York Yankees Saturday (ALDS Game 1)
  • Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 2-1, 2.97 ERA (57 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 11 appearances (9 starts)
  • Has registered a 5.36 ERA over 42 career playoff innings

Yankees at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Royals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+110) | Royals +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Royals 4

Moneyline

The Yankees were a -210 favorite with this same pitching matchup in Game 1 at Yankee Stadium. Neither hurler fared well, and New York earned a 6-5 victory in the series lid-lifter.

New York had a plus-18 run differential vs. Kansas City in the regular season. Per ESPN, the Cole has held Kansas City to an aggregate .603 OPS with a hefty strikeout rate.

Wacha logged some generous rates around the margins in posting his regular-season ERA, and his expected-ERA numbers were more-than-a-half-run higher. The K.C. righty has pitched quite well at Kauffman Stadium (2.89 ERA), and he does have a history of faring well in home starts. But his Game 1 performance and overall postseason line leave enough doubt in this spot.

The Royals offense was productive at home this season. But lately, Kansas City has struggled mightily on home turf. The ballclub is winless (0-7) at Kauffman since Sept. 16. Over those 7 games, the Royals offense has cranked out a whiff-laden .541 OPS.

BACK YANKEES (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest here due to CF Aaron Judge struggles (1-for-14 in this series, .467 OPS across last 12 postseason games) and the likely Thursday unavailability of New York closer Luke Weaver, who got the final 5 outs in Wednesday’s win.

PASS.

Over/Under

Game 4 gets a slight temperature warm-up. Both starters are good, but slight fades compared to their surface numbers. Bullpens are a few days used and seen.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-115).

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ALDS Game 2: Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees clash Monday as they continue their best-of-5 ALDS. Game 2 at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:38 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: New York leads 1-0; New York won 5-2 in the regular season series

The Yankees took Saturday’s opener 6-5 as -201 home favorites with the Over (8) hitting in the top of the 6th inning.

There were 4 lead changes in the first 5½ innings. Kansas City led 1-0 after 2½ innings, 3-2 after 4½ innings and 5-4 after 5½ innings. New York tied it in the bottom of the 6th on C Austin Wells’ 2-out, RBI single and took the lead for good on LF Alex Verdugo’s 2-out RBI single in the bottom of the 7th — Verdugo (2-for-3, 2 runs, 1 RBI), the Yankees’ No. 9 hitter, scored the tying run in the 6th.

Including regular-season games, Kansas City is 4-16 across its last 20 games at Yankee Stadium dating back to July 2018.

The Yankees are 15-8 since Sept. 6. They outscored the Royals 48-29 — averaging 6.0 runs per game — in the 8 head-to-head battles this season, including Saturday’s opener.

Royals at Yankees projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Ragans (11-9, 3.14 ERA) made 32 regular-season starts. He had a 1.14 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and an AL-best 10.8 K/9 in 186 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 1-0 win at Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of AL Wild Card Series Tuesday in 1st career postseason appearance
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 2.57 ERA (7 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • 2024 vs. Yankees, 1 start, no-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 4-3 loss in 11 innings at Yankee Stadium Sept. 11
  • Clocked a 1.08 ERA (25 IP, 3 ER) across 4 starts in September

Rodon (16-9, 3.96 ERA) started 32 games in the regular season. He had a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 175 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Sept. 27
  • Career vs. Royals: 4-6, 4.66 ERA (67 2/3 IP, 35 ER),1.49 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 13 starts
  • 2024 vs. Royals: 1-0, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 12 K in 2 starts
  • Posted a 2.92 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 16 ER) over his last 9 starts
  • Career postseason: 0-1, 13.50 ERA (2 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 2 games (1 start), both for Chicago White Sox in 2020 and ’21

Royals at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Royals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-185) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Royals 4

Moneyline

New York took 2 of 3 from Kansas City in a Yankee Stadium series last month (Sept. 9-11). The Yanks are 4-1 across their last 5 games after an off day.

The Yankees’ regular-season line against lefty pitching does not pop off the page. But their .721 OPS in such situations includes a 2nd-half surge in that department.

As mentioned above, Ragans is making just his 2nd postseason appearance. He has pitched just 2 2/3 career postseason innings, and they have not gone well (4 runs allowed on 4 hits and 4 walks). But the New York port-sider pitched well down the stretch and he has an excellent line against current K.C. bats (.641 OPS allowed, according to ESPN).

The long rest for Rodon is certainly a consideration. Over his career, the left-hander has a allowed a .698 OPS; he’s held foes to a .663 mark when pitching on 6-plus days of rest.

The Yankees received good non-Soto-and-Judge production Saturday. That’s a good sign for their offense, which is not at its best when too reliant on the meat of the batting order.

The Game 1 win gives New York a cushion and perhaps some loose confidence. The same words might well apply to a Yankee bullpen that had its struggles in the regular season but could have benefited greatly from the 5-day reset it had while awaiting Wild Card Series results.

New York had a plus-18 run differential against Kansas City in the regular season.

BACK YANKEES (-150).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest. PASS.

Over/Under

The Over 8 cashed Saturday, and the Over is 7-1-1 across New York’s last 9 games.

A hedge against both starters makes sense in this one. Even though Rodon is perhaps slightly undervalued in this matchup, he tends to allow loud contact and has lately even in a string of good work over recent weeks.

The weather report calls for a breeze blowing out to right, and the OVER 7.5 (-110) has value for this contest.

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ALDS Game 1: Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees meet Saturday as they swing into their best-of-5 ALDS. Game 1 at Yankee Stadium is slated for a 6:38 p.m. ET (TBS/Max) 1st pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: New York won 5-2

Kansas City made the postseason field as a Wild Card, and the Royals advanced to the ALDS by sweeping 2 low-scoring games from the Baltimore Orioles in Wild Card Series play. Despite scoring just 2.38 runs per game along the way, Kansas City has gone 6-2 over its last 8 games.

The Yankees have been idle since closing out the regular season Sunday. New York had a solid enough final stretch in September — the Yanks went 14-8 after Sept. 6. In the regular season, they outscored Kansas City 42-24 over 7 meetings.

Royals at Yankees projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Wacha (13-8, 3.35 ERA) made 29 starts in the regular season. He registered a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 166 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 7-4 win at Washington Nationals Sept. 26
  • Career vs. Yankees: 2-1, 2.97 ERA (57.2 IP, 19 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 11 appearances (9 starts)
  • Last threw in postseason in 2021 (2 2/3 IP); owns 5.21 ERA across 38 career postseason innings

Cole (8-5, 3.41 ERA) made 17 starts in the regular season. He authored a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 across 95 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 10-1 home victory vs. Baltimore Orioles Sept. 26
  • Career vs. Royals: 4-1, 2.77 ERA (52 IP, 16 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Owns 2.93 ERA in 104 1/3 career playoff innings

Royals at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Royals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Yankees -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-130) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Royals 2

Moneyline

New York (-210) took 2 of 3 from K.C. in a Yankee Stadium series last month (Sept. 9-11), and the Yankees are 6-3 across the last 9 series meetings.

The Yanks are a lean here, but there’s a better play on the run line: PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

New York’s regular-season run differential vs. Kansas City plays into a lean here. So does Cole’s line against current hitters. Per ESPN, the Yankee hurler has held Kansas City to an aggregate .559 OPS with a hefty strikeout rate.

Wacha logged some generous rates around the margins in posting his regular-season ERA, and his expected ERA numbers are not as tidy as Cole’s.

BACK THE YANKEES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

The Under is 3-1 across the last 4 meetings.

Both starters have fared well in long-rest situations in their careers. With rested bullpen arms and perhaps rusty bats getting back in the groove after some off days, the pitching should be tabbed ahead of the hitting in this spot.

TAKE THE UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (80-66) and New York Yankees (83-62) play the finale of a 3-game series Wednesday at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 4-2

The Royals evened up the series with a 5-0 victory Tuesday night after losing 10-4 on Monday. RHP Seth Lugo went 7 shutout frames and fanned 10. The top-3 hitters, OF Tommy Pham, SS Bobby Witt Jr. and C Salvador Perez combined to go 5-for-13 with a HR and 4 RBIs. The Royals firmly hold the 2nd Wild Card spot.

2B Gleyber Torres had 2 of the miniscule 3 hits in the game Tuesday. The Yanks are 4-6 in their last 10 games and are clinging to a half-game lead in the AL East over the Baltimore Orioles.

Royals at Yankees projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. RHP Luis Gil

Ragans (11-9, 3.33 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 167 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K Friday against Minnesota Twins
  • Last 7 starts: 4-2, 3.23 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 51 K in 39 IP
  • Has never faced Yankees

Gil (13-6, 3.24 ERA) makes his 26th start. The rookie has a 1.16 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 130 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 7 K Friday against Chicago Cubs
  • Has never faced KC
  • Home/road splits: Home: 6-3, 3.18 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 13 GS; Away: 7-3, 3.29 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 12 GS

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:01 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-185) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3, Royals 2

Moneyline

The Yankees mustered 3 freakin hits Tuesday, and I look for them to show a little better in this one. We have a great pitching matchup, but the Yankees have a massive advantage in the pen. The Yankees’ bullpen is 10th with a 3.80 ERA, and the Royals are 25th with a 4.52 ERA.

Take the YANKEES -145.

Run line/Against the spread

I don’t like the RL here, and I also am staying away from pitcher props here. Both starters, while they have 10-K potential, they’ve both had walk issues of late. Ragans has walked 10 in his last 4 GS, and Gil has walked 15.

PASS.

Over/Under

it’s slated to be 75 degrees with an 8-mph wind blowing in from right-center. The Royals are 2-7-1 O/U in their last 10 games, and the Yankees are 6-4. The Over is 3-3 in this matchup this season.

With two horses on the hill, and the wind blowing in, I’m taking the UNDER 8 (-110).

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Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (79-66) and New York Yankees (83-61) meet Tuesday in the middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 4-1

New York beat Kansas City 10-4 Monday while covering as a -179 home favorite. After being down 4-3 in the top of the 6th the Yankees scored 7 unanswered runs in the 7th and 8th innings to secure the victory.

Reliever James McArthur took the loss as he was torched for 4 ER in 1/3 IP (3 H, 1 BB). The loss ended a 4-game win streak for the Royals.

Royals at Yankees projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Lugo (15-8, 3.05 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 186 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 4-1 outing vs. Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 4-2, 3.18 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 22 H, 9 BB, 35 K in 13 appearances (3 starts)

Stroman (10-7, 4.03 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 143 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 10-6 outing at the Texas Rangers Wednesday
  • Career vs. Kansas City: 4-1, 2.52 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 27 H, 10 BB, 26 K in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Royals 6

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (-145). 

New York has dominated KC in recent matchups, having won the last 3 meetings in New York and being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall. Kansas City has also dropped each of its last 6 road games, while the Yankees are 6-3 in their last 9 at home.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Royals to cover here as +1.5 (-175) underdogs, but this line is set too heavily to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in each of New York’s last 6 home games and is 7-3 in its last 10 overall. For Kansas City, the Over is 2-0 in its last 2 on the road. The Over has also hit in each of the last 2 meetings between these squads in New York, being 3-1 in the last 4 overall matchups.

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Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (82-61) welcome the Kansas City Royals (79-65) to Yankee Stadium to open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 3-1

The Yankees lost 2-1 at the Chicago Cubs Sunday, but still managed to win the series 2-1. New York is 3-3 over its last 6 games, all on the road, and 5-3 in its last 8 at home. It is 37-31 at home on the season and 75-68 against the spread (ATS).

The Royals beat the visiting Minnesota Twins 2-0 Sunday to complete a 3-game sweep. Kansas City has rallied off 4 straight wins since a 7-game losing streak Aug. 28-Sept. 3. The Royals sit 2nd in the AL Central and are 34-35 on the road this season. They are 80-64 ATS.

Royals at Yankees projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Singer (9-10, 3.35 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 158 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-1 home defeat to Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
  • 2024 away stats: 3-4, 3.95 ERA (68 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Rodon (14-9, 4.19 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 152 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 11 K in 7-4 road loss to Texas Rangers Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 8-2, 3.08 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 4-6, 4.82 ERA (61 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 12 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Royals +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+116)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Royals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value here.

The Royals have lost 5 straight on the road and are taking on one of the top teams in MLB. They aren’t worth a moneyline play as underdogs, and the Yankees (-178) are just too expensive here.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+116).

While Singer has been terrific on the mound over the course of the season, recently, the Royals have struggled when he starts. They have lost 3 straight games while allowing 6 or more runs in each outing. He has allowed 19 ER over his last 6 starts.

Kansas City is 4-7 over its last 11 games, and 6 of the 7 losses were by more than 1 run. The Yankees have covered in each of their last 3 wins and are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take YANKEES -1.5 (+116).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-122).

The Yankees have gone Under in 3 straight games while failing to score more than 3 runs in each outing. They have allowed a total of just 2 runs over that span, as well.

The Royals have gone Under in 4 straight games, while holding opponents to 2 or fewer runs, and are 1-7-1 O/U in their last 9.

Considering those trends and the strength of the starting pitchers, back UNDER 8.5 (-122).

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Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (33-39) and New York Yankees (39-34) put a lid on a three-game set at Yankee Stadium Thursday. First pitch will be at 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Brad Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. In 15 starts this season, Keller has gone 6-7 with a 6.34 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, 8.1 K/9, and 4.2 BB/9 in 71 IP.

Significant control problems have cropped up for Keller over recent starts. In his last three turns, he has walked 4.9 batters per nine while posting a 9.39 ERA.

RHP Jameson Taillon is the projected starter for the Yankees. He is 1-4 with a 5.59 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 9.8 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9 in 58 IP over 13 starts.

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Royals at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-120) | Yankees -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Yankees 6, Royals 3

Money line (ML)

These two teams have played a couple of 6-5 games in this series with each side claiming one victory. The Yankees’ 6-5 win came Wednesday night in walkoff fashion with 1B Luke Voit providing the heroics on a game-winning hit that clanged off the left-field wall.

Voit’s recent return from injury (oblique) and a surge by C Gary Sanchez have been at the center of the Yanks cranking out an .806 OPS over 13 games heading into Wednesday.

The Yankees are a lean on the ML in Thursday’s matinee in the Bronx, but only if the line brings a Yankees (-185) play into range. Otherwise, PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Both starters are more likable than their surface ERAs would indicate, but of the two, Taillon is the most likely to get through 5-6 innings in quality fashion. And the Yankees hurler has held foes to a .651 OPS in his starts at home.

Kansas City is 1-6 over its last seven get-away road games. New York’s bullpen situation – both rest and performance-wise – is iffy. So there is some risk here. The price is ripe for leveraging some value, though. TAKE YANKEES -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under (O/U)

Both starting pitchers have been undone by rates around the margins (examples: Keller .360 batting average on balls in play. Taillon .385 BABIB with runners in scoring position and .550 BABIP in high-leverage situations).

Weather conditions (cool, low humidity, inward breeze) should help both starters and whoever comes in from the pen in relief. Yankees hitters and both bullpen situations cur the other way, though. Peg just a sliver of a lean on the UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (33-38) and New York Yankees (38-34) continue a three-game set at Yankee Stadium Wednesday. First pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Danny Duffy is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 4-3 with a 1.94 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 10.4 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 in 41 2/3 IP over 7 starts.

Duffy hasn’t pitched since May 12 and will be coming off the IL for this start. He has a 3.95 career ERA.

RHP Michael King is the projected starter for the Yankees. He is 0-3 with a 4.08 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 3.8 BB/9 in 35 1/3 IP over 4 starts and 7 relief appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Royals at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:33 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-130) | Yankees -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Yankees 6, Royals 4

Money line (ML)

Kansas City took two of three games from the Boston Red Sox over the weekend and picked up a 6-5 win in the opener of this series.

Yankees bats have come around of late as they have recorded an .806 OPS over their last 13 games.

Both relief units went into this series perhaps overrated overall and struggling recently. However, New York has the better bullpen, and enough so that any push back in price – after a surge toward the Yankees side – would still bring some value. PASS, but a tag of -165 would be one to leverage.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Yanks have played in relatively few 1-run games. With Duffy returning from injury, YANKEES -1.5 (+105) is a decent play.

Over/Under (O/U)

The underlying analytics for this one spell a higher-scoring game, but this total is solid. PASS as weather and wind conditions could send this total lower, but pounce on the Over if 9.5 becomes available.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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