The Kansas City Royals (28-70) and New York Yankees (50-47) begin a 3-game series in the Big Apple Friday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Yankees and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 6 of 7 games in 2022
The Royals finished their 7-game homestand going 2-5 after their 3-0 loss to the Tigers on Thursday. Kansas City is 13-34 away from Kauffman Stadium as they begins a 6-game road trip in New York. They are last in the league in runs per game on the road (3.28).
New York returns home after losing 5 of 6 on the road following the All-Star break. They were outscored 34-22 on the road trip against the Coorado Rockies and Los Angeles Angels. The Yankees are 28-23 in the Bronx.
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Royals at Yankees projected starters
RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt
Marsh (0-3, 5.40 ERA) will make his 4th career start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 15 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 11 K in a 6-1 home loss vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Saturday
- Has allowed 5 HR in 15 IP
- First start vs. the Yankees
Schmidt (5-6, 4.31 ERA) will make his 20th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 94 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 6-3 win at the Colorado Rockies Saturday
- 2023 home splits: 2-5, 3.93 ERA (55 IP, 24 ER), .264 OBA in 12 appearances
Royals at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Yankees -215 (bet $215 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-118) | Yankees -1.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)
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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 7, Royals 4
Moneyline
AVOID.
I’m confident the Yankees take care of business at home on Friday night, but I’m not putting up more than 2 units to win 1. I’m only interested in the run total with this game.
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID.
The odds are not good enough especially when you’re giving a run a half. Stick with the total.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-120)
This game will be a shootout in the Bronx. Neither team are putting their best on the mound for the series opener.
The Yankees have allowed 7 runs or more in 4 of their last 7 games. They have also gone over this run total in 3 of their last 4 home games.
Alec Marsh is allowing an average of 3 ER per start. The Royals allow the 3rd-most runs per game on the road in the MLB (5.17).
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