Tag: Royals Twins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Kansas City Royals (62-55) and Minnesota Twins (67-52) meet for a Wednesday matinee, as they close out a 3-game series in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 7-2; won 8-3 Monday, 13-3 Tuesday

Kansas City has been outscored 21-6 in dropping the 1st 2 games of this series. The Royals head into Wednesday’s series finale having lost 5 of their last 6 to Minnesota.

The Twins, who banged out 8 extra-base hits Tuesday, have notched an .841 OPS since July 31. In 9 home games over that span, Minnesota has registered a robust .919 OPS.

Royals at Twins projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. Undecided

Ragans (9-7, 3.27 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 140 1/3 IP across 24 starts.

• Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 8-4 win vs. Boston Red Sox Wednesday
• Career vs. Twins: 0-2, 3.00 ERA (15 IP, 5 ER), 18 H, 6 BB, 18 K

RHP Louie Varland, a would-be returnee from Triple-A St. Paul, is a possible starter for the Twins. Varland has appeared in 7 games for the Twins, 6 as a starter. He owns a 6.46 ERA across 30 2/3 IP. The 26-year-old has logged a 4.91 ERA in 29 career games.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:31 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Royals -110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-250) | Twins -1.5 (+185)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

Ragans has been quite good this season, but he’s the owner of an artificially tamped-down 3.80 ERA over his last 4 starts and figures to be overrated a tad.

The Twins have been on a roll against Kansas City and are tough on lefty pitching (.759 OPS with power). Minnesota is 8-2 in its last 10 home games and 36-23 overall at Target Field.

Even with the mound question mark, MINNESOTA (-110) is the value play.

Run line/Against the spread

So much juice as to drown out any leverage here. AVOID.

Over/Under

Peg the Royals’ 4.78 runs-per-game figure as being somewhat suspect on the high side. Kansas City, which has banged out a .775 OPS at home but just a .672 mark abroad, has been aided by a .329 batting average on balls in play with runners in scoring position.

Minnesota has hit the ball well of late but does have a dodgy history against Ragans (.669 OPS per ESPN). And Ragans is backed by a rested Kansas City bullpen.

It may be worth holding out for 8.5 runs here, but the UNDER 8 (+100) is worth some partial-unit action.

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The Kansas City Royals (65-54) and Minnesota Twins (66-52) meet Tuesday as they continue an AL Central set in Minneapolis. First pitch from Target Field is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 6-2

Kansas City lost Monday’s series lid-lifter 8-3, and the Royals are 2-4 over their last 6 games.

The Twins broke free from some recent struggles at the plate Monday. Over their 7 previous games, they had filed a .671 OPS.

Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. Undecided

Lugo (13-6, 2.72 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 155 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 6-5 loss vs. Boston Red Sox last Tuesday
• Career vs. Twins: 1-0, 1.73 ERA (26.0 IP, 5 ER), 20 H, 9 BB, 19 K in 4 starts
• Current Minnesota batters own an aggregate .782 OPS against him, per ESPN

Rookie RHP Zebby Matthews is a possibility for the Twins. The 24-year-old, owner of a combined-levels 2.60 ERA in the minors this season, would be making his MLB debut.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-200) | Twins -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Royals 4

Moneyline

Kansas City is 2-17 in its last 19 games in Minnesota. Overall, the Royals are 1-4 over their last 5 games against the Twins.

Minnesota is 7-2 in its last 9 games at Target Field.

The pitching is a question mark here, but the Royals don’t have the support to back up their .546 winning percentage. Lugo, who has benefitted from a low .260 batting average on balls in play, is a fade candidate on the K.C. side, and the Twins have the better bullpen.

There is some value on MINNESOTA (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better relative value can be found on the Moneyline.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 6 straight Kansas City games and in 4 of the last 6 Royals-Twins meetings.

This pitching combo, the way the Twins have hit Lugo and a warmed-up evening in Minneapolis make for a moderate lean on the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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The Kansas City Royals (65-53) visit the Minnesota Twins (66-52) Monday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 5-2

The Royals got back in the win column with an 8-3 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday as -111 home favorites. SS Bobby Witt Jr. led the way on offense with 3 RBIs, while SP Michael Wacha allowed 2 ER in 7 innings to pick up the win and RP Lucas Erceg picked up his 4th save of the season.

The Twins have lost back-to-back games after falling 5-3 against the Cleveland Guardians Sunday and failing to cash as -115 home favorites. CF Byron Buxton (2 for 4, 3 RBIs) homered twice, while RP Caleb Thielbar allowed 3 ER in 2/3 innings to pick up the loss.

Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Singer (8-7, 3.03 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 130 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-5 home defeat against Boston Red Sox Aug. 5
• Career vs. Twins: 3-6, 5.18 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 12 starts, including 1-0 with 0.00 ERA (7 IP) in 1 start this year

Lopez (10-8, 4.74 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 129 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 7-3 setback at Chicago Cubs Tuesday
• Career vs. Royals: 4-1, 2.41 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 5 starts, including 1-0 with 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start this season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Royals +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-165) | Twins -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -125 | U: -105)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Royals 5

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-160).

The Twins are 6-4 in their last 10 games, including 5-2 in their last 7 at home. They have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 5 games overall and in 5 of their last 7 at home. The Royals have dropped 3 of their last 5 contests, allowing 6 or more runs in each of those games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

In a game that features 2 teams that have been performing well, the moneyline is the better play.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-125).

The Royals have hit the Over in 8 of their last 10 games, including each of their last 5. They have scored 8 runs in 2 of their last 3 games and 5 or more in 9 of their last 10. Minnesota has avoided the Under in 7 of its last 10 games and scored 4 or more runs in 2 of its last 4.

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The Kansas City Royals (34-22) and Minnesota Twins (30-24) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 4-1

The Royals lost 4-2 as -130 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday as the Under (7.5) hit. Kansas City has lost 3 straight games for the 1st time since a 3-game skid April 27-29.

RHP Simeon Woods Richardson got his 1st win in 8 starts for the Twins, who have won 6 of their last 7 games. Twins 3B José Miranda got the offense started early with a 2-run single in the 1st inning.

Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Lugo (8-1, 1.74 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-1 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Friday
• 2024 road stats: 5-0, 0.75 ERA (36 IP, 3 ER), 0.69 WHIP in 5 starts
• 2024 vs. Twins: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (6 IP), 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 5-1 home loss March 30
• Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 1.80 ERA (20 IP, 4 ER), 1.00 WHIP in 3 starts and 2 relief appearances

Ober (5-2, 4.33 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 52 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 3-2 home victory over Texas Rangers Friday
• 2024 home stats: 2-0, 2.57 ERA (21 IP, 6 ER), 0.91 WHIP in 4 starts
• 2024 vs. Royals: 0-1, 54.00 ERA (1 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 9 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 1 start, an 11-0 road loss March 31
• Career vs. Royals: 0-3, 7.24 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.70 WHIP in 8 starts

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Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:28 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-200) | Twins -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

The market seems to have lost all confidence in the ROYALS (+110) after losing in a good spot Tuesday.

Lugo has won his last 5 decisions, and Ober has struggled against Kansas City in his career. This line seems like an overreaction to the Royals’ 3-game skid and Minnesota winning 6 of its last 7.

BET ROYALS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

Kansas City +1.5 (-200) should hit, but laying -200 in MLB is a losing proposition long term.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under 4-1-1 in Minnesota’s last 6 games, and Ober has allowed 2 ER or fewer in all 4 home starts this season.

Lugo has given up 2 ER or fewer in 6 straight starts overall and allowed a total of just 3 ER over 5 road outings this year.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

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The Kansas City Royals (34-21) and Minnesota Twins (29-24) play the 2nd game a 4-game set at Target Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-1

The Royals lost the series opener 6-5 as +154 underdogs Monday as the Over (8) hit. Kansas City has lost back-to-back games for the 1st time since a 2-game skid May 4-5.

The Twins have won 5 of their last 6 games. 3B José Miranda and LF Trevor Larnach both homered in the series opener for Minnesota, which cashed as a -168 favorite.

Royals at Twins projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Ragans (4-3, 3.34 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 62 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 3 BB, 12 K in 8-3 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Wednesday
• 2024 road stats: 1-1, 2.84 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.99 WHIP in 4 starts
• 2024 vs. Twins: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 1 start, a 4-1 home loss Opening Day
• Career vs. Twins: 0-1, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 1.50 WHIP in 2 starts

Woods Richardson (1-0, 2.57 ERA) makes his 8th start. The rookie has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 35 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 3-2 win at Washington Nationals Wednesday
• 2024 home stats: 0-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER), 0.91 WHIP in 2 starts
• Has never faced Royals before

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Royals at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Royals -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Twins +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+130) | Twins +1.5 (-156)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

It’s unlikely that the ROYALS (-126) will lose 3 straight games for the 1st time since April 27-29. Ragans is on a 13-inning scoreless streak over his last 2 outings and shouldn’t lose to Minnesota twice in a season.

Woods Richardson has been consistent for Minnesota, allowing 2 or fewer runs in 6 of his 7 starts, but has only pitched more than 5 1/3 innings twice this season.

Kansas City and Minnesota are 6th and 13th, respectively, in runs per game, according to Teamrankings.com. The better offense has the advantage at starting pitcher and will likely bounce back after 2 straight losses.

BET ROYALS (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

Runs may be hard to come by with Ragans and Woods Richardson on the mound. Minnesota +1.5 (-156) is more likely to hit on the run line, but I wouldn’t recommend backing the Twins in any capacity against Ragans in this spot.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under is 3-1-1 in Minnesota’s last 5 games, and Woods Richardson has allowed a total of just 1 run over his last 2 starts. Ragans on the mound for Kansas City also makes me lean Under, but the risk here is that the Royals have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games.

LEAN UNDER 8 (-122).

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The Kansas City Royals (34-20) and Minnesota Twins (28-24) open a 4-game series Monday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

The Royals suffered a 4-1 loss Sunday at the Tampa Bay Rays, snapping an 8-game winning streak. It was the first time since April 28 that Kansas City was limited to less than 2 runs in a single game.

Despite the loss, Kansas City is still averaging 6.8 runs per game (RPG) in the past 9 outings, which is well above the team’s already impressive 4.9 RPG season average, which ranks 6th in the majors. The Royals are 8th in the majors in both batting average (.252) and OPS (.726), according to Covers.com.

The Twins were also on the short end Sunday, falling 6-2 to the Texas Rangers at Target Field. That snapped a 4-game win streak. The Twins are averaging 4.8 RPG in the past 5 outings, while allowing just 2.6 RPG. The Under is on a 3-0-1 run in the past 4 games for Minnesota.

These teams haven’t met since the first series of the season March 28-31 in Kansas City, with Minnesota winning 2 of 3. The favorite is 2-1 in 3 meetings, with the Under going 2-1, too.

Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Marsh (4-1, 2.72 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 43 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 10-3 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Tuesday
• 2024 road splits: 2-1, 2.82 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.94 WHIP, .193 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 HR, 5 BB, 21 K across 4 starts

Ryan (3-3, 3.15 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 60 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 10-0 win at Washington Nationals Tuesday
• 2024 home splits: 1-3, 5.02 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.05 WHIP, .234 OBA, 4 BB, 31 K in 5 starts

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Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:45 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Royals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Twins -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The ROYALS (+145) are a solid play on the road behind Marsh, who has posted some outstanding numbers away from Kauffman Stadium.

The Twins (-175) have been playing well lately, taking 2 of 3 games from the defending champ Rangers, as well as the final 2 games in Washington. However, Minnesota is 0-6 in the past 6 games against winning teams.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more on the conservative side and can’t play the moneyline, consider ROYALS +1.5 (-140) on the run line as underdogs if you require a little bit of insurance.

The Twins won 2 of 3 in the 1st series of the season against the Royals, but a lot has changed since then. Minnesota can’t beat teams with a winning record, while the Kansas City offense has been on fire.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (–105) is worth playing lightly in this day game, but go with a half-unit play at best.

Ryan has struggled at home, but he has managed a solid 3.77 ERA in 28 2/3 innings across 5 daytime starts.

Marsh has allowed just 7 ER in 22 1/3 innings on the road this season, limiting the opposition to a .193 average in their own parks. This one has the chance to be an underrated pitcher’s duel.

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