Tag: Royals Red Sox odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (52-43) and Boston Red Sox (51-42) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 1-0

Kansas City has won 4 games in a row after taking down the Red Sox 6-1 Friday as a -107 road favorite. SS Bobby Witt Jr. and LF MJ Melendez both hit solo shots, and LHP Cole Ragans allowed 1 ER in 7 innings to pick up the win.

Boston failed to cash as a -101 home underdog in Friday’s loss. CF Ceddanne Rafaela had Boston’s only RBI, while RHP Cooper Criswell allowed 2 ER (5 runs) in 6 innings to pick up the loss.

Royals at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Lugo (11-3, 2.21 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 122 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-1 loss at Colorado Rockies Saturday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.60 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 3 relief appearances — last appearance in 2020

Crawford (5-7, 3.24 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 105 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-0 win at New York Yankees Sunday
  • Career vs. Royals: 0-2, 8.64 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 12 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 2 starts, including 0-1 with 8.10 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+110).

The Royals have won 4 games in a row while scoring 6 or more runs in each of those outings. They face a Red Sox squad that has lost 2 of its last 3 games while scoring 2 or fewer runs in each of those setbacks. Lugo is 11-3 for Kansas City this season with a 2.21 ERA and holds the advantage Saturday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the moneyline for Kansas City.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

The Red Sox have hit the Under in each of their last 3 games while scoring 2 runs or fewer in 2 of their last 3 and 4 or fewer in 4 of their last 6. The Royals have held opponents to 4 runs or fewer in 7 of their last 10 games.

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Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (51-41) welcome the Kansas City Royals (51-43) to Fenway Park Friday to kick off a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Red Sox won 5-2 last year

The Red Sox beat the Oakland A’s 7-0 Thursday, closing as -235 favorites. They won 2 of 3 games in that series and 2 of 3 in the series prior against the New York Yankees. Boston has been surging as of late, winning 8 of its last 10. However, it has struggled immensely at home and is just 22-24 at Fenway. The Red Sox are 43-39 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Royals beat the St. Louis Cardinals 8-5 and 6-4 Wednesday, winning both games in the doubleheader; they closed as underdogs in both. Kansas City has won 3 straight, covering in each. However, it is just 3-3 over its last 6. The Royals are 52-42 ATS on the season and 20-25 straight up on the road.

Royals at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. TBD

Ragans (5-6, 3.28 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 109 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 4-2 road loss to Colorado Rockies Friday
  • 2024 away splits: 1-3, 3.04 ERA (50 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 4 HR, 9.5 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 1.35 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 0 HR, 1 BB, 11 K in 1 start, a 6-2 road loss Aug. 7, 2023

The Red Sox had not yet announced a starter, but manager Alex Cora reportedly confirmed RHP Cooper Criswell (3-3, 4.15 ERA) is in play to make his 12th start and 13th apperance. The rookie has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 52 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-4 home victory vs. Yankees June 15
  • 2024 home stats: 2-1, 3.41 ERA (29 IP, 11 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 7 appearances (6 starts)
  • Career vs. Royals: 0-0, 4.50 ERA (4 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 relief appearance of 4-2 road win July 15, 2023, with Tampa Bay Rays

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Red Sox -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Royals -1.5 (+126) | Red Sox +1.5 (-152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (-116).

The Royals haven’t consistently won with Ragans on the mound, but he has allowed 3 or fewer ER in 9 of his last 10 starts. That type of consistency will eventually produce wins. Kansas City is also surging, while the Red Sox are struggling at home. K.C. has won 3 straight, each by 2 or more runs.

Boston has lost 4 of its last 7 at home with every loss coming by 3 or more runs. Given Ragans’ success on the mound and Boston’s issues at home, back ROYALS (-116).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Red Sox are too expensive as run-line underdogs, while the Royals are too risky as run-line favorites. The value is on the moneyline.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

The Red Sox have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 or fewer runs in 2 of those while allowing 0 runs in 2 as well. Boston is 1-3 in its last 4 home games.

The Royals are 4-5 O/U in their last 9 games and 1-4 O/U in Ragans’ last 5 starts as well. Put the trends together, and back UNDER 9 (-105).

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Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (37-79) take on the Boston Red Sox (59-55) in the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Fenway Park is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 2-1

The Royals lost 4-3 Wednesday and 6-2 Monday, although they avoided a potential sweep situation with a 9-3 victory Tuesday. Kansas City has lost 4 of its last 5 games, although it took a 7-game win streak into Saturday’s game.

The Red Sox have won 2 of 3 games so far this series but have only 3 wins in their last 11 games. Boston is 5 games out of the final AL Wild Card berth and 11 games out of the AL East lead.

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Royals at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Auston Cox vs. LHP James Paxton

Cox (0.1, 3.58 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 27 2/3 IP.

  • As a starter: 0-1 with 7.56 across 8 1/3 IP over 2 starts
  • Has not allowed a run in 3 of his last 4 appearances (4 1/3 IP)
  • Last start: No decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 8-4 road loss vs. Minnesota Twins on July 3

Paxton (6-3, 3.60 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 75 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 7-3 home loss to Toronto Blue Jays Friday
  • The Red Sox are 6-8 when he starts and have lost 3 of his last 4 outings

Royals at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Red Sox -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +2.5 (-140) | Red Sox -2.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Royals 3

Moneyline

There is no real reason to consider a wager on the Red Sox (-250) due to the steep risk vs. reward.

The Royals (+190) are 16-43 on the road this season and 3-9 in their last 12 road contests, so betting them to win outright would be to buck season-long trends.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Royals are 46-70 ATS overall this season, the 2nd-worst mark in all of baseball. The Red Sox are 58-56 ATS.

However, only 3 of Boston’s last 8 wins have been by at least 3 runs.

BET ROYALS +2.5 (-140).

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Over/Under

Five of the Royals’ last 7 games have had 11 or more runs.

Only 2 of the last 15 for the Red Sox have reached 11 total runs.

BET UNDER 10.5 (-110).

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Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (36-77) and Boston Red Sox (57-54) open a 4-game set at Fenway Park Monday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Royals won 4-3 in 2022.

The Royals have lost 2 straight after they compiled a 7-game winning streak. They are 7-3 over the last 10, but they are still just 12-18 over the last 30 games. The Royals are also no bueno on the road at 15-41, and they’re just 5-15 against the AL East.

The Red Sox have lost 4 in a row and 7 of 8, and they need to turn it around in this series if they have any hopes of entering the Wild Card fold. They sit 5 games out of a playoff spot. Three positive points for this one: the Red Sox are 30-26 at home, 17-12 against lefties and 11-8 against the AL Central.

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Royals at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Ragans (3-3, 4.33 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 35 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K against New York Mets Wednesday
  • Since entering KC’s rotation: 2 starts, 11 IP, 1 ER, 11 H, 3 BB, 11 K

Bello (8-6, 3.79 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 102 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 7 K Tuesday against the Seattle Mariners
  • Home/road splits: 4-4, 3.29 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 10 home starts; 4-2, 4.37 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 8 road starts

Royals at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Red Sox -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (-110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Royals 5

Moneyline

There’s no point in betting on either side of the moneyline here. I have no faith in the Royals on the road, and the Red Sox at -200 isn’t an option.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Bello has hit a snag in what has been a good season. He has allowed 16 ER in 22 IP over his last 4 starts. Meanwhile, Ragans has been good in his first 2 starts with the Royals. Kansas City got the best of Boston last season, and I’m willing to LEAN ROYALS +1.5 (-110) in this one.

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Over/Under

The Royals are 8-2 O/U over the last 10, and the Red Sox are 4-6. The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams as well. The biggest change for KC is they are averaging 6 runs per game over the last 10 — even in losses they still had 13 runs in 3 games. The Red Sox have stalled out offensively, scoring more than 3 runs just 3 times in 10 games.

I think this will be a back-and-forth affair, and I’ll LEAN OVER 10 (-110).

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Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (33-46) and Boston Red Sox (50-31) wrap up their four-game series Thursday at Fenway Park with first pitch scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Kris Bubic is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 2-3 with a 4.47 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 in 48 1/3 IP over six starts and seven relief appearances.

Bubic hasn’t pitched more than 4 2/3 innings in a single outing since May 28, giving up 3 runs on 3 hits in his last outing in just 2/3 of an inning. He’s worked in relief his last three appearances with his last start coming June 13. He earned the win June 18 against the Red Sox allowing 2 runs in 2 2/3 IP.

RHP Nathan Eovaldi is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 8-4 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 in 90 2/3 IP over 16 starts.

Eovaldi was hot and cold in June with three starts of 1 or 0 earned runs allowed and two starts where he allowed at least 3 runs in less than 6 innings. He allowed 3 runs in 4 innings against the Royals June 20 in the Red Sox’s 7-3 loss to Kansas City.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Royals at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Red Sox -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (+105) | Red Sox -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Royals 3

Money line (ML)

The Royals carry their eight-game losing skid into this one while the Red Sox look to extend their win streak to seven games. Boston is 10-6 in games Eovaldi starts, including a recent 5-2 stretch since May 22.

I like the Red Sox to win this one outright, but at -240 I would either make a small wager or PASS on the money line altogether.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

After failing to cover the spread in the first two games of the series the Red Sox finally did so Wednesday night with a 6-2 win at home. Boston’s pitching staff has struggled a bit lately but it got back on track Wednesday and should continue tonight with Eovaldi on the bump.

Bet the RED SOX -1.5 (-125) to cover the spread and win by at least two runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Sitting at 9.5 runs the Over/Under remains on the higher side for the series finale. The total has only gone Over in one of the first three games of the series and if Eovaldi is on tonight it’ll be hard for the score to push above this total.

Bet the UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (33-44) and Boston Red Sox (48-31) play the second game of a four-game series Tuesday. First pitch at Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Brad Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 6-8 with a 6.39 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 through 76 IP spanning 16 starts.

Keller has allowed an AL-high 100 hits this season and has given up at least 4 earned runs in each of his last four starts, all of which were losses. In one start against the Red Sox this season (June 19), Keller allowed 5 runs over 5 innings with 4 strikeouts and 3 walks.

RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 6-3 with a 4.00 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 over 81 IP across 15 starts.

Pivetta’s last win was May 26 against the Atlanta Braves, as he took the loss in three of his last five starts. He pitched to a no-decision last Thursday against the Tampa Bay Rays over 6 2/3 innings of no-hit ball; he had 8 strikeouts and 2 walks. He pitched 5 innings against the Royals June 18 and allowed 3 runs with 6 strikeouts in a loss.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Royals at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Red Sox -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-110) | Red Sox -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Royals 3

Money line (ML)

The Red Sox came back to beat the Royals 6-5 Monday night, after trailing 5-2 at the end of the second inning. The offense remained hot, with Boston scoring at least 4 runs in each of its last four games.

With Boston riding a four-game winning streak and Pivetta on the mound, I like the RED SOX (-200) to win outright. However, I’d make it only a small wager, because the money line is a touch chalky.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Boston covered the spread in six of its last 10 games, including four of its last five games. The Royals lost each of the last four games started by Keller, as they allowed at least 6 runs in each of those games as a team.

Bet the RED SOX -1.5 (-110) to cover the spread and win by at least a couple of runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Over the projected line in only three of the last 10 games for both teams, so there isn’t a real strong trend to follow entering this game.

Boston has carried its weight for the most part, scoring a total of 24 runs in the last four games, but Kansas City has plated just 11 in its last five games.

Bet the UNDER 10.5 (-110) Tuesday.

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Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (33-44) and Boston Red Sox (48-31) play the second game of a four-game series Tuesday. First pitch at Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Brad Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 6-8 with a 6.39 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 through 76 IP spanning 16 starts.

Keller has allowed an AL-high 100 hits this season and has given up at least 4 earned runs in each of his last four starts, all of which were losses. In one start against the Red Sox this season (June 19), Keller allowed 5 runs over 5 innings with 4 strikeouts and 3 walks.

RHP Nick Pivetta is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 6-3 with a 4.00 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 over 81 IP across 15 starts.

Pivetta’s last win was May 26 against the Atlanta Braves, as he took the loss in three of his last five starts. He pitched to a no-decision last Thursday against the Tampa Bay Rays over 6 2/3 innings of no-hit ball; he had 8 strikeouts and 2 walks. He pitched 5 innings against the Royals June 18 and allowed 3 runs with 6 strikeouts in a loss.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Royals at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Red Sox -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-110) | Red Sox -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Royals 3

Money line (ML)

The Red Sox came back to beat the Royals 6-5 Monday night, after trailing 5-2 at the end of the second inning. The offense remained hot, with Boston scoring at least 4 runs in each of its last four games.

With Boston riding a four-game winning streak and Pivetta on the mound, I like the RED SOX (-200) to win outright. However, I’d make it only a small wager, because the money line is a touch chalky.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Boston covered the spread in six of its last 10 games, including four of its last five games. The Royals lost each of the last four games started by Keller, as they allowed at least 6 runs in each of those games as a team.

Bet the RED SOX -1.5 (-110) to cover the spread and win by at least a couple of runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Over the projected line in only three of the last 10 games for both teams, so there isn’t a real strong trend to follow entering this game.

Boston has carried its weight for the most part, scoring a total of 24 runs in the last four games, but Kansas City has plated just 11 in its last five games.

Bet the UNDER 10.5 (-110) Tuesday.

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Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (33-43) and Boston Red Sox (47-31) open a four-game series Monday at Fenway Park with first pitch coming at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Danny Duffy is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 4-3 with a 1.81 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 44 2/3 IP over eight starts and one relief appearance.

Duffy has been eased back into things since returning from the injured list Wednesday, pitching 2 innings against the Yankees in that start and 1 inning of relief Friday against the Rangers. He lost his last two starts before landing on the IL in May. He’s 0-6 with a 7.26 ERA in eight career starts against the Red Sox.

RHP Garrett Richards is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox. He is 4-5 with a 4.74 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 in 76 IP over 15 starts.

Richards hasn’t picked up a win since May 19 and struggled mightily his last time out. He pitched just 1 2/3 innings Wednesday against the Rays, allowing 4 earned runs on 3 hits and 4 walks while giving up 2 home runs. He is 2-1 with a 3.16 ERA in 11 games (five starts) against the Royals in his career.

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Royals at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:29 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Red Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Roayls +1.5 (-145) | Red Sox -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 11 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 8, Royals 4

Money line (ML)

The Red Sox are coming off a sweep of the Yankees, outscoring New York 18-7 in the three-game series. On the other hand the Royals have lost five straight, four of which were by at least three runs.

I like the RED SOX (-155) to win outright at home where they are 23-17, significantly better than Kansas City’s 15-24 away record.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Red Sox have covered the spread seven times in their last 10 games. The Royals are just 4-6 ATS in that same stretch, struggling to keep games competitive in the last week.

With Duffy on the mound and being unlikely to go more than a few innings, the Red Sox should get to the Royals’ bullpen early, which benefits Boston. Take the RED SOX -1.5 (+120) to cover.

Over/Under (O/U)

Richards has gone cold recently, so he could be tagged for 3 or 4 runs in a fairly short outing. The Royals haven’t been plating many runs, however, scoring a total of 6 in their last four games.

With Boston’s offense remaining hot against the Yankees I like the OVER 11 (-110) tonight at the hitter-friendly Fenway Park.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Cameron DaSilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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