Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (42-36) finish up their 9-game road trip on Sunday with the finale of their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers (36-40). First pitch is at 2:35 p.m. ET at Globe Life Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 4-1

The Royals are 3-10 in their last 13 games and have gone 2-6 on their road trip so far. They have lost the 1st 2 game of the series against the Rangers, getting shut out 6-0 on Saturday after losing 6-2 on Friday.

The Rangers have won 3 games in a row after a 5-game losing streak.

Royals at Rangers projected starters

RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Max Scherzer

Marsh (5-4, 4.37 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 70 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 7 R, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 7-5 road loss to the  Oakland A’s on Tuesday
  • Is 1-2 with 7.20 ERA in 4 June starts
  • Has allowed 4+ runs in 4 of last 5 starts

Scherzer (13-6, 3.77 ERA in 2023) makes his 2024 debut after being sidelined with back and thumb issues. In 2023, he had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 152 2/3 IP.

  • Went 4-2 with 3.20 ERA in 8 regular-season starts with the Rangers after being traded from the Mets
  • Is 12-5 with 3.34 ERA in 22 career starts vs. the Royals

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Royals at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Rangers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-155) | Rangers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 7, Royals 3

Moneyline

The Royals are 2-6 on their current road trip and 17-22 on the road this season. Marsh has given up 4-plus runs in 4 of his last 5 starts, including 7 in a loss in his last outing. KC has been held to 2 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 6 games.

The Rangers have scored 5 or more runs in 4 straight games, but betting the Rangers on the moneyline doesn’t get you the value that the spread does.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rangers are only 18-20 ATS at home, but they have beaten the Royals in 4 straight meetings, winning 3 of those games by at least 2 runs. Ten of their last 11 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

Also, 8 of the Royals’ last 9 losses have been by multiple runs.

BET RANGERS -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

Five of Marsh’s last 6 starts have had totals of at least 10 runs, while the Rangers have scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games.

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (34-40) welcome the Kansas City Royals (42-34) to Globe Life Field Friday. First pitch in the opener of the 3-game series is set for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 2-1

The Rangers are coming off a 5-3 home win over the New York Mets Wednesday that snapped a 5-game losing streak. Texas has lost 2 straight series and hasn’t been playing its best at home either, going 17-19 at Globe Life Field. The Rangers are the 5th-worst team in the MLB against the spread (ATS) at 33-41.

The Royals, on the other hand, are the 5th-best ATS team at 43-33. They are 17-20 on the road this season despite having lost 3 of 4 in Oakland to the A’s in their series prior. They did win the series finale 3-2 though. Kansas City has hit a slump and is 3-8 over its last 11 games. SS Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team in batting average (.322), HRs (12) and RBIs (53).

Royals at Rangers projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Singer (4-4, 3.39 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 77 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 3-0 road loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-2, 3.94 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 7 HR, 7.9 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Rangers: 0-3, 6.05 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 4 starts

Eovaldi (3-3, 3.15 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 60 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 7-5 home loss to the Seattle Mariners Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-0, 2.09 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 3 HR, 9.5 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 4-2, 4.40 ERA (43 IP, 21 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 9 appearances (7 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Rangers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rangers -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-162) | Rangers -1.5 (+134)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -124 | U: -102)

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Royals at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

BET RANGERS (-142).

Over the last 13 days, the Royals have had 4-game and 3-game losing streaks. They aren’t playing as they did earlier in the season and have lost 4 of their last 6 on the road. They have also lost Singer’s last 2 starts.

Meanwhile, the Rangers have won 2 of their last 4 games at home and have also come out on top in 4 of Eovaldi’s last 6 starts. Texas is 15-13 this season as a home favorite.

Considering the trends for both sides, take RANGERS (-142).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s just no value here. The Rangers -1.5 (+134) are just too risky as a run-line favorite while the Royals +1.5 (-162) are too expensive as a run-line underdog. Play the moneyline regardless of who you favor here.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-102).

The Royals are 34-40-2 O/U and have gone Under in 2 straight games. Their offense has struggled as they have scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games, going 2-4 O/U in those. Also, KC is 1-2 O/U in Singer’s last 3 starts.

The Rangers are 29-44-1 O/U and have gone Under in 6 of their last 9 games. Texas has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of those games. With both pitchers having been strong options throughout the season, expect a low-scoring game and take UNDER 7.5 (-102).

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Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (3-9) wrap up a 3-game road series against the Texas Rangers (7-4) Wednesday. First pitch at Globe Life Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 2-0. Rangers won the regular-season series 4-2 in 2022

The Royals were hammered 11-2 in the series opener Monday and fell 8-5 in 10 innings in a thrilling Tuesday game. Kansas City trailed 4-2 heading into the top of the 8th, but it forced extras and took a 5-4 lead in the top of the 10th before a walk-off 3-run homer by C Jonah Heim with 2 outs.

The Rangers are aiming for a season-high 4 consecutive wins. It’s been a roller coaster start for Texas, as it opened 3-0, lost 4 of its next 5, and now has won 3 straight again.

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Royals at Rangers projected starters

RHP Brad Keller vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Keller (1-1, 2.61 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 6.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 10 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 1 ER on 3 H and 3 BB with 3 K across 5 2/3 IP in a win at the San Francisco Giants Friday in his first road start of the year
  • Has allowed 8 H and 0 HR across 10 1/3 IP in his 2 starts

Eovaldi (1-1, 4.22 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 10 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 3 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 6 K across 5 IP in a win over the Philadelphia Phillies on April 1 in his lone home start
  • Has allowed 11 total H and 0 HR across 10 2/3 IP in his 2 starts

Royals at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Rangers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-140) | Rangers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 6, Royals 3

Moneyline

The RANGERS (-175) are a little on the pricey side, but they’re a solid play against the struggling Royal.

Texas has won the first 2 games in this series by a combined score of 19-7. Kansas City is 0-5 in the past 5 in Game 3 of a series while going 2-9 in the past 11 against a right-handed starting pitcher dating back to last season.

Run line/Against the spread

The RANGERS -1.5 (+115) are worth playing laying the run and a half.

The Royals have been dismal at bouncing back, going 2-8 in their last 10 after a loss. Kansas City is just 15-37 in the past 52 games on the road while going 13-40 in the past 53 on the road vs. RHP. There is no reason to like the Royals in this series finale.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, but go rather lightly.

The Over is 4-0 in the past 4 for the Royals against AL West teams and is 11-1 in their past 12 games against teams with a winning overall record.

The Over is 7-1 in the past 8 for the Rangers against AL Central teams, while cashing in 4 in a row — and 5 of the past 7 — at home vs. RHP.

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Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (3-7) open a 3-game road series against the Texas Rangers (5-4) Monday. First pitch at Globe Life Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Rangers won the season series 4-2 in 2022.

The Royals won their first series of the season, posting 2 wins in 3 outings against the San Francisco Giants over the weekend. The Under cashed in 2 of the 3 contests.

The Rangers lost their 2nd consecutive series over the weekend, losing 2 of 3 games to the Chicago Cubs in their first road trip of the year. The Over cashed in the final 2 games of the series with the Cubs.

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Royals at Rangers projected starters

RHP Zack Greinke vs. LHP Andrew Heaney

Greinke (0-2, 2.38 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 11 1/3 IP.

  • Has received 0 runs of offensive support through his first 2 starts
  • Allowed 1 ER on 4 H and 1 BB with 3 K across 6 IP in a win against the Rangers in his only start against them in 2022

Heaney (0-1, 23.63 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 7 ER on 7 H and 2 BB with 2 K across 2 2/3 IP in a 7-2 loss at home against the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday.

  • Last season at home: 2-3, 3.72 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 55 K, .204 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance with the Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Last season in night games: 2-3, 4.09 ERA (44 IP, 20 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 64 K, .243 OBA in 8 starts and 2 relief appearances

Royals at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Rangers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-140) | Rangers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Royals at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Royals 2

Moneyline

The RANGERS (-165) are a solid play as a moderate favorite in the series opener.

Texas has won 6 of the past 8 games at home dating back to last season and is 5-2 in the past 7 at home against right-handed starting pitchers.

The Royals have won just 6 of the past 19 series openers dating back to last year while going 16-35 on the road (.314 winning percentage).

Run line/Against the spread

RANGERS -1.5 (+115) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line, as Texas has won by 3 or more runs in 4 of its 5 victories this season. So if you like the Rangers, you should like them on the run line.

The Royals have lost by 2 or more runs in each of their 7 losses.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is 5-2-1 in the past 8 series openers for the Royals and is 5-2 in the previous 7 outings against AL West foes. Kansas City has not given Grienke a single run of offensive support this season.

The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 series openers for the Rangers too, while going 39-14-7 in their past 60 meetings with the Royals and 20-7-5 in the past 32 meetings in Arlington.

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Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (9-17) meet the Texas Rangers (11-16) Tuesday for the start of a 3-game set at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

K.C. is 3-7 in the last 10 games and lost back-to-back games vs. the Baltimore Orioles Sunday-Monday to drop its 3rd consecutive series.

Texas lost its rubber match Monday with the New York Yankees 1-0, but the Rangers won their previous 2 series vs. the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves.

The Rangers beat the Royals 4-2 in last year’s season series. Texas outscored K.C. 42-33 in those meetings.

Royals at Rangers projected starters

RHP Brad Keller vs. LHP Martin Perez

Keller 1-2 with a 1.74 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 31 IP in 5 starts. He threw 6 1/3-scoreless IP in K.C.’s 7-1 win over the St. Louis Cardinals May 3 with 4 H, 3 BB and 2 K.

  • 2021 vs. the Rangers: Made 1 start, a no decision in K.C.’s 14-10 victory April 1 going 1 1/3 IP with 6 ER, 9 H, 2 BB and 0 K.
  • vs. the Rangers on the current roster: 5.98 with a .313/.380/.547 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 16.7 K% and 88.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 36 plate appearances (PA).

Perez 0-2 with a 2.25 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 28 IP across 5 starts. He got a no decision in Texas’s 2-1 win over the Phillies, pitching 7 scoreless IP with 4 H, 4 BB and 4 K.

Royals at Rangers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rangers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-180) | Rangers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Royals at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Rangers 2

Money line

Slight LEAN to the ROYALS (+115) because there’s a line freeze in the betting market and the Rangers (-140) are 1-9 overall in their last 10 games as a favorite since the beginning of last season.

According to Tipico Sportsbook, roughly 75% of the action is on Texas, but the line hasn’t budged off the opener, which suggests the House wants more pro-Rangers bets.

However, this is a toss-up game since the pitching staff matchup is a wash and the lineups are neck-and-neck in WAR (per FanGraphs).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS because the Royals +1.5 (-180) is out of my price range and the Under is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (+105) because both lineups struggle vs. their respective opposing starters’ pitching handedness and these starters have a combined 2-7 O/U record this season.

The Royals rank 25th in wRC+ (86), 25th in wOBA (.253) and 21st in BB/K rate (0.36) vs. left-handed pitching, according to FanGraphs.

The Rangers rank 28th in both wRC+ (73) and wOBA (.261) and 25th in BB/K rate (0.32) against right-handed pitching.

But, it’s only a LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (+105) because neither bullpen is trustworthy.

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Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (33-40) open a three-game road set against the Texas Rangers (27-48) Friday at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Royals LHP Mike Minor (6-4, 4.48 ERA) comes into his 16th start with a 1.18 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 through 86 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up 6 home runs through four starts in June after allowing just 2 HR across six outings in May
  • Make his fifth career start at Globe Life Field with a 3.38 ERA and just 2 HR surrendered across 18 2/3 IP at his former home park

Rangers RHP Dane Dunning (2-6, 4.71 ERA) makes his 15th start for the Rangers since being acquired from the Chicago White Sox in the offseason. He enters Friday with a 1.54 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9.

  • His 3.28 FIP suggests upcoming improvement on his ERA; he has been hurt by a .386 BABIP but is also allowing a hard-hit rate of 45.0%
  • Gave up 4 runs (3 earned) over 4 IP against the Minnesota Twins Sunday to take his fourth loss in six outings (two no-decisions)

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Royals at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rangers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals -1.5 (+145) | Rangers +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Rangers 6, Royals 4

Money line (ML)

The RANGERS (-120) should be backed with Dunning undervalued due to his skewed BABIP. He induces a ground ball on 54.5% of balls in play and has a strong 3.15 ground-ball to fly-ball rate.

Minor was roughed up by his former team for 4 ER over 6 IP in his season debut but managed to get the win while receiving 11 runs of support from the offense. The Rangers struggle to generate many runs against left-handed pitching, but they’re seventh by hard-contact percentage in the split.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back the RANGERS +1.5 (-175) as the safer, but less profitable play. The Royals are just 4-14 over their last 18 games and have scored a meager 3.33 runs per game over that time. They’re hitting .241/.307/.382 as a team since June 5.

The Rangers have also been stuck in a lengthy slump, so adding some insurance would be wise.

Over/Under (O/U)

If the starting pitching matchup wasn’t uninspiring enough, both bullpens are in the bottom 10 of MLB by xFIP over the last 14 days. Both units should see plenty of action Friday to send this game OVER 8 (+100) combined runs.

We’re also getting even-money odds as the more profitable side of the line.

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