Tag: Royals Blue Jays odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (18-13) and Toronto Blue Jays (15-16) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 3:07 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Kansas City beat Toronto 4-1 Tuesday while covering as a +113 road underdog to end a 3-game losing streak. LHP Cole Ragans picked up the win with 6 2/3 IP, allowing 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB and 9 K.

The Blue Jays struggled at the plate Tuesday, only getting 4 hits and 4 total bases while striking out 11 times. Toronto is 3-7 in its last 10 games.

Royals at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Lugo (4-1, 1.66 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 38 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 9 K in an 8-0 win vs. the Detroit Tigers Friday
  • Career vs. Toronto: 2-1, 2.70 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 13 H, 1 BB, 13 K in 1 start and 5 relief appearances

Bassitt (2-4, 5.64 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.85 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 30 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 K in a 12-2 loss vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
  • Career vs. Kansas City: 1-1, 3.82 ERA (33 IP, 14 ER), 33 H, 12 BB, 24 K across 6 starts

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Royals at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:49 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Blue Jays -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-185) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

LEAN ROYALS (+110).

The Royals are the hotter team, being 5-3 in their last 8 games while the Blue Jays are only 3-7 in their last 10. KC has also won 4 of its last 5 matchups vs. Toronto, but be aware that the Blue Jays have a 6-4 lead in the last 10 meetings.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

I like Kansas City to cover here as a +1.5 (-185) underdog, but the line is too heavy to risk betting on with it being set at -185. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 3 of Toronto’s last 4 games overall and is 7-3 in its last 10 outings. For Kansas City, the Under is 2-1 in its last 3 games and is 7-2-1 in its last 10. The Under has also hit in 7 of the last 8 Kansas City-Toronto matchups.

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Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (17-13) and Toronto Blue Jays (15-15) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 3-2

The Blue Jays won the series opener Monday, 6-5, as moderate favorites (-160) as the Over (8.5) cashed. Kansas City won 3 of the 4 meetings at Kauffman Stadium last week as the Under connected in every outing.

The Royals enter on a 3-game losing skid, though it’s not the offense’s fault. Kansas City has scored 11 runs in the past 3 games, but it has allowed 16 runs, with the Over cashing in 2 of 3 games, including Monday’s series opener.

The Blue Jays have won consecutive games for the first time since April 19-20 in San Diego, and they have won 2 in a row at home for the first time since winning 4 in a row April 13-16.

Royals at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Ragans (1-2, 3.90 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 30 innings.

  • Last start: Win, CG, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 2-1 home victory in 5-inning game after 3½-hour rain delay Thursday vs. Blue Jays
  • 2023 road splits: 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 12 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 15 K, .143 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 0.73 WHIP in 2 starts

Berrios (4-1, 1.23 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 36 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, CG, 2 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 1 K in Thursday’s loss
  • 2024 home splits: 2-0, 0.00 ERA, 13 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 13 K and .128 OBA with 0.66 WHIP in 2 starts

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Royals at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-165) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Royals at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Royals 2

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-145) are a decent play as moderate favorites against the Royals (+120).

Ragans and Berrios matched up in a soggy game Thursday which was called after 5 innings. Both pitchers recorded 5-inning complete games in a well-pitched outing through the raindrops.

Toronto has been solid at home, including wins over the Los Angeles Dodgers in the interleague series finale Sunday, and a win over the Royals in Monday’s series opener.

Run line/Against the spread

The Royals +1.5 (-165) are a little expensive on the run line if you’d like insurance and just can’t bring yourself to play Kansas City straight up.

Conversely, the Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) aren’t a recommended play to win by 2 or more runs, as Ragans has been surprisingly tough on the road, and Toronto is 0-4 in the past 4 games as a favorite on the run line.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) might be the strongest play on the board.

The Under has cashed in 6 of the past 8 games for the Blue Jays while cashing low in each of the past 5 starts by Berrios since his initial start of the season March 28 on the road against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Under is on a 6-2-1 run in the past 9 games for the Royals, including all 3 games last week in Kansas City against these Blue Jays. Kansas City has also seen the Under go 10-4-1 in the past 15 games and 4-1-1 in Ragans’ 6 outings.

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Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (17-12) and Toronto Blue Jays (14-15) open a 3-game series at Rogers Centre Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 3-1

Kansas City has lost back-to-back games after falling 4-1 to the Detroit Tigers Sunday and failing to cash as a +154 road underdog. SS Bobby Witt Jr. drove in the Royals’ only run with an RBI single in the 1st inning. RHP Michael Wacha allowed 4 earned runs on 9 hits in 5 2/3 innings and picked up the loss.

The Blue Jays snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 3-1 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday, avoiding the sweep and cashing as -106 home favorites. C Alejandro Kirk hit a solo shot in the 2nd to cap off a 3-run inning for the Jays. RHP Kevin Gausman allowed just 1 earned run in 7 innings to pick up the win.

Royals at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Jonathan Bowlan vs. RHP Yariel Rodriguez

Bowlan (0-1, 3.00 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. The rookie has a 1.67 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 3 innings across 1 start and 1 relief appearance in his career.

  • 2024 stats with Triple-A Omaha: 3-1, 2.57 ERA (21 IP, 6 ER), 1.10 WHIP in 4 starts
  • 2024 spring training stats: 2-0, 5.40 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 2.10 WHIP in 2 relief appearances

Rodriguez (0-1, 3.86 ERA) makes his 4th start. The rookie has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

  • Toronto is 2-1 in his starts
  • Has not lasted more than 4 IP in a start this year
  • Has allowed 5 ER this season while striking out 15 batters and walking 5

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Royals at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-165) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Royals at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+120).

Kansas City has won 4 of its last 6 games and scored 3 or more runs in 7 of its last 10. While Bowlan, who is unproven in the majors, is taking the mound, the Royals offense has scored 5 or more runs in 2 of its last 3.

Toronto has lost 5 of its last 6 games, including each of its last 3 against Kansas City, and scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6 while allowing 4 or more in 2 of its last 3.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents better value for the Royals.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under is 6-3-1 in the Royals’ last 10 games. They’ve scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 games while allowing 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 6.

Toronto has hit the Under in 8 of its last 10. It has scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6 games and 3 or fewer in 7 of its last 8.

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Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (36-53) continue their series against the Toronto Blue Jays (47-43) Friday in the 2nd of a 4-game set at Rogers Centre. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The series is tied 2-2.

The Royals took Thursday’s game 3-1 as KC pitchers scattered 7 hits and limited the damage. Toronto DH Alejandro Kirk had 2 hits, but the 1, 2 and 4 hitters flanking him went hitless. The Jays have now lost 7 of 10 as their season may be hitting the brink with a couple of games left before the All-Star break.

The Royals are going in a different direction, winners of 7 of 10, after losing 7 of the previous 10. In the latest 7 wins, the opposition scored more than 3 runs just once. So their pitching has been a lot better. They are without 10 players for this series because of Canada’s vaccine mandate, though. OF Andrew Benintendi, C MJ Melendez, 1B Hunter Dozier, RHP Brad Keller, RHP Brady Singer, OF Michael A. Taylor and OF Kyle Isbel are among them.

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Royals at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Zack Greinke vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Greinke (3-5, 4.52 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 73 2/3 IP.

  • Much better at home. Has 7.46 ERA, 1.57 WHIP on the road
  • Current Jays are hitting .273 with a .302 weighted on-base average in 101 plate appearances off him.

Manoah (9-4, 2.34 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in107 2/3 IP.

  • Hasn’t allowed a run in 13 IP against KC in 2 starts the last 2 years
  • Slightly better home numbers with a 2.21 ERA and sparkling 0.83 WHIP

Royals at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:59 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Blue Jays -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +2.5 (-115) | Blue Jays -2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Royals at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Royals 3

Money line

I’d have reluctance of placing a -370 wager on Toronto against anyone, let alone a team that just beat them. That said, KC is heavily undermanned with the players on the restricted list. PASS and look to the spread.

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Run line/Against the spread

I’m going to jump at the chance for KC to not lose by 3. They’re 7-3 the last 10, and Toronto has been a dumpster fire all season, which cost its manager his job. Give me ROYALS +2.5 (-115) for TWO UNITS.

Over/Under

The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto. However, the Over is 5-0 in Greinke’s last 5 road starts. He hasn’t been very good on the road, but he could be pitching to enhance his trade value right now. He’ll pitch well enough to keep KC in it. It’s a low total, though so go UNDER 7.5 (+105) for a HALF UNIT.

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Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (35-53) and Toronto Blue Jays (47-42) kick off a 4-game set Thursday at Rogers Centre in Toronto. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1

The Royals ride into Toronto on a high note, posting 3 of 4 wins in the previous series at home against the Detroit Tigers, while winning 2 of 3 prior to that against the Cleveland Guardians.

However, Kansas City placed 10 players on the restricted list ahead of the trip because the players aren’t vaccinated against COVID-19, required for entry to Canada.

The Blue Jays fired manager Charlie Montoyo prior to Wednesday’s game, and now turn to interim skipper John Schneider with Triple-A manager Casey Candaele promoted to bench coach in Toronto. The Jays responded with an 8-2 win over the Phillies in Schneider’s 1st game at the helm.

Toronto swept a 2-game interleague series against Philadelphia Tuesday and Wednesday, but the Jays were 1-9 in the previous 10 outings.

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Royals at Blue Jays projected starters

UNDECIDED vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

The Royals have not listed a lineup or a starting pitcher as of the time of this publishing.

  • Kansas City’s team ERA of 4.84 ranks last in the AL and 27th in the majors.
  • The pitching staff’s 1.48 WHIP ranks last in the majors, while it has only recorded an AL-low 642 K’s.

Gausman (6-6, 2.86 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 88 IP.

  • Is 3-3 with a 3.77 ERA with a .306 opponent batting average and 51 K across 43 IP over 9 home starts.
  • Has managed a 3-3 record with a 2.27 ERA and .234 OBA with 59 K in 47 2/3 IP in 8 night starts.

Royals at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:47 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +310  (bet $100 to win $310) | Blue Jays -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +2.5 (-113) | Blue Jays -2.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -110)

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Royals at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 8, Royals 2

Money line

The Blue Jays (-450) are way too expensive even though the Royals (+310) are shorthanded and will have inexperienced catchers with the big-league club, a spot starter and outfielders coming up from the minors. Some coaches will be missing for Kansas City.

PASS, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread

After firing their manager Wednesday, the BLUE JAYS -2.5 (-117) responded well. A matchup with the shorthanded Royals is a perfect situation for the Jays to get back on track. Gausman is a veteran presence who will right the ship, and the Toronto players will each respond with urgency in this game after its skipper was canned Wednesday.

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean here despite the fact the Under is 6-3 in the last 9 games for Toronto. The concern is that Kansas City’s offense will be patchwork and struggle for consistency, but Toronto should be able to do most of the heavy lifting to get this one across the finish line.

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Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analysis and picks for Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays matchup to help you make your best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (51-48) return home for the first time since the 2019 MLB season to begin a three-game set against the Kansas City Royals (45-56) Friday. First pitch will be at 7:07 p.m. ET at Rogers Centre in Toronto. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Royals LHP Daniel Lynch (1-2, 7.88 ERA) makes the fifth start of his rookie season. The 24-year-old has allowed 14 ER on 23 H and 5 BB with 11 K through 16 IP. He has given up just one home run.

  • Went a season-high 8 innings Sunday against the Detroit Tigers and didn’t give up a run on 5 hits and no walks with 4 strikeouts
  • Hadn’t pitched in the majors since May 13 prior to the start against the Tigers

Blue Jays RHP Ross Stripling (3-6, 4.84 ERA) has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 80 IP spanning 16 starts and one relief outing.

  • Took a no-decision Sunday against the New York Mets with 1 ER on 5 H and no walks over 5 IP
  • Rates of exit velocity, hard contact and fly balls are all well above the league average

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Royals at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:07 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Blue Jays -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (+100) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Blue Jays 10, Royals 6

Money line (ML)

The Blue Jays (-225) lit up the Boston Red Sox for 13 runs Thursday in their final game before their long-anticipated return north of the border. It was the sixth time this month the Jays have put up 10 or more runs in a game. They lead baseball with a .785 team OPS and .192 ISO.

They’re fifth with a .770 team OPS against left-handed pitching and the Royals are 24th with a .686 mark against right-handers.

Still, PASS on the steep -225 money line price for the highly motivated Blue Jays and back the run line for proper value.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-120) will win this by 2 or more runs with a significant advantage in the batting splits and overall quality of offense.

Kansas City has a slight edge in the bullpen battle, but don’t expect Lynch to have as strong of a performance as he had against the lowly Tigers last time out. Toronto will get to the Royals ‘pen early.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 10.5 (-105) is a strong play. Lynch was a disaster on the mound before his midseason demotion and one good outing against the Tigers doesn’t signal a turnaround.

Stripling had given up 10 home runs over his seven starts prior to Sunday, and he won’t go unblemished at the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre.

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