Rockies Nationals odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Colorado Rockies (20-24) play the Washington Nationals (16-30) Friday for the second game of their 4-game series in Washington. First pitch is 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The season series between the two teams is tied 2-2.

The Rockies lost the opener 7-3 Thursday. They have lost 4 out of their last 5 games and 8 of their last 11. Colorado is 1-3 on its current road trip and has dropped 7 of its last 8 road contests.

The Nationals have won 2 games in a row. They are 7-17 at home this season, the worst mark in baseball.

Rockies at Nationals projected starters

LHP Austin Gomber vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez

Gomber (2-4, 4.11 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 46 IP.

Took the loss 2-0 with 2 ER on 7 H and 2 K across 7 IP in his last outing vs. the New York Mets.
Is 1-2 with a 4.13 ERA over 24 innings at home and 1-2 with a 4.09 ERA across 22 innings on the road.

Sanchez (3-3, 7.16 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 4.2 K/9 through 27 2/3 IP.

Faced the Rockies in Denver May 5 and took the loss with 7 runs (6 earned) allowed on 6 hits through 4 1/3 innings.
Allowed a season-low 2 ER on 7 hits over 5 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers Sunday in his last start, his best outing of the season.

Rockies at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:12 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Rockies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Nationals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies -1.5 (+145) | Nationals +1.5 (-180)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Rockies at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 6, Nationals 4

Money line

This makes for an interesting matchup, as the Rockies are tied for the fewest road wins in the MLB and the Nationals have baseball’s worst record at home.

The Nationals have won 2 contests in a row but have not had a winning streak of longer than 2 games all season.

The Rockies have lost 7 of their last 8 road games.

However, Colorado had success against Sanchez the last time it faced him.

I LEAN ROCKIES (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread

Four of the Rockies’ 6 road wins have been by 2 runs or more.

Twenty-six of the Nationals’ 30 losses this season have been by at least 2 runs.

Washington has not won more than 1 game in any series since taking 2 of 3 from the Giants April 29-May 1.

I LEAN ROCKIES -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

Three of the 4 games between the Rockies and Nationals have had 10 or more runs, including the series opener Thursday.

Each of Sanchez’s last 5 starts has had 10 runs or more.

Four of Gomber’s 8 starts have had totals of 10 or more.

Take OVER 9.5 (-102).

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The Colorado Rockies (68-78) and Washington Nationals (60-86) open a three-game set Friday at Nationals Park. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies RHP German Marquez (12-10, 3.93 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 167 IP.

Has struggled on the road this season with a 4.93 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over 73 innings spanning 13 starts.
Has rebounded in September with 2 earned runs through 11 innings across two starts after a rough August that saw him record a 6.75 ERA over five outings.

Nationals RHP Josiah Gray (0-2, 6.00 ERA) makes his 10th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 48 IP with the Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers.

Allowed 5 or more earned runs in three consecutive outings against the Philadephia Phillies, New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates.
Faced Colorado July 25 as a member of the Dodgers with a stat line of 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 6 K.

Rockies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Rockies -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Nationals -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Rockies -1.5 (+135) | Nationals +1.5 (-170)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Rockies 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

Friday’s game brings plenty of mixed signals in analysis but we’re going to lean into the starting pitching matchup and recent results from both teams.

Marquez has seemingly righted the ship after a rough August and faces off against a prospect in Gray that has yet to find his footing in the majors.

Gray has undoubtedly been hurt by an astonishingly high 23.9% HR/FB rate but has also benefited from a below-average .250 BABIP and an above-average 80.5% left on base rate.

The Rockies have gone 8-4 over their last dozen road games with series wins over the Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves.

The Nats are 4-6 over their last 10 games, 6-14 over their last 20 and 10-20 over their last 30. Washington is not playing good baseball.

I have some persisting concerns about Colorado’s ability to get it done on the road, and its ability to hit right-handed pitching has continued to be a problem, but I’m going to lay a partial-unit bet on the ROCKIES (-117).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

This is a PASS with a small “lean” on Colorado -1.5 (+133) for the aforementioned reasons.

However, four of Colorado’s last five victories were by a single run, Washington has continued to hit the ball very well through the second half of the season despite its record and although neither bullpen grades out particularly well in recent weeks the Rockies do grade worse than the Nationals.

Over/Under (O/U)

Perhaps an inward breeze saves Gray from his home run woes Friday, but I can’t get behind an Under against a pitcher that allows so many baserunners. There are also enough concerns with both bullpens that we could see some late action.

I’ll take the OVER 8.5 (-125).

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