The Colorado Rockies (5-10) and Seattle Mariners (7-8) finish a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park Sunday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 2-0
The Rockies have dropped 4 in a row after a 9-2 defeat in Seattle Saturday night. The Rockies are now 2-6 away from Coors Field. The bats are the problem as they’re hitting .230 with a .292 OBP on the road vs. .298 and .342 OBP at home.
Seattle has won 3 in a row after a 3-game losing skid. OF Jarred Kelenic has a 9-game hitting streak and is hitting .356 with 4 homers and 7 RBIs on the year. Superstar OF Julio Rodriguez really hasn’t done much yet with a .254 BA and 2 homers, but he drove in 4 runs Saturday.
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Rockies at Mariners projected starters
RHP Noah Davis vs. RHP Luis Castillo
Davis (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st career start.
- Allowed 2 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 2 K at the Los Angeles Dodgers in an inning of relief last season (Oct. 5)
- In 3 starts at Triple-A Albuquerque this season: 0-0, 4.26 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 7 BB, 6 K in 12 2/3 IP
Castillo (1-0, 1.02 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.74 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 17 2/3 IP.
- Allowed his first 2 ER of the season over 6 IP with 5 K’s against the Chicago Cubs last time out on Tuesday
- Has rough numbers in 3 career starts vs. Colorado (2 at Coors Field): 0-3, 11.30 ERA, 27 H in 14 1/3 IP
Rockies at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:34 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockies +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Mariners -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-130) | Mariners -2.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rockies at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 6, Rockies 3
Moneyline
I take Castillo’s poor numbers against Colorado with a grain of salt. He’s a better pitcher in a much-better ballpark. He has allowed just 3 H and 2 BB while fanning 12 in 11 2/3 scoreless innings at home this year. The -300 is priced correctly, but you can’t risk 3 times your return.
Head to the Win/Total section and take MARINERS AND OVER 5.5 (-135).
Run line/Against the spread
Barely getting plus-money on a game you must win by 3 or more isn’t a good bet to make, though it should happen.
PASS.
With Kelenic on a 9-game hitting streak and a pitcher making his 1st start, he’s a bargain to get a hit Sunday. Take JARRED KELENIC OVER 0.5 HITS (-150).
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Over/Under
The wind is blowing out to left-center field at 15 mph. There is also a 97% chance of rain, which could put this game into jeopardy. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings and 4-1 in the last 5 in Seattle. However, the wind, Colorado starting a rookie pitcher and 3 of Seattle’s last 4 games with 8 or more runs will make me LEAN OVER 8 (-110).
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