Tag: Rockies Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Colorado Rockies (45-68) and the Milwaukee Brewers (61-54) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rockies lead 4-1

The Rockies picked up a 7-3 win Tuesday behind LHP Kyle Freeland as they bounced back from an embarrassing 12-1 pounding in the series opener Monday. The Over has cashed in the first 2 meetings in this series, and 3 straight meetings overall this season.

The Brewers have alternated losses and wins across the past 9 outings dating back to July 31. Despite going 4-8 in 12 games dating back to July 28, the Brew Crew still maintain a 1 1/2-game lead in the NL Central over the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds.

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Rockies at Brewers projected starters

RHP Chris Flexen vs. RHP Adrian Houser

Flexen (1-5, 7.82 ERA) makes his 7th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.93 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 50 2/3 innings for the Rockies and the Seattle Mariners.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 9-4 road loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-1, 9.43 ERA (21 IP, 22 ER – 8 HR), .418 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts and 7 relief appearances

Houser (4-3, 4.19 ERA) makes his 14th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 73 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 14-1 home win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday
  • 2023 home splits: 2-1, 3.67 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 14 ER – 3 HR), .257 OBA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance

Rockies at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Brewers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+100) | Brewers -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rockies at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 8, Rockies 4

Moneyline

The Brewers (-225) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward. Flexen has been horrific so far this season in his stops in Seattle and Denver and he’s been even worse on the road, posting a 9.43 ERA in enemy territory. Teams are hitting .418 against him in 21 IP away from home, too.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BREWERS -1.5 (-120) are a decent play on the run line in the series finale.

Flexen has been very giving on the road, and you need to keep fading him and his team until he starts to make significant progress away from home. He also has a horrible 8.66 ERA across 17 2/3 IP in 2 daytime starts and 5 relief appearances in his time with Seattle.

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Over/Under

OVER 9.5 (-105) is a strong play in the series finale.

With the way Flexen has been knocked around, Milwaukee could very well take care of the Over on its own. The Over has cashed in each of the first 2 games in this series, so why stop going high now?

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Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (44-67) and the Milwaukee Brewers (60-53) open a 3-game series Monday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Rockies vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rockies lead 3-0

The Rockies have managed to win just 44 games in 111 tries, but 3 of those victories came May 2-4 in a sweep of the visiting Brewers at Coors Field. Colorado surprised St. Louis over the weekend, winning 2 of 3 games at Busch Stadium, including a 1-0 victory in the finale on Sunday. The Rox are 4-3 in the previous 7 games overall as the Over has cashed in 5 games along that span.

The NL Central-leading Brewers hold a 1 1/2 game buffer over the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds but have been treading water lately. Milwaukee is just 3-3 across the past 6 games, while also splitting the Over/Under in the span. Milwaukee lost 4-1 to the Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday but it hasn’t dropped consecutive games at American Family Field since July 4-5 against the Cubs.

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Rockies at Brewers projected starters

RHP Peter Lambert vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Lambert (2-2, 5.07 ERA) makes his 5th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 49 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-5 home loss vs. San Diego Padres Tuesday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-0, 2.13 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 6 ER – 2 HR), .213 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts and 6 relief appearances

Peralta (7-8, 4.46 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 115 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-4 road win vs. the Washington Nationals Tuesday
  • 2023 home splits: 4-4, 4.06 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 29 ER – 10 HR), .214 OBA in 12 starts

Rockies at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Brewers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+100) | Brewers -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rockies at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The ROCKIES (+195) haven’t exactly been consistent this season, but Colorado does have a 3-game series sweep against Milwaukee in early July.

The Rockies have actually won 5 straight meetings in this series dating back to Sept. 6, 2022, although Colorado won just 1 of the 4 meetings in Milwaukee in 2022.

Still, the Brewers have been spinning their wheels lately, and the Rockies are a solid value for a chance to nearly double up.

Run line/Against the spread

The ROCKIES +1.5 (+100) are still a solid value at even money if you just can’t bring yourself to play them straight up.

Colorado is a spectacular 9-3 across the past 12 games on the run line as an underdog, including 6 outright victories.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean, but go lightly.

The Under has cashed in 5 of the past 7 games for Colorado and is 16-7 across the past 23 games overall. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games away from home, too.

For Milwaukee, the Under cashed in the final 2 games of the weekend series with the Pirates and is 2-1 in 3 matchups with the Rockies this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (43-51) try to rebound against the Milwaukee Brewers (51-43) Saturday in the 2nd game of a 4-game set at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0

The Rockies let one slip away Friday, eventually losing 6-5 in 13 innings. They took a 5-3 lead in the top of the 10th, but the Brewers tied it in the bottom half on RF Hunter Renfroe’s 2-out, 2-run homer and eventually won it in the 13th on 3B Luis Urias’ RBI single. The loss dropped the Rockies to 15-28 away from Coors Field.

This was a catalyst win for Milwaukee, which is just 4-6 in its last 10. The Brewers gained another game on the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Central Division – sitting 1½ games back entering Saturday –  and this could set their sails for a soft spot in the upcoming schedule.

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Rockies at Brewers projected starters

RHP Jose Urena vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Urena (1-1, 2.05 ERA) makes his 4th start for the Rockies since joining them in mid-May after making 4 relief appearance for the Brewers before being released May 9. Between the 2 clubs, he has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 4.1 K/9 in 26 1/3 IP.

  • Since joining Rockies: 1-1, 1.45 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 3 ER) 1.34 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9, 4.3 K/9
  • 2022 at American Family Field: 0-0, 4.50 (4 IP, 2 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 3 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 2 K in 2 relief outings
  • Hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in a start this year

Woodruff (7-3, 3.93 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 66 1/3 IP.

  • A little shaky in last 2 starts: 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 9 H, 8 BB, 13 K
  • Career numbers against Rockies aren’t good: 0-1, 9.25 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 19 H, 3 HR, 6 BB, 10 K in 3 starts, but all were at Coors Field

Rockies at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:34 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Brewers -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+110) | Brewers -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Rockies at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 3, Rockies 2

Money line

AVOID. I don’t expect this to be a high-scoring game. Urena has been solid since joining the Rockies. Woodruff is 4-0 with a 2.20 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 7 ER) and 11.9 K/9 at home, but the Brewers’ offense has been so inconsistent.

There’s no way I would bet -320 on any team and I can’t even advise taking Brewers (-175) on the first 5 innings. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Because we’re not riding with the Brewers’ offense, the Rockies look are enticing here. They’re 8-6 against the NL Central and 16-14 over the last 30. We’re pegging this to be a low-scoring game, which will benefit Colorado. TAKE ROCKIES +1.5 (+110) for a HALF UNIT.

Over/Under

As mentioned, I’m really feeling the Under here. The Over hit Friday, but only 6 runs were scored in the first 9 innings. The Rockies have hit 5 Unders in the last 10, and 4 of those were in Coors. There’s also a 48% chance of rain, which will likely close the roof in Milwaukee.

TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a HALF UNIT.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (43-50) open up the 2nd half against the Milwaukee Brewers (50-43) Friday in the 1st of a 4-game set at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of 2022. Brewers went 5-2 against the Rockies last year.

When you look at these two teams’ last 10 games, you might think you’re becoming dyslexic. Colorado is 7-3, and Milwaukee  is 3-7. The Rockies struggle away from home though, as they’re just 15-27 away from Coors. Colorado is also likely to start flipping assets before the trade deadline like All-Star 1B C.J. Cron.

Milwaukee has great starting pitching, but its bullpen has been susceptible of late. Closer Josh Hader is going through the worst stretch of his career as he allowed 9 ER in his last 2 appearances and 12 ER in 5 1/3 innings for a 20.26 ERA in July. The Brew Crew is 12th with 4.57 runs per game, which isn’t enough to mask some of its deficiencies.

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Rockies at Brewers projected starters

RHP Antonio Senzatela vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Senzatela (3-5, 4.59 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.80 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 60 IP.

  • Allowed 7 ER in 7 IP in his last 2 starts before the All-Star break.
  • Allowed 2 ER on 7 H, 3 BB and 5 K in 5 IP at Milwaukee last season.
  • Opposing Brewers are hitting just .225 with a .280 weighted on-base average in 77 plate appearances against Senzatela.

Burnes (7-4, 2.14 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 113 2/3 IP.

  • Has a 1.59 ERA and 60 K’s in 45 1/3 innings in his last 7 starts.
  • Allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 2 BB while fanning 7 in 6 IP against Colorado at home last season.
  • Opposing Rockies are hitting just .207 with a .240 weighted on-base average in 64 plate appearances against Burnes.

Rockies at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:38 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Brewers -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-103) | Brewers -1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Rockies at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Rockies 2

Money line

The Brewers have a massive advantage on the bump. Can they score enough to cash a first 5 innings bet, though? Senzatela is a 5-inning, 2-ER kind of pitcher, and Burnes has been money. We’re not touching the -280 ML, but I will consider BREWERS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-155) for a HALF UNIT.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers aren’t winning enough, or by a good enough margin, to consider on the RL. I don’t trust the Rockies bats on the road, either. PASS.

Over/Under

Milwaukee went Under in 7 of the last 10. The Under hit in Burnes’ last 2 starts. You can’t read much into Colorado’s last 10 because they were at Coors Field and Chase Field, which are hitters’ havens. With the Brewers struggling offensively, and no one putting much wood onto Burnes’ offerings, let’s LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-120).

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (31-46) hope to salvage a win in the final game of their three-game series on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers (44-33) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 2-4 with a 6.12 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 5.1 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 64 2/3 IP over 10 starts and four relief appearances.

Gonzalez has a 9.92 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 6 ER in 5 1/3 IP at Coors Field last Sunday against the Brewers.

LHP Eric Lauer is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 1-3 with a 5.21 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 38 IP over six starts and three relief appearances.

Lauer has an ERA of 9.00 over his last four appearances, spanning 16 innings. He pitched opposite Gonzalez last Sunday in Colorado allowing 3 ER through 5 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Rockies at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Brewers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-125) | Brewers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Brewers 5, Rockies 2

Money line (ML)

The Rockies dropped the first two games of the series and are now 6-30 on the road.

The Brewers have won four straight games improving to 22-18 at home and are 10-4 in their last 14 at American Family Field. They hold a two-game lead atop the NL Central.

Take the BREWERS (-190).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Rockies covered the spread in one of the two games this series, and are 12-24 ATS on the road.

The Brewers are only 19-21 ATS at home and 3-4 ATS in their last seven overall, but Colorado’s play on the road is so bad that it is easy to overlook those records.

Take the BREWERS -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under (O/U)

The first two games of the series went over the total but today’s projected number is higher than either.

The Rockies rank 30th in the league with a .197 batting average and scoring only 2.9 runs per game on the road.

The Brewers don’t fare much better at home, batting .210 while averaging 4.0 runs per game, despite 59.5% of the games there this season hitting the Over.

Take UNDER 9 (-115).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (31-45) continue their road trip with the second game of three against the Milwaukee Brewers (43-33) Saturday. First pitch at American Family Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Antonio Senzatela is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 2-7 with a 4.83 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 over 76 1/3 IP spanning 14 starts.

The Rockies are 0-5 when he starts on the road, and he is 0-4 with a 6.94 ERA in his road starts.

RHP Adrian Houser is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 4-5 with a 3.95 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 over 70 2/3 IP spanning 13 starts and one relief appearance.

Milwaukee won each of his last four starts. His last outing was against the Rockies at Coors Field last Saturday; he allowed 5 runs on 9 hits over 6 innings but the Brewers won 6-5.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Rockies at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Brewers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-115) | Brewers -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Brewers 4, Rockies 2

Money line (ML)

The Rockies’ six road wins are the fewest in the majors. They are batting .197 as a team on the road and averaging 2.66 runs per game. Sanzatela has not been good on the road.

Meanwhile, the Brewers have won three games in a row and five of their last six, and they’re leading the NL Central. They started the series with a 5-4 win Friday. Houser did not allow more than 2 earned runs in any of his last four appearances at home.

Take the BREWERS (-200).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Colorado is 39-37 ATS on the season but is a league-worst 12-23 ATS on the road. However, the Rockies covered the spread in each of their last four games, including all three games on their current road trip.

The Brewers are 40-36 ATS overall but only 18-21 ATS at home. They covered the spread in only two of their last 11 games.

Despite current trends, you can’t ignore how bad the Rockies typically play on the road.

Take the BREWERS -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

More than 58% of the games at American Family Field have gone Over the projected total this season, but the Brewers average just 3.82 runs per game at home.

Colorado is 15-19 O/U on the road.

Take UNDER 8 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (42-33) return home after a seven-game road trip to start a three-game set with the Colorado Rockies (31-44) Friday at American Family Field. Game 1’s first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Jon Gray is on the hill for the Rockies. Gray is 4-6 with a 4.29 ERA (63 IP, 30 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 across 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 9-5, with 2 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 0 K vs. the Oakland Athletics June 4.
  • vs. Brewers on the current roster: 58 at-bats with a .224/.237/.362 slash line, 20/1 K/BB, 1 HR and 7 RBIs.

RHP Corbin Burnes makes his 13th start for the Brewers. Burnes is 3-4 with a 2.62 ERA (68 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 14.2 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB and 6 K in Milwaukee’s 6-5 loss in 10 innings at the Rockies June 18.
  • vs. Rockies on the current roster: 47 at-bats with a .277/.340/.426 slash line, 13/4 K/BB, 1 HR and 7 RBIs.

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Rockies at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Brewers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-105) | Brewers -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Brewers 3, Rockies 2

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Rockies (+200) because I like the value of Colorado’s run line and would like to sprinkle on the underdog’s money line.

But the Rockies are just 6-28 on the road this season and their batting numbers fall off a cliff when they leave Coors Field.

Colorado’s lineup has by far the lowest wRC+ and wOBA on the road and the fifth-lowest hard-hit rate in away games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the ROCKIES +1.5 (-105) for 1 unit as a “contrarian play” against a market that’s seeing nearly 90% of the bets placed on Brewers -1.5 (-105), according to Pregame.com.

However, there is presumed “sharp” money backing Colorado as there’s nearly a split in the money column of the betting splits in Rockies-Brewers.

Also, Gray’s FIP, opponent’s wOBA, launch angle and K% vs. Chicago’s lineup are all better than Burnes’ against the Rockies’ active hitters.

Plus the Rockies had the highest hard-hit rate against Burnes of any opponent this year and the second-highest SIERA and xFIP.

Furthermore, the Brewers’ lineup has the worst home wRC+, second-worst home wOBA and sixth-worst home BB/K rate.

Lastly, these teams split a four-game series at Colorado this past weekend and three of those four meetings were decided by a single run.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-120) for a half unit only because the Under is way more popular than the Over in the Rockies-Brewers betting market and I hate following a crowd of people in sports gambling.

That being said, when you combine the Rockies’ road-hitting woes with the Brew Crew’s batting troubles at their home park and both clubs trotting out their top-end starters then the only play on the total is UNDER 7.5 (-120). 

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