Karl Roberson and Marvin Vettori tangle in a middleweight fight on the main card at UFC Fight Night 172 Saturday at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET, followed by the main card set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.
Roberson (9-2) heads into this one with statistical advantages, leading 52.99 to 41.95 in significant strikes-accuracy percentage and 57.14 to 45.00 in takedown-accuracy percentage, as well as 0.80 to 0.63 in submission average. The southpaw was submitted by Glover Teixeira in the UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw card Jan. 19, 2019, but bounced back with a split-decision win over Wellington Turman July 13, 2019, and a submission win of his own against Roman Kopylov Nov. 9, 2019 in his most recent outing. Since arriving at the UFC level, four of Roberson’s six fights have ended via submission, with two wins and two losses, so he usually ends up on the mat in some fashion.
Vettori (14-4-1), a.k.a. “The Italian Dream,” enters with a pair of unanimous decisions wins in his past two outings. He defeated Andrew Sanchez Oct. 12, 2019 and topped Cezar Ferreira July 13, 2019. Roberson actually fought Ferreira a year earlier, losing by submission May 12, 2018 at UFC 224. Since arriving at the UFC level, the results have been mixed for the Italian, posting a 4-2-1 record with his past six bouts going the distance.
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Karl Roberson vs. Marvin Vettori betting odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, June 10 at 5:50 p.m. ET.
Vettori (-228) is favored rather heavily on the 2-way line, so it’s a good idea to either AVOID betting that straight up, or find a way to mix it into a two- or three-way parlay to mitigate the risk.
It’s best to take YES (-182): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? as it’s a little less chalk to eat, and really is the BEST BET for this bout. Vettori’s fights have been going the distance on a regular basis, while two of Roberson’s past four have gone the distance. As long as Vettori can avoid going down to the canvas, this fight has a more than good chance of being decided by the judges. OVER 2.5 rounds (-200) is a little more pricey, but gives you a little wiggle room should the fight end late in Round 3 rather than via decision. However, that wager is not recommended.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Vettori (-228) fetches a profit of just $4.39, while a $10 play on Yes (-182) on will the fight go the distance returns a profit of $5.50.
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