UFC on ESPN+ 28: Best three-fight parlay in Brasilia

Highlighting Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+28 with a three-fight parlay, with odds, analysis and picks.

UFC on ESPN+ 28 – also called UFC Fight Night 170 – is scheduled to go off at the Ginasio Nilson Nelson in Brasilia with the card getting underway in Brazil’s capital Saturday at 6 p.m. ET. The bouts will be fought in an empty arena due to the unfortunate COVID-19 situation. We’ll provide a three-fight parlay suggestion to help you build a nice bankroll.

Nothing is a sure thing, and it will be interesting to see how the fighters react to the empty seats. Once the bouts get underway and the first punch is thrown, the fighters should snap right into form. However, the walkout is going to be strange even for the most consummate professional.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.


Place a sports bet on this mixed martial arts action or other events at BetMGM.


Amanda Ribas (-371) vs. Randa Markos betting odds

Per BetMGM, Ribas (-371) is heavily favored to top Markos in a women’s strawweight bout, and you have to like the Brazilian fighter. She holds advantages in Takedown Average (2.71-1.38), Takedown Accuracy Percentage (57.14-27.59) and Submission Average (1.35-0.26).

Gilbert Burns (-189) vs. Demian Maia betting odds

Burns (-189) is a big favorite over Maia in a Brazilian vs. Brazilian matchup. The more versatile fighter is Burns, who has a record littered with unanimous decisions, submissions and KO/TKOs since joining the UFC. His versatility, and the fact he is nine years younger than Maia, will serve him well.

Renato Moicano (-358) vs. Damir Hadzovic betting odds

Moicano (-358) is also heavily favored over Hadzovic, a.k.a. “The Bosnian Bomber.” Moicano has dropped his past two fights, but losses to Chan Sung Jung and Jose Aldo is certainly nothing to be ashamed of. They’re two of the top fighters in the division. If Moicano avoids the big punch, and perhaps takes this fight to the mat for some ground and pound, it should be a much-needed win for Moicano.

New to sports betting? A $10 THREE-PARLAY wager on RIBAS (-371), BURNS (-189) and MOICANO (-358) nets a profit of $14.84.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 28: Renato Moicano vs. Damir Hadzovic odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 28 fight between Renato Moicano and Damir Hadzovic, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and best bets.

Renato Moicano and Damir Hadzovic tussle in a lightweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN+ 28 – also called UFC Fight Night 170 – at the Ginasio Nilson Nelson in Brasilia, Brazil Saturday. The card kicks off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Renato Moicano vs. Damir Hadzovic preview

Moicano (13-3-1) will be making his lightweight debut, moving up from the featherweight divison. He enters this bout with two-inch advantages in height and reach. He also holds a slight edge in Takedown Average at 1.16 to 0.68. In addition, Moicano has the 0.39-0.23 advantage in Submission Average.

Moicano is trying to slap the brakes on a two-bout skid, falling to Chan Sung Jung, a.k.a The Korean Zombie, in the man event in just 58 seconds last time out. He previously suffered a Round 2 KO/TKO at the hands of Jose Aldo. His last win came against Cub Swanson at UFC 227 back on Aug. 4, 2018, so he’ll be hungry. The Constrictor Team member will be looking to get this fight to the mat, as three of his past six victories have come via submission, including a rear-naked choke of Ismael Bonfim in his final bout before inking a deal with UFC.

Hadzovic (13-5-0), a.k.a. ‘The Bosnian Bomber’, represents Rumble Sports. The 33-year-old has split his past six bouts, as he is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Christos Giagos at UFC Fight Night on June 1, 2019. He is a heavy puncher who will be looking to stay upright and rain blows upon Moicano going toe-to-toe. If you remember his knockout of Marcin Held back on May 28, 2017, you know Hadzovic’s punch is no joke.


Place a sports bet on this mixed martial arts action or other events at BetMGM.


Renato Moicano vs. Damir Hadzovic betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Per BetMGM, Moicano (-357) is a heavy favorite over Hadzovic (+275) on the 2-way line in this lightweight debut. That’s a lot of lettuce to risk on a single bout, risking nearly four times your potential return. There is a chance Hadzovic pulls the upset if he can keep the fight upright and avoid being constricted by the Team Constrictor member. The lean here is to go lightly on the favorite, although Moicano won’t be able to tap into a pro-Brazilian crowd since the arena will be empty due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

If you like Moicano to win this bout, a parlay is the way to go, and you likely need to pair him with at least two other fighters to make it worth your while.

Try a Brazilian three-way bet, or a three-fighter parlay of Moicano (-357) Charles Oliveira (+115) vs. Kevin Lee and Gilbert Burns (-189) vs. Demian Maia has total odds of +321. For the less adventurous crowd, you can simply pair the two heavy favorites, with a two-fighter parlay of Moicano and Burns.

New to sports betting? A $10 three-fighter parlay of Moicano (-357), Oliveira (+115) and Burns (-189) returns a potential profit of $32.08.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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