Tag: Reds Yankees odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Cincinnati Reds (41-45) and New York Yankees (54-34) meet Thursday afternoon to close out a 3-game interleague series in the Bronx. The opening pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 2-0

Cincinnati heads into Thursday looking for a 3-game sweep. The Reds have prevailed in a pair of 1-run games Tuesday (5-4)  and Wednesday (3-2). Cincy pitching has been sharp since last weekend; the club has yielded just 13 runs (12 earned) over its last 5 games.

Close games have not been kind to the Yankees, who are now just 3-10 over their last 13 games. New York is 10-11 in 1-run games and 1-5 in extra-inning affairs.

Reds at Yankees projected starters

RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Montas (3-6, 4.23 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 1-0 loss at St. Louis Cardinals Friday
• Career vs. Yankees: 1-1, 1.29 ERA (14 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 5 BB, 14 K in 2 starts

Stroman (7-3, 3.29 ERA) is tabbed for his 18th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 95 2.3 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 16-5 win at Toronto Blue Jays Friday
• Career vs. Reds: 4-2, 3.76 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 32 H, 11 BB, 35 K in 7 starts
• Has walked 4.8 batters per 9 IP while clocking a 5.13 ERA over his last 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Stroman’s overall season line is propped up by a .250 batting average on balls in play, and he has not been in good form of late. Meanwhile former Yankees pitcher Montas has yielded just 4 runs over his last 18 road frames.

Cincy prevails in the battle of the bullpens, and the visiting 9 has the momentum in this series.

BACK THE REDS (+145).

Run line/Against the spread

Better relative value can be had hunting the plus money on the ML. PASS.

Over/Under

Wednesday’s game broke a string of 7 straight Yankees games cashing on the Over. The overall pitching lean for this finale is a fade one.

On a warmed-up afternoon at Yankee Stadium (and with a decent chance of a riding wind blowing to left field, BACK THE OVER 9 (-105).

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The Cincinnati Reds (40-45) and New York Yankees (54-33) meet Wednesday for the middle contest of a 3-game interleague set in the Bronx. The opening pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 1-0

Cincinnati won the series opener 5-4 as a +186 underdog with the Over 8.5 cashing. The Reds powered their way to a 5-0 lead after 4½ innings and then hung on for the 1-run victory. SS Elly De La Cruz and RF Will Benson went yard as the Reds hit 2 homers in a game for the 1st time since June 22.

With the loss, the Yankees continued a slide that has been underway for more than a couple weeks. Since June 15, New York is just 4-11. Yankees pitching owns a 6.85 ERA over that span.

Reds at Yankees projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Abbott (7-6, 3.41 ERA) is making his 17th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 89 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 6 BB, 2 K in 11-4 victory at St. Louis Cardinals Thursday
• Has never faced Yankees
• Has walked 14 batters in last 20 2/3 IP

Rodon (9-5, 4.42 ERA) is making his 18th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 93 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 9-2 setback at Toronto Blue Jays Thursday
• Career vs. Reds: 2-1, 2.76 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 12 H, 9 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
• Has yielded a 1.253 OPS while posting a 13.17 ERA over his last 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Red +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red +1.5 (-137) | Yankees -1.5 (+114)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Reds at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Reds 4

Moneyline

New York struggled against left-handers early in the season, but the Yankee offense has come around to be more productive against southpaws over the last month-plus.

Abbott is a lefty whose surface numbers are buoyed by a low batting average on balls in play. For the season, he’s yielded a .238 BABIP overall. That included a .136 BABIP in inning lead-off situations and a .231 mark with runners in scoring position.

The Yanks (-178) are worthy of being significant favorites in this one. PASS on the ML and look to get the home nine by with a multi-run cushion.

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Run line/Against the spread

In 4 Reds-Yankees meetings the last 2 seasons, New York has gone 3-1. All 3 wins were by 3-run cushions.

Abbott is in the fade column for this one, but Rodon is worthy of a green check mark. He’s been beaten up by a high BABIP over recent starts. Other skill indicators have actually been improving on what he did in April-May when he clocked a 3.09 ERA through his 1st 67 innings.

New York has registered a lot of convincing home wins against sub-.500 clubs.

TAKE NEW YORK -1.5 (+114).

Over/Under

The lean here is against Abbott and likely the Yankees bullpen as well. New York clocked a 5.10 bullpen ERA in June. Cincy’s offense has been somewhat undone by a .282 BABIP; more can be expected from Reds as the summer rolls forward.

Tuesday’s lid-lifter tipped into the Over with some late life from the home side. Seven straight Yankees games have cashed on the Over.

BACK OVER 8.5 (-110).

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The Cincinnati Reds (39-45) visit the New York Yankees (54-32) for the Monday opener of a 3-game interleague set in the Bronx. The opening pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Yankees swept Cincinnati 3-0 last season

The Reds are coming off a 4-game split at the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday through Sunday. Cincinnati was shut out Friday and Sunday and has scored 1 run or fewer in 6 of its last 15 games. The Reds are 5-10 over that span.

New York heads into this series with a similar resume over recent weeks. The Yankees split 4 games at the Toronto Blue Jays over the weekend. They are 4-10 since June 15.

Reds at Yankees projected starters

RHP Graham Ashcraft vs. RHP Luis Gil

Ashcraft (4-4, 5.45 ERA) is making his 14th start. He owns a 1.49 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 67 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-1 home defeat vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday
• Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 4-3 road win July 12, 2022
• Logged 3.63 ERA over his 1st 6 starts this season; owns 5.92 ERA since

Gil (9-3, 3.15 ERA) makes his 17th start. The rookie has a 1.12 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 85 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 12-2 setback at New York Mets Wednesday
• Has allowed 12 runs over his last 5 2/3 IP
• Never faced Reds before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:30 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Reds +168 (bet $100 to win $168) | Yankees -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+104)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Reds at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

New York has been outscored 24-10 in losing each of its last 3 series openers.

Ashcraft gets a decent number of ground balls but has been hurt by a high rate of fly balls leaving the yard (15.3%). He has also pitched through the increased traffic of a .316 batting average on balls in play.

Gil has been terrific this season but has been a profitable fade candidate of late because he’s overvalued by his surface stats and may be running into some innings-ramp fatigue.

The Reds have underplayed their 4.26 runs per game and 4.08 RPG allowed (a 6-15 mark in 1-run games hasn’t helped). Figure Cincy as more of a .500 club which is deserving of more of a chance in this matchup.

BACK THE REDS (+168).

Run line/Against the spread

A loose opener with an Over lean is the prognosis, and that does not set up for a Reds-plus-a-cushion action. PASS.

Over/Under

New York has played in 6 straight Overs. The Yankees are in a team pitching slump stretching from the rotation through the bullpen. They’ve logged a 6.99 ERA and 1.66 WHIP since June 15.

There is some lean toward higher overall scores for both clubs in the near term. The price on the upside here is attractive enough to warrant a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
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