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The Detroit Red Wings (6-5-1) take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7-5-2) Friday. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Avalanche vs. Jets odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; Detroit won 2-1 last season
The Wings have won 2 straight after a 4-1 win as -108 favorites in Chicago Wednesday. RW Alex DeBrincat (6th goal of the season) and C Dylan Larkin (8th) each had goals in the affair. They have received brilliant goaltending with just 1 goal allowed in each of the past 2 games. They are tied for seventh with a 25% conversion rate on the power play but are 29th on the PK at 69.4%.
The Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 4-0 Tuesday, covering as -119 home favorites. The victory is a little skewed, though, because they scored 3 power-play goals and an empty-netter. The Leafs will again be without superstar C Auston Matthews, who missed Tuesday’s game with an upper-body injury.
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Red Wings at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 3:44 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Wings +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Maple Leafs -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Wings +1.5 (-155) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Red Wings at Maple Leafs projected goalies
Cam Talbot (4-1-1, 2.45 GAA, .929 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Anthony Stolarz (5-2-2, 2.12 GAA, .928 SV%, 1 SO)
Talbot has stabilized this team between the pipes. Over the last 2 games, he is 2-0-0 with a 1.00 GAA and .967 SV%. He was great against Toronto last year, going 1-1-0 with a 1.53 GAA and .948 SV%.
Stolarz is coming off a 29-save shutout over the Bruins Tuesday. He has been great in 2 starts this month with a 0.98 GAA and 60 saves on 62 shots. The career backup has taken control of Toronto’s net at age 30.
Red Wings at Maple Leafs picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Wings 3, Maple Leafs 2
Moneyline
Toronto is 5-2-0 at home, but this matchup is way closer than -200 with AM34 out. The Leafs’ power play was 3-for-7 in the Boston game. However, it was 1-for-20 in the previous 7 games.
Detroit won 2 of the 3 head-to-head meetings last season, and both of those wins were in this building.
TAKE RED WINGS (+165).
Puck line/Against the spread
I’m going to swing for the fences here. Larkin has 4 goals in the last 3 games, and he is really feeling it. DYLAN LARKIN ANYTIME GOAL (+195) is at an awesome value here. He had 2 goals and 2 assists in 3 games against Toronto last season.
Over/Under
The Under is 3-1 in Detroit’s last 4 games, and it’s 3-0-1 in Toronto’s last 4. These games have been shootouts in the past, but again, Toronto is without Matthews, and it isn’t scoring much on 5-on-5 or the PP. Detroit is also getting great goaltending.
TAKE UNDER 6 (-110).
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