Tag: Red Sox Rays odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (76-76) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (74-78) for the Thursday finale of a 3-game series in St. Petersburg. The start time at Tropicana Field will be 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 5-4

Boston lost the opener 8-3 and won Wednesday 2-1. SS Trevor Story homered and scored the eventual winning run, breaking a 1-1 tie, on CF Jarren’s Duran’s single in the 8th, while 6 Red Sox pitchers scattered 8 hits with 2 walks in holding the Rays offense to 1 run.

On Thursday, the Crimson Hose will attempt to win a 2nd straight game for just the 2nd time since Aug. 27-28. Wednesday was only Boston’s 2nd win in its last 11 road games.

Tampa Bay’s 8 runs in Tuesday’s tilt stand as an outlier. The Rays have scored just 10 total runs across their last 4 games, and they have averaged just 2.85 runs per game over their last 13.

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Zack Littell

Bello (14-7, 4.60 ERA) is making his 29th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 152 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 7-1 victory at New York Yankees Saturday
  • Career vs. Rays: 2-3, 6.47 ERA (32 IP, 23 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 6 starts
  • 2024 vs. Rays, 1 start, win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 8-5 road victory May 22
  • Per ESPN, current Rays bats own an aggregate .912 OPS him

Littell (7-9, 3.73 ERA) is tabbed for his 28th start. He own a 1.29 WHIP, with a 1.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 144 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 3-1 triumph at Cleveland Guardians Friday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 4.26 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 12 H, 2 BB, 12 K in 3 games (2 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 5.06 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:44 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Rays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+165) | Rays +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

Tampa Bay is just 1-7 over its last 8 series finales. Boston is a solid road club (41-36), and the Red Sox are 4-1 over their last 5 games at Tropicana Field.

The BoSox have scored 715 runs this season (4.7 per game) and have yielded the same number. But analytics peg both sides of that equation as being rather unfortunate. Bello also has some play to his numbers, so Boston is a lean in Thursday’s game.

BACK RED SOX (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

The keeper of the hold is the only enviable position here. AVOID.

Over/Under

The Under is 6-1-1 in Boston’s last 8 games and 6-1 in Tampa’s last 7.

Neither offense is in good form, and UNDER 8 (-115) is the play in this one. If the BetMGM line drops to 7.5, keep an eye on FanDuel Sportsbook, which might have a better leverage tag at Under 7.5 (-102).

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (75-76) tussle with the Tampa Bay Rays (74-77) in the middle contest of a 3-game AL East series in Tampa. The 1st pitch at Tropicana Field will be at 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 4-4

Boston dropped Tuesday’s series opener and is just 1-4 since Thursday. At times, the Red Sox have looked like they could be an AL Wild Card team, but they have not helped their cause by going 5-11 since Aug. 31.

Prior to Tuesday’s opener, the Rays had gone 4-7 with a .632 OPS over their previous 11 games. Tampa Bay banged out 7 extra-base hits in its 8-run Tuesday outburst.

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Ryan Pepiot

Houck (8-10, 3.24 ERA) is lined up for his 29th start. He owns a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 169 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 8-3 loss at New York Mets Sept. 4
  • Returning from a stay on the IL (shoulder)
  • Career vs. Rays: 1-4, 4.45 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 29 H, 8 BB, 3 K in 7 appearance (5 starts)

Pepiot (8-6, 3.76 ERA) is tabbed for his 23rd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 115 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 2 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 5-2 win at Cleveland Guardians Thursday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 6.75 ERA (4 IP, 3 ER), 2 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+170) | Rays +1.5 (+210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Rays 3

Moneyline

Pepiot is a fade candidate in this spot. The 27-year-old has made 3 starts in September and has failed to go 4 frames in 2 of those. For the season, he has benefited from a .261 batting average on balls in play.

With Houck coming off the IL (he was on due to shoulder fatigue), there is some risk on the Boston side. But the righty has been a very good road hurler (3.12 ERA this season, 3.22 ERA since 2022), and his late-August-early-September starts pop in analytics if not in box scores. And per ESPN, current Tampa bats own an aggregate .588 OPS against Houck.

The Red Sox bullpen has been torched this month. But their 6.12 September ERA is untethered due to some bad-luck rates around the margins.

Boston has a likely enough chance at a rebound win to make it a value in this spot. BACK THE RED SOX (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

Too much juice crowding these prices. PASS.

Over/Under

Almost no lean here, but what there is swings to the high side. Both clubs have run expectancies in line with their plus and minus figures. The Pepiot fade and increased potential for a 1st-start-back misstep by Houck — and some exposed middle relief on both sides — are the mitigating factors.

BET THE OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (75-75) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (73-77) Tuesday in the opener of a 3-game AL East series. First pitch at Tropicana Field is at 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 4-3

Boston is continuing a road swing that opened with the Red Sox losing 3 of 4 games at the New York Yankees over the weekend. At times, the Crimson Hose have looked like they could be a Wild Card team, but they have not helped their cause by going 5-10 since Aug. 31.

The Rays are back at home after a 10-game road trip. Tampa Bay went 4-6 on the voyage. The Rays offense struggled through a slash line of .226 /280/.356 (.636 OPS).

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Shane Baz

Pivetta (5-10, 4.24 ERA) is tabbed for his 24th startand 25th appearance. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 129 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 5-3 win vs. Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
  • Career vs. Rays: 1-6, 4.42 ERA (57 IP, 28 ER), 48 H, 30 BB, 60 K in 12 appearances (11 starts)
  • Owns a 2.00 ERA over his last 3 starts

Baz (2-3, 3.28 ERA) is making his 12th start. He owns a 1.19 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 60 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 loss at Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • Has authored a 1.88 ERA across his last 4 starts
  • Has never faced the Red Sox

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+150) | Rays +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

Pivetta figures to be undervalued by bettors. His analytics reveal a better expected ERA, and he has typically been a solid starter on the road.

Baz owns a 2nd-half ERA of 2.88. But the 25-year-old has been helped along by some very generous rates around the margins over that span. A since-the-break K-BB% of 8.4% is a concern.

The Rays are 1-8 over their last 9 series openers.

BET THE RED SOX (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Lots of juice added here. PASS.

Over/Under

Indicators swing both ways here and what lean there is should be tagged as a small-confidence one.

Pivetta, rested bullpens and scuffling bats on both sides shade this one just slightly to the UNDER 7.5 (-110).

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (25-24) and Tampa Bay Rays (25-25) meet for the finale of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

Boston picked up a 5-2 win Tuesday, covering as a +122 road underdog. The Red Sox scored 5 unanswered runs between the 2nd and 9th innings after the Rays jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the bottom of the 1st. While 3B Rafael Devers‘ streak of homering in consecutive games was snapped at 6 with a 1-for-3 showing — he singled — the Red Sox won their 3rd game in a row and look for the sweep here.

No matter what happens Wednesday, Tampa Bay lost its 1st home series to Boston since July 22-24, 2019. The Rays, who haven’t scored more than 2 runs in their last 3 games, have now lost their last 3 overall and their last 3 home games.

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Ryan Pepiot

Bello (4-2, 3.96 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 36 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 HR, 0 BB, 4 K in 10-6 loss at St. Louis Cardinals Friday
  • Career vs. Rays: 1-3, 6.92 ERA (26 IP, 20 ER), 1.69 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 across 5 starts

Pepiot (3-2, 3.68 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 36 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 7-6 home win in 10 innings vs. New York Mets May 5
  • Never faced Red Sox before

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Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Rays -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 3, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

LEAN RAYS (-125). 

The Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 matchups vs. the Red Sox.

Tampa Bay is too good of a team and should stop this current losing streak, especially against a team in Boston that the Rays have seen success against recently.

This is only a lean because Boston and Tampa Bay are each 5-5 in their respective last 10 games, and because the Red Sox are the hotter team entering this matchup.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

My prediction calls for a 1-run game, but the juice on Boston +1.5 (-200) isn’t worth the risk of betting on. Back the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100). 

The Under has hit in 3 consecutive games for Tampa Bay and is 7-3 in its last 10 outings. For Boston, the Under is 2-0 in its last 2 games and is 6-4 in its last 10. The Under has also hit in 7 of the last 10 Boston-Tampa Bay matchups.

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (24-24) and Tampa Bay Rays (25-24) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Tropicana Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 3-2

The Red Sox have won back-to-back games after taking down the Rays 5-0 Monday and cashing as +109 road underdogs. Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers and SS Ceddanne Rafaela each had 2 RBIs, while RHP Tanner Houck pitched 7 scoreless innings to pick up the win.

Tampa Bay has lost back-to-back games after falling Monday and failing to cash as a -118 home favorite. The Rays had just 3 hits total as RHP Taj Bradley allowed 5 ER in 7 innings to pick up the loss.

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Cooper Criswell vs. RHP Zach Littell

Criswell (2-1, 2.76 ERA) makes his 7th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 29 1/3 innings.

  • Red Sox are 5-2 in his appearances
  • Has allowed 9 ER and 5 HR this season while striking out 28 and walking 7

Littell (2-2, 3.44 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 49 2/3 innings.

  • Rays are 5-4 in his starts, including 3-0 in his last 3
  • Has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 3 of his last 4 outings
  • Has allowed 19 ER and 4 HR while striking out 48 and walking 8

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Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:58 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rays -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-185) | Rays -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100| U: -120)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

BET RAYS (-140).

The Rays are 3-0 in Littell’s last 3 starts, and he has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 3 of his last 4. Tampa Bay is 4-2 in its last 6 games and 3-2 in its last 5 against Boston. The Red Sox have lost 4 of their last 6 while allowing 7 or more runs in 3 of their last 5.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (+100).

Boston has scored 5 or more runs in 4 of its last 5 games while allowing 7 or more in 3 of its last 5. It has hit the Over in 4 of its last 5. Tampa Bay has allowed 4 or more runs in 6 of its last 9 games and scored 4 or more in 8 of its last 10.

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (23-24) take on the Tampa Bay Rays (25-23) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at Tropicana Field at 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 3-1

The Red Sox dropped 2 of 3 over the weekend in St. Louis, but came away with an 11-3 victory Sunday. 3B Rafael Devers remains ablaze as he has homered in 5 straight games. OF Tyler O’Neill hit safely in all 3 over the weekend and took his former team deep for his 11th homer Sunday.

The Rays snapped a 4-game winning streak with a 5-2 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday. The Rays are struggling on the mound with the 20th-ranked ERA at 4.30. They’ve allowed the 2nd-most homers with 62. They’re also tied for 19th with 4.1 runs per game. 1B Yandy Diaz is hitting .324 with 2 homers and 12 RBIs in May.

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Taj Bradley

Houck (3-5, 2.17 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 58 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER (3R), 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 4-3 home setback to Rays Wednesday
  • 4 career starts vs. Rays: 0-4, 6.75 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, 23 K in 18 2/3 IP

Bradley (1-1, 2.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 11 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-3 victory at Red Sox Wednesday
  • 3 career starts vs. Red Sox: 3-0, 4.20 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 20 K in 15 IP

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Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:17 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Rays -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Rays +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

The Red Sox entered St. Louis with the best ERA in baseball Friday but slipped to 2nd at 3.03 after a humid weekend in which the ball was flying. In this pick ’em, we have a great starting staff vs. a mediocre offense.

Boston’s offense has come to life a bit lately. They’re 14th with 4.4 runs per game but have averaged 5.33 runs per game over their last 6. The Red Sox are 13-11 on the road, and I’ll side with them. Take RED SOX (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

As mentioned, Devers has homered in 5 straight games. I’m not high on the +320 for him to make it 6, but I will take RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-140).

Over/Under

The line was 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120) early Monday morning.

The juice correctly sided with the Under there. The Over is just 4-6 in the last 10 meetings between the clubs and 1-3 this season. Each team is also 4-6 O/U in their last 10 games respectively.

It’ll be close, if the line goes back lean Under 7.5 (-120).

I could see making a small wager on the alternate line of UNDER 7 (-130).

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (5-7) wrap up a 4-game road series against the Tampa Bay Rays (12-0) Thursday. First pitch at Tropicana Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 3-0

The Red Sox fell behind 3-0 in the 1st inning Wednesday as OF Randy Azorarena got the home crowd into it early with a 3-run HR off LHP Chris Sale. Tampa Bay built a 6-1 lead through 4 innings before the Boston bats came alive late.

The Rays had 6 extra-base hits Wednesday, including the Azorarena dinger. Tampa Bay now leads the majors with 20 homers and 92 runs scored. It’s no surprise it is tops in run differential at plus-65, but it is shocking that the 2nd-best team in differential is the New York Yankees at just plus-28.

A win Thursday would move Tampa Bay into a tie with the 1982 Atlanta Braves and 1987 Milwaukee Brewers for the most wins to start a season in MLB history.

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Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Corey Kluber vs. LHP Jeffrey Springs

Kluber (0-2, 6.48 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 8 1/3 IP.

  • Has served up 3 HR in just 8 1/3 IP across 2 starts
  • Allowed 20 HR across 164 IP in 31 starts for the Rays in 2022, including 9 HR in just 87 1/3 IP at Tropicana Field

Springs (2-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.54 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 13.2 K/9 through 13 IP.

  • Has allowed just 3 H with 4 BB across 13 scoreless IP through 2 starts
  • Managed at least 7 K in each of his 2 starts, including a 12 K effort on April 2 against the Detroit Tigers
  • Went 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA, 3 HR, 20 K and a .235 opponent batting average (BA) in 18 IP across 4 starts and 1 relief appearance vs. Boston in 2022

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Rays -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-105) | Rays -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Red Sox 1

Moneyline

The Rays (-225) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s rather risky. Not only is Tampa Bay due for a loss, but it is facing a pitcher who knows the team well after pitching for the Rays in 2022.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Despite Kluber’s familiarity with the team and stadium, the RAYS -1.5 (-115) are the play.

Kluber has had difficulty keeping the ball in the park lately, and that’s dangerous against a Rays team which leads the majors in runs scored, run differential and home runs.

Springs hasn’t allowed anything, and the Red Sox are 8-20 in the past 28 on the road, and 0-4 in the past 4 against winning teams. It’s looking like Tampa Bay gets to a baker’s dozen in wins and ties the MLB record.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-105) is worth playing lightly, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Kluber has had issues keeping the ball down, and the Rays have been super powerful to date. However, Springs hasn’t allowed much, and the Under is 6-2 in the past 8 on the road for the BoSox against southpaws.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (11-0) look to extend their winning streak to 12 games when they host the Boston Red Sox (5-6) at Tropicana Field Wednesday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 2-0

The Red Sox have dropped the first 2 games of this 4-game series, sinking their record below .500 after sweeping the Detroit Tigers in a 3-game series over the weekend. They put up 24 total runs against the Tigers but have plated just 2 runs against Tampa Bay. Boston still ranks 7th in total runs scored (61) but the pitching staff has struggled and is one of 3 times with zero quality starts.

The Rays are tied for the 3rd-longest winning streak to start the season in the history of MLB, going a perfect 11-0 to tie the 1981 Oakland Athletics and trailing the 1982 Atlanta Braves and 1987 Milwaukee Brewers with 13 wins. Tampa Bay leads the AL East by 4 games, has scored the most runs (83) in baseball, owns the lowest ERA (1.73) and are tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for the most quality starts (7).

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Red Sox at Rays projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Taj Bradley

Sale (1-0, 11.25 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.00 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 14.6 K/9 through 8 IP.

  • The Red Sox won both of Sale’s starts this season despite him allowing 3 ER in 5 IP last time out and 7 ER in just 3 IP in his season debut
  • Is 10-6 with a 2.82 ERA in 21 starts and 2 relief appearances in his career vs. the Rays

Bradley (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st career start.

  • Is 1-0 with a 5.14 ERA over 2 starts at AAA-Durham to start the season
  • Struck out 8 batters in 7 innings at Triple-A this season.

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Rays -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The Rays haven’t just been winning, they’ve been blowing opponents out. Boston’s pitching staff has struggled out of the gates and now the lineup is without OF Adam Duvall, who suffered an injured wrist Sunday and has been placed on the 10-day IL.

The Rays are still at home where they’re 8-0 so far this season and I expect their winning streak to extend to 12 games. BET RAYS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

Ten of the Rays’ 11 wins have been by at least 4 runs. The only game they won by fewer than 4 runs was a 1-0 victory in the series opener Monday.

The lineup is simply too good right now and even with a rookie making his MLB debut, I expect them to cover the run line against Boston with a strong bullpen behind Bradley. BET RAYS -1.5 (+155).

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Over/Under

The Over is 7-3-1 for the Rays and is 7-4 for the Red Sox. Boston could get to Bradley early and plate a few runs against him before he gets pulled and I don’t see the Rays’ lineup having much trouble given Sale’s struggles.

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (5-5) play the 2nd outing in a 4-game road series against the Tampa Bay Rays (10-0) Tuesday. First pitch at Tropicana Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0. Rays won the season series 12-7 in 2022.

The Red Sox wasted a great outing by RHP Nick Pivetta on Monday, as he twirled 5 scoreless IP in the series opener. The game was scoreless until the bottom of the 8th when Rays 2B Brandon Lowe swatted what turned out to be the eventual game-winning solo HR off of relief RHP Chris Martin.

The Rays’ win on Monday further extended their franchise-record win streak to open the season to 10-0. Tampa Bay is the first team since the Milwaukee Brewers in 1987 to open the season with 10 or more consecutive wins.

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Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. LHP Shane McClanahan

Whitlock makes his first start. He was 12-6 with a 2.73 ERA across 9 starts with 68 relief appearances in 2022.

  • Started the season on the injured list due to a hip ailment.
  • Last season on the road: 1-2, 3.77 ERA (31 IP, 13 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 38 K, .209 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts and 8 relief appearances
  • Was 0-0 with 1 save in 1 start and 1 relief appearance, allowing just 1 H and 0 BB with 8 K across 5 IP vs. Tampa Bay in 2022

McClanahan (2-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 12 IP.

  • Conceded just 2 ER on 5 H and 4 BB with 6 K across 7 IP in a win at the Washington Nationals Wednesday
  • Allowed just 4 H and 1 BB with 6 K across 6 scoreless IP in a win against the Detroit Tigers on March 30 in his only home start this year

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Rays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-135) | Rays -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The Rays (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and even for a red-hot team playing at home that’s way too expensive.

There is just no value in playing heavy favorites like this, even if you were to toss it into a multi-team parlay.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The RAYS -1.5 (+110) are a much better play at plus money on the run line.

The southpaw McClanahan hasn’t allowed much so far, and he was money at home in his first outing of the season on March 30.

Whitlock is returning from a hip ailment, and it’s uncertain how deep he’ll be able to go into the game. Advantage Tampa Bay, as it has the better starting pitcher.

The Red Sox are also just 6-20 in the past 26 trips to St. Petersburg while going 5-11 in the past 16 meetings overall in the series.

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Over/Under

OVER 7 (-125) is worth playing as a bet against Whitlock being effective.

The Over is 8-3 in the past 11 games on the road for the Red Sox despite the low-scoring affair Monday and is 4-1 in their last 5 against AL East teams.

The Over is also 5-1-1 in the past 7 games overall for the Rays while cashing at a 4-1 clip in their last 5 games at home and 4-1-1 in their last 6 vs. RHP.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (5-4) open a 4-game road series against the Tampa Bay Rays (9-0) Monday. First pitch at Tropicana Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. Rays won the season series 12-7 in 2022.

The Red Sox posted their first series sweep of 2023 by taking all 3 games at Comerica Field against the Detroit Tigers over the weekend. Boston outscored Detroit 24-9 in the 3-game sweep, bouncing back after being swept at home by the Pittsburgh Pirates in a 3-game series last Monday-Wednesday.

The Rays rolled past the Oakland Athletics 11-0 on Sunday, allowing just a single hit in the series finale. Tampa Bay also won 11-0 Saturday and has outscored its opponents 75-18 while becoming the first team since the 2003 Kansas City Royals to start the season 9-0.

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Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. LHP Jalen Beeks

Pivetta (0-1, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 R (1 ER) on 3 H and 3 BB with 6 K across 5 IP in a loss against the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday.

  • Last season on the road: 5-6, 4.32 ERA (89 2/3 IP, 43 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 88 K, .230 opponent batting average (OBA) in 16 starts
  • Last season in night games: 6-7, 4.51 ERA (117 2/3 IP, 59 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 106 K, .245 OBA in 21 with a CG

Beeks (0-0, 3.00 ERA) will serve as the opener for the first time this season, with LHP Josh Fleming expected to work a bulk of the innings after.

  • Beeks has made 2 relief appearances, allowing 1 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 2 K across 3 IP
  • Fleming has allowed 5 ER on 10 H and 1 BB with 2 K across 3 IP in a no-decision on the road against the Washington Nationals Tuesday in his season debut

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Rays -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-145) | Rays -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Rays 5

Moneyline

The RED SOX (+135) are worth a roll of the dice against the red-hot Rays.

Tampa Bay has been blistering out of the gate, but a combination of Beeks and Fleming is going to be good news for the visitors. Fleming especially struggled in his first appearance, and Boston should be able to get the bats going against the southpaw when he enters the game. The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

Run line/Against the spread

The RED SOX +1.5 (-145) are pretty cheap if you want a little insurance and just can’t bring yourself to bet the moneyline against the unbeaten Rays.

Boston is 5-1 in the past 6 games inside the division and should make this a difficult battle for the Rays, as they finally take their first L of the season.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is the best play in this AL East series opener.

The Red Sox have cashed the Over in 6 of 9 games overall this season while going 5-1 in the past 6 games on the road dating to last season. The Over is also 6-1 in Boston’s past 7 series openers dating to 2022.

The Rays have hit the Over at a 5-0-1 clip in the past 6 games overall, while going 4-0-1 in the past 5 vs. RHP and 4-1 in the past 5 contests at home.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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