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Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (70-69) and New York Mets (75-64) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-0

Boston has lost 4 games in a row after falling 7-2 against the Mets Tuesday as a +115 road underdog. PH Enmanuel Valdez and 2B Nick Sogard each drove in a run while RHP Kutter Crawford allowed 2 ER in 6 innings and picked up the loss.

New York has won 6 games in a row after Tuesday’s victory as a -124 home favorite. SS Francisco Lindor had a team-high 3 RBIs, and 1B Pete Alonso had a 2-run homer in the 8th inning. LHP David Peterson allowed just 1 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Red Sox at Mets projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Houck (8-9, 3.12 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 164 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-5 win at Detroit Tigers Friday
  • Has never faced Mets

Megill (3-5, 4.82 ERA) makes his 11th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 52 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-1 win at Chicago White Sox Friday
  • Has never faced Boston

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-105).

The Mets have won 6 games in a row, outscoring opponents 26-9, and are 8-2 in their last 10. Boston is just 3-7 in its last 10 games and 0-4 in its last 4. It has scored 2 runs or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games while allowing 4 or more in 4 of its last 5 outings, including 3 straight.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Mets’ ML.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

Both the Red Sox and Mets are 4-6 O/U in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have scored 1 run in 3 of their last 4 games while hitting the Under in 6 of their last 8. The Mets have held opponents to 2 runs or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games and also hit the Under in 5 of their last 6 outings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (70-68) and New York Mets (74-64) play the middle game of a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Red Sox have lost 3 games in a row after falling 4-1 against the Mets Monday as -101 road underdogs. LF Jarren Duran singled in Boston’s lone run in the 3rd, while SP Brayan Bello allowed 4 ER in 5 innings and picked up the loss.

The Mets have won 4 games in a row after Monday’s victory as -108 home favorites. SS Francisco Lindor and LF Brandon Nimmo each drove in a run while SP Luis Severino allowed just 1 ER in 7 innings to picked up the win.

Red Sox at Mets projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. LHP David Peterson

Crawford (8-12, 4.12 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 155 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 2-0 home setback against Toronto Blue Jays Thursday
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (4 IP, 4 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 5-4 home setback July 21, 2023

Peterson (8-1, 2.83 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 92 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 3-2 win at Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 3.38 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 4 appearances (2 starts), including 0-0 with 5.40 ERA (1 2/3 IP, 1 ER) in 2 relief appearances last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Mets -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-135).

The Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have won 4 in a row. They have limited opponents to 3 or fewer runs in each of their last 4 games and in 8 of their last 10. New York is 5-0 in Peterson’s last 5 outings.

Boston is just 3-7 in its last 10 games. It has scored 1 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 5 games and allowed 4 or more in 3 of its last 4.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Mets’ moneyline. However, 6 of Boston’s last 7 losses have come by 2 or more runs, so New York -1.5 (+165) could be worth a sprinkle.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Red Sox have hit the Under in 7 of their last 10 games, including 6 of their last 7. They have scored 1 run in each of their last 3 games and 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 8. The Mets have hit the Under in 6 of their last 10 games, including each of their last 4.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (73-64) welcome the Boston Red Sox (70-67) to Citi Field Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Boston won 2 of 3 in 2023

The Mets beat the Chicago White Sox 2-0 Sunday, completing the 3-game sweep. New York closed as a favorite in all 3 games. It has won 4 straight and 5 of its last 6 games. The Mets have jumped to 3rd in the NL East and are 35-33 at home. They are 68-68 against the spread (ATS).

The Red Sox, who sit 3rd in the AL East, have struggled over the last few weeks. They lost 4-1 to the Detroit Tigers Sunday, dropping 2 of 3 in that series. Boston is 3-7 in its last 10 games yet is 39-29 on the road and 63-74 ATS.

Red Sox at Mets projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Luis Severino

Bello (12-6, 4.66 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 137 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER (0 R), 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-0 home win over the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday
  • 2024 away stats: 7-2, 4.39 ERA (65 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 12 starts
  • First time facing Mets

Severino (9-6, 3.96 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 152 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER (4 R), 8 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 8-5 road loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 5-2, 3.13 ERA (77 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 5-7, 4.06 ERA (82 IP, 37 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 16 appearances (14 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | Mets -122 (bet $122 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-210) | Mets -1.5 (+172)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Red Sox at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+110).

The Red Sox have been impressive on the road and have won 3 of their last 5 away games. Boston has also consistently won with Bello on the mound. The Red Sox have come out on top in 6 of his last 7 starts.

The Mets are coming off a sweep, but that was over the White Sox, a historically bad team. They were 3-3 in the 6 games prior to that and haven’t consistently won at home either.

With both those trends in mind, back RED SOX (+104).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Red Sox are far too expensive as a run-line underdog, and the Mets are too risky as a run-line favorite. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-102).

The Mets have gone Under in 4 straight games, scoring 15 runs in those games while allowing just 6. New York has given up 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 8 games.

The Red Sox have gone Under in 5 of their last 6 games as well, scoring 1 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6. Take UNDER 7.5 (-102).

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Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (15-9) look to sweep the host New York Mets (9-9) in a two-game series Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston took the opener 2-1 as the two clubs met for the first time this season. RHP Garrett Richards held New York to one run over seven innings, while striking out 10, and RHP Matt Andriese and RHP Matt Barnes (5th save) pitched a clean inning apiece.

RHP Nick Pivetta will look to continue Boston’s shut-down pitching as Wednesday’s projected starter. He is 2-0 with a 3.48 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 6.1 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 7-3 home loss to Seattle Mariners Thursday
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-2, 6.08 ERA (37 IP, 25 ER), 1.70 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance – all with Philadelphia Phillies

RHP Jacob deGrom is the Mets’ projected starter. The two-time Cy Young winner is 2-1 with a 0.31 ERA (29 IP, 1 ER), 0.55 WHIP, 15.5 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9 in 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 15 K in 6-0 home shutout of Washington Nationals Friday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 3.32 ERA (19 IP, 7 ER), 0.84 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 in 3 starts
  • 2020 vs. Red Sox: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H 1, BB, 4 K in 6-5 home loss

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Red Sox at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Mets -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (+105) | Mets -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Mets 4, Red Sox 1

Money line (ML)

PASS. While deGrom is a one of the best pitchers in all of baseball, backing the Mets’ -275 money line is not worth the risk.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

NEW YORK -1.5 (-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Don’t worry that this suggestion goes against the trends. If deGrom wasn’t on the hill for the Mets, the Red Sox would be the play as they’re a perfect 8-0 ATS on the road this season.

DeGrom, who is coming of a 15-K, complete-game, 2-hit shutout of the Nationals, shouldn’t have a problem stifling Boston’s bats. Pivetta has pitched well for the BoSox, but he won’t be able to keep pace with the Mets ace.

ATS records: Red Sox 16-8 | Mets 5-13

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 7 (-110) to WIN 30% OF 1 UNIT. The main reason is deGrom and his MLB-leading 0.31 ERA. The Under is 2-1-1 in his 4 starts, three of which finished with 7 total runs or fewer.

It also helps that the Mets have struggled at the plate lately. The Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games and 6-2-2 in their last 10.

The reluctance is because the Over has hit in all 4 of Pivetta’s starts.

O/U records: Red Sox 13-11 | Mets 6-10-2

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JOHNNY RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 30-24-1 8-6-1 +6.0925
2021 (all sports) 133-109-2 57-47-1 +19.6425
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (14-9) begin a two-game interleague set on the road against the New York Mets (9-8) Tuesday. The first pitch will be thrown at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Garrett Richards is set for his fifth start of the season for the BoSox. He is 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA, 1.86 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 and 7.0 BB/9.

  • Allowing a career-worst 47.4% hard-hit rate and 91.1 exit velocity.
  • Was roughed up for 4 earned runs on 4 hits and 6 walks in just 4 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays last time out.

Mets LHP David Peterson is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 3 starts.

  • The second-year starter is allowing more hard contact and fly balls than he did as a rookie in 2020.
  • Struck out 10 with no walks and allowed just 1 earned run on a solo homer in a win over the Philadelphia Phillies April 14 but was touched up for 6 runs (3 earned) in 3 1/3 IP last time out against the Chicago Cubs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Red Sox at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Mets -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-160) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Mets 5

Money line (ML)

The Red Sox closed as underdogs just seven times through 23 games and won six of those. They’re also a strong 38-15 in their last 53 games in a National League park.

On a game level, the Red Sox have been faring much better against LHP of late after a slow start in the split and own MLB’s sixth-best team OPS against southpaws at .795.

The Mets make hard contact on just 32.2% of balls in play against righties with a fly-ball rate of 29.9% and are ill-equipped to take advantage of Richards’ greatest weaknesses.

Bet RED SOX (+130) to pull the upset.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The RED SOX +1.5 (-160) should also be backed with the run of insurance.

Boston has the edge in the bullpen battle with a 3.29 group ERA to New York’s 4.31 reliever ERA. The Red Sox ‘pen also strands more base runners and is doing a better job of keeping the ball in the park.

Over/Under (O/U)

Bet the OVER 8.5 (-110).

Both starters have been roughed up early this season and the Red Sox offense should provide the bulk of the scoring in the splits.

I also like the 2 or more runs (+230) 1st-inning line. Richards has allowed at least 1 earned run in the first inning in three of his four starts this season and Peterson has struggled in his first pass through the opponent’s batting order over his young career.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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