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The Boston Red Sox (53-44) take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-41) on Sunday Night Baseball in the finale of a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0
The Red Sox have dropped the first 2 games of the series 4-1 Friday and 7-6 in 11 innings Saturday. Boston was up 4-3 before blowing the save in the bottom of the 9th. The Red Sox scored 2 in the 10th and gave up that lead as well before folding in the 11th. OF Tyler O’Neill hit 2 homers and drove in 4 Saturday.
INF/OF Kiké Hernández hit the game-tying homer in the 9th and the game-tying single in the 10th. The Dodgers needed 6 2/3 IP from their bullpen Saturday, and they have a starter that typically doesn’t go deep. So it could be an adventure Sunday night.
Red Sox at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Kutter Crawford vs. LHP James Paxton
Crawford (6-7, 3.04 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 112 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-0 home victory July 13 against Kansas City Royals
- Last 3 starts: 20 IP, 1 ER (0.45 ERA) 10 H, 1 BB, 15 K
- 1 career start vs. Dodgers: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-4 home loss Aug. 25, 2023
Paxton (7-2, 4.38 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 84 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 1 K in 4-3 win July 12 at Detroit Tigers
- Last 5 starts vs. BOS: 3-1, 5.47 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 28 K in 24 2/3 IP
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Red Sox at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Red Sox at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 6, Dodgers 4
Moneyline
The Red Sox are a great road team at 29-19, and they nearly came away with the win twice Saturday. Their pen isn’t in great shape either, but they have a big advantage with their starter, who has gone at least 6 IP in 7 straight starts.
Take the RED SOX +105.
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Run line/Against the spread
I’m keying in on O’Neill here. “TON” is 5-for-9 with 2 homers and 4 RBIs in the series. He also kills left-handed pitching at .309 with 7 homers and 11 RBIs in 81 at-bats. The wind is blowing out tonight as well.
Take TYLER O’NEILL OVER 1.5 H+R+RBIs (-125).
Over/Under
As mentioned, the wind is expected to blow out to center at 8 mph on an 84-degree evening. Paxton gives up a ton of walks and hits and has allowed 10 homers in 84 1/3 IP. The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams, and I look for potent bats Sunday night.
Take the OVER 9 (-105).
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