Tag: Red Sox Blue Jays odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Toronto Blue Jays (40-32) host the Boston Red Sox (42-31) Monday for the start of their 3-game series at the Rogers Centre with the 1st pitch scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston has swept 2 consecutive opponents (the Detroit Tigers last week and Cleveland Guardians last weekend) and the Red Sox are 8-2 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.

Toronto is just 3-7 SU in the last 10, which includes 3 straight series losses to the New York Yankees, at the Chicago White Sox and at the Milwaukee Brewers last weekend.

The Blue Jays lead the season series with the Red Sox 5-2 and have a plus-5 run differential in those meetings.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Connor Seabold vs. RHP Kevin Gausman    

Seabold is making his 2022 debut for the Red Sox.

• One career start in September 2021: A no-decision in Boston’s 9-8 win at the White Sox with 3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 0 K.
• 2022 minor league stats: 5-1 with a 2.26 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 11 starts for Boston’s Triple-A affiliate in Worcester.

Gausman is 5-6 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 79 IP over 14 starts.

• Last start: No-decision in Toronto’s 7-6 loss at the White Sox Tuesday with 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 7 K.
• 2022 vs. the Red Sox: 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA (14 IP, 1 ER), 11 H, 0 BB and 17 K in 2 starts.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:18 a.m. ET.

• Money line (ML): Red Sox +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Blue Jays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-135) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 3

Money line

RISK 1 unit on the BLUE JAYS (-190) instead of betting 1 unit because of the price and Toronto’s 2-phase edge over the Red Sox (+155) in starting and hitting matchups.

Gausman’s pitching peripherals are much better than his basic numbers so there’s improvement expected for Gausman’s ERA and win-loss record. Also, the Blue Jays are 8-0 SU as home favorites between -150 and -200 vs. right-handed starters with an average final score of 6.25-3.00.

Toronto’s lineup is better than Boston’s vs. right-handed pitching across several advanced hitting metrics such as wRC+ (109-105), wOBA (.325-.320), ISO (.175-.153) and hard-hit rate (34.1-32.2%), per FanGraphs.

If your standard unit is $100 then “FLAT-BET” that on the BLUE JAYS (-190) to earn a $52.63 payout instead of betting $190 to win $100.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Blue Jays -1.5 (+110) just isn’t a big enough payout considering how well the Red Sox +1.5 (-135) have played this month. Also, Toronto is just 10-21 RL as home favorites and Boston is 19-10 RL as underdogs.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-120) because the price suggests it’s the sharper play and there’s a suspicious line freeze in the betting market for the total.

More than 90% of the action is on the Over 9.5 (-105) per Pregame.com but the total hasn’t budged off the opener. Typically, oddsmakers adjust the lines according to the market’s behavior so this “line freeze” could be the sportsbooks’ way of daring bettors to bet the Over.

However, Toronto’s ML is my favorite look in this game, the Rogers Centre is a hitter-friendly ballpark and the Blue Jays are 19-16 O/U at home and 35-22-1 O/U vs. right-handed starters.

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The Boston Red Sox (8-11) wrap up their 4-game set with the Toronto Blue Jays (12-7) Thursday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Blue Jays have a 4-2 lead in the season series. They took 2 of 3 games in Boston April 19-21 and captured 2 of the first 3 games in this homestand.

The Red Sox picked up a commanding 7-1 victory Wednesday as they rocked three separate Blue Jays relievers for 2 earned runs each. The victory snapped a four-game losing skid for Boston.

Toronto has 6 wins in its last 8 games and has yet to drop 2 games in a row this season. Wednesday’s loss marks the first time since April 13 that the Blue Jays weren’t tied for first or outright leading the AL East as they fell a half-game behind the New York Yankees.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Whitlock (1-0, 0.66 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 6th appearance. He has allowed just 1 ER on 5 H and 2 BB with 18 K through 13 2/3 IP.

• Pitched 4 scoreless innings with just 1 hit and 7 strikeouts at the Tampa Bay Rays Saturday in his first career start.
• Appeared in 46 games as a reliever last year in his rookie season going 8-4 with a 1.96 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 across 73 1/3 IP.
• Faced the Blue Jays 6 times in 2021 and allowed just 1 ER on 9 H and 1 BB with 8 K across 8 2/3 IP.

Manoah (3-0, 2.00 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 18 IP.

• Has tossed exactly 6 IP in all three of his starts, most recently giving up 2 ER to the Houston Astros Saturday on 7 H with 5 K.
• Has benefited from a below-average .222 BABIP through his first 3 outings.
• Was 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA across 2 starts versus the Red Sox last year in his rookie season.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:13 p.m. ET.

• Money line (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-180) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -140)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Toronto 3, Boston 2

Money line

This should be a very tight affair with two pitchers who have performed extremely well to start the season — I wouldn’t get carried away with any wager here.

However, the Blue Jays are the better side at the plate and have the starter that is more likely to stretch deeper into the game. They should bounce back from Wednesday’s embarrassing late-game collapse and pick up a tight victory. Consider backing the BLUE JAYS (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The -180 tag on the Red Sox here is a little too steep for a single run of insurance. Just two of Toronto’s four victories against Boston have been by a single run, the other two were 5 and 4 run differences.

I’d love to be able to back the Jays to win by 2 or more runs at plus-money value but it’s hard to get behind the notion of them getting to Whitlock and if the bullpen can keep them off balance it might be a stretch to cover the run line.

Over/Under

Unders have ruled the league through the opening weeks, the dome remaining closed at Rogers Centre during a chilly April and with two starting pitchers on the mound who have been lights out in the early going I’m backing the UNDER 7.5 (-140).

Three of the first six meetings between these sides have fallen under that number, and two others have hit just 8 runs.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Andrew Reid on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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The Toronto Blue Jays (12-6) host the Boston Red Sox (7-11) in the third of their 4-game series at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Toronto took the first two games of this series, first 6-2 Monday then 6-5 in extra innings Tuesday.

Boston has lost 4 in a row and 6 of the last 7 games while the Blue Jays have won 6 of the last 7.

Season series: Toronto leads 4-1 and the Blue Jays have outscored the Red Sox 23-11 this season.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Ross Stripling  

Wacha (1-0, 1.88 ERA) won 4-3 Friday at the Tampa Bay Rays, throwing 5 IP, allowing 2 ER on 3 H and 2 BB with 2 K.

• 2021 vs. the Blue Jays: 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA (11 IP, 7 ER), 11 H, 2 BB and 10 K across 2 starts and 1 relief appearance.
• vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 3.20 FIP with a .306 expected batting average (xBA), .348 expected wOBA (xwOBA), .478 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 24.2 K% and 89.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 33 plate appearances (PA).

Stripling (0-0, 4.50 ERA) got a no-decision in Toronto’s 4-3 win Friday at the Houston Astros. He went 4 IP, surrendering 3 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 2 K.

• 2021 vs. the Red Sox: 0-2 with a 14.90 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 17 H, 4 BB and 9 K in 3 starts.
• vs. Red Sox on the current roster: 5.77 FIP with a .275 xBA, .366 xwOBA, .532 xSLG, 25.3 K% and 89.7 mph EV in 95 PA.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 p.m. ET.

• Money line (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-170) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 4

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” toward the Red Sox (+120) because I like their first 5-inning RL as my favorite wager in this game so Boston should win this contest outright.

However, the Red Sox’s hitting and relief pitching have struggled out the gate whereas the Blue Jays (-145) are raking at the plate and their bullpen is slightly better by xFIP and ERA.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

BET 1 unit on the RED SOX +0.5 FIRST 5-INNING RUN LINE (-120) because Wacha’s pitching peripherals versus the Blue Jays are much more impressive than Stripling’s against Boston. Also, Wacha hasn’t been down after the 5th inning in any of his 3 starts in 2022.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (-120) because both starters are bottom-of-the-rotation guys and both lineups have mashers. Furthermore, these teams are a combined 6-14 O/U versus division opponents in 2022.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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