Atletico Madrid vs. Real Betis odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atletico Madrid vs. Real Betis odds and lines, with expert La Liga picks, predictions and best bets.

Atletico Madrid (15 wins, 5 losses, 6 draws) welcome Real Betis (13-7-6) to Metropolitano Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Betis odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Atletico beat Betis 2-1 on the road Oct. 23, their lone matchup so far this season. Betis did have 1.4 expected goals compared to Atletico’s .8.

Atletico has won 5 of their last 6 league matches and is coming off a 3-0 home win over Valencia. In 4 of those 5 wins, they had more expected goals than their opponent. That said, Atletico sits 3rd in La Liga and is led in the attack by Spanish F Alvaro Morata, who has 10 goals on the season.

Real Betis sits 5th in the league and averages 1.31 goals per game (allowing 1 per game). They are led by Spanish F Borja Iglesia, who has 12 goals on the season. Betis is 4-0-2 in their last 6 league games and hasn’t lost in league play since Feb. 4.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Betis odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Real Betis +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Draw +300
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -125)

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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Betis picks and predictions

Prediction

Atletico Madrid 1, Real Betis 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+300).

Real Betis has played top-tier opponents well this season, drawing Villarreal on March 12 and drawing Real Madrid on March 5. They have 3 road draws this season in 13 matches.

Atletico has drawn 3 at home in 13 matches as well, and they did have fewer expected goals in their lone matchup against Betis. Real had drawn 2 of its last 7 league matches as well.

These teams both play a defensive-minded style and were within .6 expected goals in the 1st battle. This should be a close game, and a sprinkle on the DRAW (+300) is worth the risk.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-125).

Atletico has gone Under in 6 of their last 8 games, and they allow just .73 goals per game, having held their opponent scoreless in 4 of their last 6 matches.

Betis allows just 1 goal per game and has had a clean sheet in 2 of their last 3 league matches. Both teams have a stronger defense than offense, and that should result in a low-scoring game.

Take the UNDER 2.5 (-125).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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Real Betis vs. Real Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Real Betis vs. Real Madrid odds and lines, with La Liga expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Real Betis (12 wins, 7 losses, 4 draws) welcomes Real Madrid (16-3-4) to the Benito Villamarín Sunday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Real Betis vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Real Madrid beat Real Betis at home 2-1 Sept. 3, 2022. They had 2.9 expected goals, which compare favorably to Betis, who had just 0.5 expected goals in that battle.

Madrid sits 2nd on the La Liga table, only trailing Barcelona. They have scored 47 goals in 23 games, having allowed just 18. Their +29 goal differential ranks 2nd in the league. They are led by F Karim Benzema, who has 11 goals this season.

Betis, on the other hand, sits 5th in the league. They are 6-3-2 at home this season as well. Betis is averaging 1.39 goals per game and has allowed 1.09. They are led by F Borja Iglesias, who has 10 goals and 3 assists on the season.

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Real Betis vs. Real Madrid odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Real Betis +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Real Madrid -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Draw +285
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+

Real Betis vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 1, Real Betis 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+285).

Betis has been dominant as of late and has had more than a full expected goal than the opponent in 4 of their last 6 league matches. They have also drawn Madrid in 2 of their last 4 head-to-head meetings.

Madrid has also lost 3 of their 12 road matches, so they haven’t been as dominant as usual away from home. They are 2-1-1 in their last 4 league matches.

Although Madrid is the stronger, more complete side, on the road, I would sprinkle on the DRAW (+285) considering Betis’ improvements and recent head-to-head history.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-110).

In 3 of the last 4 matches between these sides, the Under 2.5 would’ve hit.

Madrid has also gone Under in 6 of their last 8 games throughout all competitions. They’re 1-5 O/U in their last 6 league matches as well. Giving up .78 goals per game, they have one of the best defenses in La Liga.

Betis allows just 1.09, so they also have a competent backline. They are 5-2 O/U in their last 7 league matches but had just 0.5 expected goals in their first game against Real Madrid.

Considering all aspects, back the UNDER 2.5 (-110).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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