Tag: RB Leipzig Manchester City odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Manchester City hosts RB Leipzig in the 2nd leg of the Champions League Round of 16 on Tuesday. Kickoff from Etihad Stadium is set for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Manchester City enters off a 1-0 road victory over Crystal Palace Saturday courtesy of a 78th-minute penalty kick from F Erling Haaland. It dominated the EPL affair with 14 shots (4 on target) and 68% possession to Crystal Palace’s 4 shots (0). The Citizens won their only other March game, a 2-0 triumph over visiting Newcastle United on March 4.

RB Leipzig knocked off Borussia Monchengladbach 3-0 on Saturday in Bundesliga action, with all 3 goals coming in the 2nd half. Leipzig controlled possession (67%) and had 14 shots (9 on target) compared to Monchengladbach’s 7 shots (3). It is 1-1 in March as it suffered a 2-1 loss at Borussia Dortmund on March 3.

The 1st leg between these clubs was a 1-1 draw in Germany on Feb. 22. Man City found the back of the net in the 27th minute (F Riyad Mahrez) and Leipzig evened the score in the 70th minute (D Josko Gvardiol). City had a possession advantage (62%) and had 90% pass accuracy along with 12 shots (3 on target) to Leipzig’s 7 shots (4).

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Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:11 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Manchester City -290 (bet $290 to win $100) | RB Leipzig +770 (bet $100 to win $770) | Draw +450
• Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -150 | U: +130)

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Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig picks and predictions

Prediction

Manchester City 2, RB Leipzig 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

Man City (-290) has been in great form recently, picking up 4 wins and 1 draw in its last 5 games, and is justifiably a massive favorite. However, risking nearly 3 times your potential return — even at the Etihad — is not a sound betting strategy.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS.

Both teams have been creating many offensive opportunities in their previous matches and that should be no different as they look to emerge from this aggregate. Man City is trying to avoid its first last-16 exit since the 2016-17 campaign. City is also chasing history in front of the home crowd as it could equal Arsenal’s record for the longest unbeaten run at home in the Champions League at 23 games with at least a draw.

With everything at stake in this game, expect a lot of action, enough to make a LEAN to the OVER 2.5 (-150).

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RB Leipzig welcomes Manchester City to Red Bull Arena Leipzig on  Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (CBS SPorts Network). Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

This match, and the Inter vs. Porto match, are the final 1st leg Round of 16 battles for the UEFA Champions League. Second legs kick off March 2.

RB Leipzig sits 5th in the Bundesliga and has won 7 of 10 home games. They average 2.05 goals and allow 1.24 goals per game in league play. Leipzig finished 2nd in Group F behind Real Madrid. In their 6 group stage matches, they scored 13 goals and allowed 9.

Manchester City scored 14 and allowed 2 as they finished atop Group G with 4 wins and 2 draws. Their +12 goal differential was only beaten by Napoli (+14) and Bayern Munich (+16). City sits 2nd in the EPL this season and is 6-3-3 away from home.

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RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: RB Leipzig +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Manchester City -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Draw +280
• Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -135 | U: +115)

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RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City picks and predictions

Prediction

Manchester City 3, RB Leipzig 1

Moneyline (ML)

PASS.

While the Arsenal onslaught in the EPL has overshadowed City’s play, their offense has been elite, scoring 2.5 goals per game this season. They have won 5 of their last 7 games throughout all competitions and are clearly the more talented side.

However, in the group stage last season, they had fewer expected goals when taking on Leipzig on the road and ended up losing 2-1. While City will be a popular favorite, pass on the moneyline here. Red Bull Arena has been a difficult place to win this season, but betting against City also isn’t a wise move.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-135).

In the 2 games between these teams last season, there were 12 goals scored, and in each game, both teams has more than 1 expected goal. On top of that, City’s defense has taken a step back, averaging 1 goal per game allowed which doesn’t compare favorably to the .68 they allowed per game last season.

The absence of M Kevin de Bruyne could be beneficial here as well with M Phil Foden potentially sliding in and producing a more offense-focused style of play. That said, Leipzig is averaging 2.05 goals per game which is similar to last season’s 2.12. They scored 2 goals per game on City in 2 matchups.

Put it all together, and back the OVER 2.5 (-135).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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