Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (13-13) visit the Chicago White Sox (3-22) Friday for the opener of a 3-game series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is set for 7:40 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rays won 6-1 last season

The Rays snapped a 3-game losing streak and avoided a 3-game sweep by the visiting Detroit Tigers Wednesday with a 7-5 win, covering as slight +101 underdogs. CF Randy Arozarena and 2B Curtis Mead each homered in the win.

The White Sox enter on a 7-game losing streak and have been swept in back-to-back series after falling 6-3 at the Minnesota Twins Thursday, failing to cover as +178 road underdogs. After taking a 2-0 lead into the 6th, Chicago allowed 6 runs in 3 innings, which proved to be fatal. LHP Tanner Banks yielded a run and 3 hits without recording an out to pick up the loss in relief.

Rays at White Sox projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. RHP Chris Flexen

Eflin (1-2, 3.68 ERA) makes his 6th start of 2024. He has a 1.06 WHIP, an MLB-best 0.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 29 1/3 innings.

  • Rays are 2-3 in Eflin’s 5 starts, scoring 3 runs or fewer in 4 of the 5 games
  • Allowed 12 ER and 4 HR in his 5 starts, while striking out 26 and walking just 2

Flexen (0-3, 6.41 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 through 19 2/3 innings.

  • White Sox are 0-5 in Flexen’s starts this season with the righty allowing 3 or more runs in 3 of the 5 games
  • Allowed 14 ER and 4 HR in his 5 appearances, while striking out 11 and walking 7

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Rays at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | White Sox +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (-140) | White Sox +1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rays at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, White Sox 4

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Rays (-250) to beat the White Sox (+200), who hold the worst record in the MLB.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RAYS -1.5 (-140).

The White Sox are 1-13 in their last 14 games. Excluding the 1st setback of that stretch, a 7-6 defeat in 10 innings, the Sox lost each by 2 or more runs. They have allowed 6 or more runs in each of their last 6 games and have scored 3 or fewer runs in 10 of their last 13.

Meanwhile, each of the Rays’ last 2 wins have come by 2 or more runs. Overall, 9 of their 13 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Rays have hit the Over in 3 of their last 4 games and have scored 3 or more runs in 6 of their last 10. They face a Chicago team that has allowed 6 or more runs in each of their last 7. The White Sox have scored 3 or more runs in 4 of their last 6.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (23-5) finish their 4-game series with the Chicago White Sox (7-21) on Sunday. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tampa Bay leads 6-0

On Saturday, Chicago entered the 7th inning up 3-0 and no-hitting the Rays. Alas, they opened the 8th inning down 10-3, and ended up losing 12-3. The Sox will need to brush off this loss to stop another series sweep. The Rays continue to build their confidence and look to keep their foot on the pedal.

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Rays at White Sox projected starters

RHP Drew Rasmussen vs. RHP Mike Clevinger

Rasmussen (3-2, 3.33 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP with 31 K’s, allowing 23 hits and walking 9 in 27 innings.

  • Last start: L, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 5-0 home loss to Houston Astros Tuesday
  • Has 0-2 record when provided less than 6 runs of support

Clevinger (2-2, 4.81 ERA) makes his 6th start. Has just 24 innings, allowing 25 hits, 14 walks with 18 K’s and a 1.60 WHIP.

  • Last start: L, 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 7-0 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday
  • Has 0.56 strikeout-to-walk ratio against left handed batters

Rays at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | White Sox +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (-125) | White Sox +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 7, White Sox 3

Moneyline

The AL Central is atrocious. Only 1 team is above .500, and it’s not the White Sox. Everyone is in the hot seat in Chicago, but their competition in April was daunting. Tampa Bay is on tear, and at this rate will win more than 100 games. Anything can happen in baseball, but I see Tampa sweeping.

But at -210 its best to PASS and look at the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

Chicago has struggled to cover this season and I expect the same today. The White Sox are 4-8 ATS at home (2-5 as a home dog). Tampa Bay also leads the majors this season with a 19-9 ATS record.

BET RAYS -1.5 (-125).

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Over/Under

The Rays lead MLB in several run-scoring categories: HRs, RBIs and BA. The White Sox are above the MLB average in runners left on base. On top of that the Over is 7-0 for the White Sox in game 4 of a series.

LEAN OVER 9 (-115).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (22-5) and Chicago White Sox (7-20) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series Saturday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 5-0.

The Rays won 3-2 as -153 favorites at the White Sox Friday. 3B Isaac Paredes hit the game-winning HR in the top of the 9th inning for the Rays, who have won back-to-back games.

The White Sox closed as +141 underdogs in Friday’s loss. 1B Andrew Vaughn and 3B Jake Burger both homered as Chicago lost its 9th straight game.

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Rays at White Sox projected starters

RHP Calvin Faucher vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Faucher (0-1, 5.68 ERA) makes his 4th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 12 2/3 IP.

  • Will open the game and is expected to be followed by RHP Yonny Chirinos 
  • Loss Wednesday vs. the Houston Astros: 2 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 BB and 1 K

Lynn (0-3, 7.52 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.79 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 26 1/3 IP.

  • Loss Monday at the Toronto Blue Jays: 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 4 K
  • 6 career starts and 1 relief appearance vs. the Rays: 1-2 with a 3.27 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 15 ER)

Rays at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | White Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+120) | White Sox +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Rays at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 6, Rays 5

Moneyline

BET WHITE SOX (+115).

The Rays are just 2-2 in their last 4 games and have regressed after their historic 13-0 start to the season. Tampa Bay will also be more vulnerable in the 1st 2 innings with Faucher as the opener. The White Sox have hit rock bottom and should be able to take advantage of Faucher early to avoid their 10th straight loss.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

White Sox +1.5 (-145) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Chicago should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (+100).

The Over is 7-2-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 11 games vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400 and 4-0 in Chicago’s last 4 vs. right-handed starters.

The Over has gone 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams and should hit again Saturday with 2 pitchers on the mound that are capable of giving up a lot of early runs.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (20-5) begin a 4-game road series with the Chicago White Sox (7-18) on Thursday. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field will be at 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays swept the White Sox in 3 games in Tampa last week

The Rays will be trying to right the ship after losing back-to-back games to the Houston Astros, dropping the 3-game series at home. It was just their 2nd lost series of the season. The Rays were shut out in consecutive games, losing 5-0 on Tuesday and 1-0 on Wednesday.

The White Sox own the 3rd-worst record in baseball and have lost 7 straight games and 9 of their last 10. In their last 2 series, they were swept by the Rays and Toronto Blue Jays, scoring 3 or fewer runs in 5 of those 6 games. They rank 24th in runs scored (96) this season.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox projected starters

LHP Shane McClanahan vs. RHP Dylan Cease

McClanahan (4-0, 1.86 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 29 IP.

  • Has arguably been the best pitcher in baseball so far this season, with 4 quality starts and allowing 2 or fewer runs in all 5 starts
  • In his last start against the White Sox, he had 10 K’sin 6 IP and  allowed just 2 runs

Cease (2-0, 2.73 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 26 1/3 IP.

  • He’s doing his best to keep the Sox afloat, allowing 3 or fewer runs in all 5 of his starts
  • In his last start vs. the Rays, he allowed 3 R in 4 IP with 5 K

Rays at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+110) | White Sox +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rays at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, White Sox 2

Moneyline

This is a pitcher’s duel, but one that favors the Rays pretty heavily, even on the road. The White Sox struck out 17 times in their 8-0 loss to the Blue Jays on Wednesday, which was their 7th straight. The Rays are sputtering right now, too, getting shut out in back-to-back games, but they have their stopper McClanahan on the mound.

The money line is juiced a bit at -155, but I would still BET RAYS (-155) to win outright and snap their 2-game losing streak.

Run line/Against the spread

In the Rays’ last 10 wins, 8 of them have been by at least 2 runs. This is where the real value lies, getting them at +110 to win by at least 2 runs. It’s hard to see the White Sox plating many runs against McClanahan, especially after Wednesday’s whiff fest, and the Rays should be able to push some runs across once Cease exits.

BET RAYS -1.5 (+110).

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Over/Under

For the Rays, the Under is 3-0-1 in McClanahan’s last 4 starts this season, according to Covers. On the White Sox’s side, the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games overall.

With this being a matchup between 2 aces, I like the UNDER 7 (+100). There shouldn’t be an abundance of balls put in play Thursday.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

Last year’s AL East champion meets the AL Central winner Friday when the Tampa Bay Rays (4-3) visit the Chicago White Sox (4-2). First pitch at Guaranteed Rate Field is 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

These teams split last year’s regular-season series 3-3 and Chicago won its home series 2-1. The Rays outscored the White Sox 34-24 last season.

Tampa hits the road for the first time this season after dropping 3 of 4 to the Oakland Athletics. The Rays were outscored by the A’s 31-16 in the 4-game set and Tampa’s only victory was by 1 run in extra innings.

Chicago had its 4-game winning streak snapped Thursday by the Seattle Mariners 5-1, but the White Sox have won their first 2 series this season.

Rays at White Sox: Projected starters

Tampa RHP Drew Rasmussen vs. Chicago RHP Dylan Cease

Rasmussen (0-0, 4.50 ERA) earned a no-decision Saturday in Tampa’s 5-3 win over the Baltimore Orioles after going 4 IP, allowing 2 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 3 K. This is Rasmussen’s first-ever start versus the White Sox.

  • 2021 road splits: 4-1 with a 2.09 ERA (43 IP, 10 ER), 0.88 WHIP and 7.7 K/9 over 7 starts and 10 relief appearances.

Cease (1-0, 1.80 ERA) got a win Saturday in Chicago’s 5-2 victory at the Detroit Tigers. In 5 IP, he gave up 1 ER on 2 H and 3 BB with 8 K.

  • 2021 home splits: 6-2 with a 3.18 ERA (85 IP, 30 ER), 1.18 WHIP and 12.2 K/9 in 16 starts.
  • vs. Rays on the current roster: 4.15 FIP with a .222 batting average, .285 wOBA, .365 expected slugging percentage, 18.2 K% and 96.6 mph exit velocity in 11 plate appearances.

Rays at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | White Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-190) | White Sox -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Rays at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, White Sox 4

Money line

GIMME the RAYS (+105) because Tampa at plus-money is too juicy to pass up. The Rays had the fourth-best record as road underdogs last season and the gap between Tampa’s and Chicago’s bullpen is bigger than Cease and Rasmussen.

Tampa’s bullpen is second in both K-BB% and xFIP thus far (according to FanGraphs) and Rasmussen was sensational on the road last season.

Also, most casual baseball fans think the Rays are carried by their pitching but Tampa’s lineup is one of the best in the MLB.

Lastly, this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game in the betting market as more money has been wagered on the Rays but more bets have been placed on the White Sox, according to Tipico Sportsbook. Since the sharps put up more dough than your average Joe, let’s tail the cash column of the market.

BET 1 unit on the RAYS (+105).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS because Tampa’s 33-11 RL record as road underdogs last season is accurately accounted for in the Rays +1.5 (-190).

Furthermore, Tampa’s alternate RL of -1.5 (+175) is a no-go because the White Sox are one of the best teams in the league, so I’ll stick with the Rays’ ML at plus-money.

Over/Under

PASS because there’s been a sharp line move heading South of the total but both lineups can rake and I don’t see a lot of value in this total. For what it’s worth, the Rays are 3-4 O/U this season and the White Sox are 3-3 O/U.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (43-25) and Chicago White Sox (42-25) close out a three-game series Wednesday. First pitch will be at 2:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Ryan Yarbrough is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 4-3 with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 1.5 BB/9 through 72 IP spanning 9 starts and 4 relief appearances.

The Rays lefty has posted three straight quality starts away from home. Since 2019, he has registered a 3.38 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in road games.

RHP Lucas Giolito is the projected starter for the White Sox. He is 5-5 with a 3.81 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 75 2/3 IP over 13 starts.

The White Sox right-hander has gone 6-plus innings in 6 straight starts. He owns a 3.15 ERA over that stretch. He has registered a 3.20 ERA at home.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Rays at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | White Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays +1.5 (-165) | White Sox -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

White Sox 4, Rays 3

Money line (ML)

Tampa Bay won Monday’s series opener and snapped a 4-game Chicago win streak. The White Sox returned the favor Tuesday and ended a 4-game streak for the Rays. Both clubs are in first place in their respective divisions.

The Rays offense has slumped over recent weeks, posting a .666 OPS since May 25. The Sox have closed out five of their last six home series with wins and are at their best against lefty pitching with an MLB-best .810 OPS.

BACK THE WHITE SOX (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line. The low total (and a lean on the Under) make for little operating room.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under is 3-0-1 the last 4 meetings between these two clubs. UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the slight lean for Wednesday. Respect the pitching and defense on a cool and dry get-away day game.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (43-24) meet the Chicago White Sox (41-25) for the second game of their three-game set Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Tampa starting RHP Tyler Glasnow turned the series opener over to his bullpen in the fifth inning and the Rays relievers pitched five scoreless frames in Tampa’s 5-2 victory over Chicago Monday.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0.

LHP Shane McClanahan is on the rubber for the Rays. McClanahan is 2-1 with a 4.54 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 across 8 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 4 K in Tampa Bay’s 9-7 loss to the Washington Nationals Wednesday.
  • No career appearances vs. White Sox.

LHP Dallas Keuchel makes his 14th start for the White Sox. Keuchel is 5-1 with a 4.14 ERA (71 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 8 K Thursday vs. the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • vs. Rays on the current roster: 40 at-bats with a .225/.279/.425 slash line, 10/3 K/BB, 2 HR and 3 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Rays at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:03 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+155) | White Sox +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Rays 6, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the RAYS (+100) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit because I favor Tampa in the starting pitching matchup and the Rays have the best road record in the majors (24-10) with the highest margin of victory on the road.

Chicago’s projected starting lineup has six right-handed hitters and three switch-hitters who’ll bat righty since McClanahan is a lefty. However, McClanahan actually pitches better vs. righties than lefties.

In fact, McClanahan has a .317 opponent’s wOBA, 32.9% hard-hit rate and 21.7% K-BB% against right-handed hitters compared to a .435 opponent’s wOBA, 50.0% hard-hit rate and 18.5% K-BB% vs. lefties.

Furthermore, McClanahan is a highly-touted prospect from a Rays organization that’s known for developing talent.

For instance, McClanahan is Tampa Bay’s ninth-ranked prospect, a 2018 first-round draft pick and grades in the 79th percentile in K%, 82nd percentile in chase rate, and 96th percentile in whiff rate.

Also, Keuchel’s advanced pitching numbers vs. current Tampa hitters are subpar. Keuchel has a 4.69 FIP, .395 expected opponent’s wOBA, .560 expected slugging percentage and a 91.4 mph exit velocity in 44 plate appearances against Rays on the current roster.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since I don’t like Tampa Bay enough to take Rays -1.5 (+155) despite that being a really chunky payout.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 4 (-135) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit because the Rays have a 22-10-2 O/U record on the road this season and, despite taking a flyer on McClanahan in this outing, the White Sox’s lineup is the best vs. left-handed pitching across most advanced hitting categories.

The reason for backing the OVER 4 (-135) FIRST 5 INNINGS instead of the full game total is because Chicago’s bullpen has the best WAR in the majors and Tampa’s has the fifth-best.

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