Tag: Rays Tigers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Tampa Bay Rays (78-80) and Detroit Tigers (84-74) conclude a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Comerica Park is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 4-1

The Rays dropped their 2nd straight game to the Tigers Wednesday night, 7-1. Tampa Bay has been outscored 9-2 during this series. The Rays are just playing out the string, as they’ve been eliminated from playoff contention.

Detroit won for the 8th time in their last 9 games and currently holds the final AL Wild Card spot by 2 games over the Minnesota Twins. The Tigers pitching staff has held the Rays to just 10 hits and 2 runs in the 2 games of this series. Detroit is 19-12 against the AL East this season.

Rays at Tigers projected starters

LHP Tyler Alexander vs. RHP Reese Olson

Alexander (6-5, 5.35 ERA) makes his 8th start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 102 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1-0 home victory against Toronto Blue Jays Friday
• 2024 road splits: 3-3, 4.47 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 in 12 games (3 starts)
• Career vs. Tigers: 0-1, 4.50 (4 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 appearance

Olson (4-8, 3.49 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 108 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-4 win at Baltimore Orioles Saturday
• 2024 home splits: 3-4, 3.47 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 21 R (19 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 8 starts
• Only start vs. Rays: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-0 home loss Aug. 4, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:36 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Tigers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-155) | Tigers -1.5 (+130)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rays at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Rays 1

Moneyline

PASS.

The Tigers (-165) are one of the hottest teams in baseball and I’m going to ride the hot hand, but not at those odds. I’ll take my wager to the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET TIGERS -1.5 (+130).

The Tigers are absolutely on fire right now, riding a 4-game winning streak and having won 8 of their last 9. They’re fighting for a playoff spot, and their destiny is completely in their own hands—win out, and they’ll be in the postseason for the 1st time since 2013, back when they still had legends like Miguel Cabrera and Justin Verlander.

On the flip side, the Rays have little left to play for except pride, and let’s be honest—they haven’t been very competitive lately. Tampa Bay has been struggling, averaging just 2 runs per game over their last 6 outings. With all this momentum on Detroit’s side and a struggling opponent, it’s hard to see the Tigers not taking care of business at home and covering that run line on Thursday.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

While their recent meetings have been a mixed bag when it comes to totals, the Rays are on fire when it comes to hitting the Under—8-1-1 in their last 10 games, with 6 of those hitting Under the total.

The Rays have really been struggling to find their offensive groove lately, scoring just 12 runs over their last 6 games. Plus, the Tigers have kept them in check, allowing only 1 run in each game of this series. The Tigers haven’t exactly been lighting it up either, sporting a 6-3-1 record against the Under in their last 10.

With both teams having trouble scoring, it doesn’t seem like we’re in for a high-scoring affair. So, betting the Under feels like a smart move here!

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The Detroit Tigers (83-74) welcome the Tampa Bay Rays (78-79) to Comerica Park Wednesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 3-1

The Rays lost 2-1 to the Tigers in the Tuesday opener.

They entered the series coming off a 3-game sweep of the visiting Toronto Blue Jays Friday through Sunday. Tampa Bay has won 4 of its last 5 games yet is just 5-4 over its last 9. The Rays are 36-40 on the road this season and 80-77 against the spread (ATS) overall.

The Tigers have won 3 straight games, including a 2-1 series win at the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. Detroit has won 7 of its last 8 games yet still sits in 3rd in the AL Central. It is 40-36 at home and 86-71 ATS overall.

Rays at Tigers projected starters

RHP Zack Littell vs. RHP Keider Montero

Littell (8-9, 3.56 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 151 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 2-0 home victory over Boston Red Sox Thursday
• 2024 away stats: 4-4, 4.45 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 13 starts
• Career vs. Tigers: 2-1, 2.81 ERA (16 IP, 5 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 6 appearances (2 starts)

Montero (6-6, 4.86 ERA) makes his 16th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 92 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 4-2 home victory over Orioles Sept. 15
• 2024 home stats: 3-5, 4.18 ERA (56 IP, 26 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 10 appearances (9 starts)
• Has never faced Rays

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Tigers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Rays +1.5 (-200) | Tigers -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rays at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 3, Rays 2

Moneyline

BET TIGERS (-125).

The Tigers offense has been more consistent as of late, and with both teams having a solid starting option on the mound, that could be the difference. Detroit has won 7 of its last 8 games, scoring at least 4 runs in 5 of the 8.

Tampa Bay has scored 2 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 6 games; it hasn’t been able to produce offensively. With that in mind, expect Detroit to come out on top, especially with it right on the brink of a Wild Card spot.

Back TIGERS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great option here. The Rays have had 3 of their last 4 games end within 1 run and are far too expensive to play on the run line. Similarly, the Tigers are too risky to take as run-line favorites.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

The Rays have gone Under in 6 straight games and in 11 of their last 12. They just haven’t consistently produced offensively and have scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 12 games.

The Tigers have gone Under in 2 straight games and in 4 of their last 6. They have scored a total of just 20 runs over their last 6 games. Considering those trends for both and the capable pitching on the mound, back UNDER 8 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (78-78) and Detroit Tigers (82-74) open a 3-game set at Comerica Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 2-1

The Rays are coming off a 3-game sweep of the visiting Toronto Blue Jays. They wrapped up the series with a 4-3 win as -125 favorites Sunday with the Under (7.5) hitting. Tampa Bay is 4 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot and has a 0.3% chance to make the playoffs, according to FanGraphs.com.

The Tigers are coming off a 2-1 series win at the Baltimore Orioles. They won 4-3 as +112 underdogs in the Sunday finale as the Under (8) cashed. Detroit is tied for the 2nd AL Wild Card with the Kansas City Royals, who own the tiebreaker over the Tigers.

Rays at Tigers projected starters

RHP Ryan Pepiot vs. LHP Tarik Skubal

Pepiot (8-6, 3.64 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 121 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 2-1 home setback vs. Boston Red Sox Wednesday
• 2024 road stats: 5-3, 3.47 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 10 starts
• 2024 vs. Tigers: 0-0, 1 home start (April 23), 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-2 defeat
• Career vs. Tigers: 0-0, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Skubal (17-4, 2.48 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 185 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-2 victory at Royals Wednesday
• 2024 home stats: 9-1, 2.13 ERA (97 IP, 23 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 15 starts
• 2024 vs. Rays: 1-0, 1 road start (April 22), 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 7-1 victory
• Career vs. Rays: 2-0, 1.04 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Tigers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-150) | Tigers -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Rays at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Tigers 3

Moneyline

The RAYS (+150) have won 4 straight games and are being undervalued in this spot. While Skubal is the favorite to win the AL Cy Young (-5000 at BetMGM Sportsbook), he shouldn’t be laying -185 vs. Pepiot and the Rays. Pepiot has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 11 of his last 12 starts, and the Rays have gone 7-5 over those outings.

BET RAYS (+150).

Run line/Against the spread

Tampa Bay +1.5 (-150) will likely hit, but getting plus money for the Rays to win straight up is more attractive than laying $150 to win $100.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

It’s tough to play an Over with 2 starting pitchers who have been so consistent lately, but this number is just a bit too low. Seven is a key number in MLB totals, and I can’t bring myself to play Under 6.5 in this spot. This game landing on 7 is the most likely outcome.

LEAN OVER 6.5 (-125).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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