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Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (43-43) and Kansas City Royals (48-40) wrap up a 3-game set at Kauffman Stadium Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 3-2

After winning the opener 5-1, the Rays lost 4-2 as -110 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Wednesday as the Under (8) hit. Tampa Bay is 9-4 in its last 13 and hasn’t lost back-to-back games since June 14-15 at the Atlanta Braves.

RHP Michael Wacha gave up just 1 run on 2 hits in 6 IP for the Royals, who cashed as +102 underdogs. Kansas City has alternated wins and losses over its last 4 games and is 6-3 so far on its current 10-game homestand.

Rays at Royals projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. RHP Alec Marsh

Eflin (4-5, 3.92 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, MLB-best 0.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 87 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-1 home victory vs. Washington Nationals Friday
  • 2024 road stats: 1-4, 5.01 ERA (50 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 2-1, 4.00 ERA (18 IP, 8 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 3 starts, including 1-1 with 8.00 ERA (9 IP, 8 ER) in 2 starts last year

Marsh (6-5, 4.19 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 81 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 10-3 home victory vs. Cleveland Guardians Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-1, 3.30 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Rays: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 11 K in 1 start, a 6-1 home loss July 15, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Royals 3

Moneyline

The RAYS (-130) have not lost 2 straight games since June 14-15, and that was against a team in the Braves that is much better than Kansas City. Tampa Bay should bounce back after Wednesday’s loss, especially if Eflin can pick up where he left off in Friday’s win (0 R in 6 IP).

BET RAYS (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

The Rays’ last 4 wins have been by 2 or more runs, so I’m not completely against taking the run line in this spot. However, Rays ML is definitely the safer bet, and +125 isn’t a great payout.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under has hit in the 1st 2 games of this series and is 14-4-1 in the last 19 for Kansas City. Both pitchers are also coming off impressive outings, with Eflin pitching 6 scoreless innings in his last start Friday, and Marsh giving up just 1 ER last time out against Cleveland.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (43-42) and Kansas City Royals (47-40) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Rays have won back-to-back games after taking down the Royals 5-1 Tuesday as +103 road underdogs. Rays 2B Brandon Lowe hit a solo shot, 3B Isaac Paredes doubled in a pair of runs, and RHP Zack Littell allowed 4 hits in 5 scoreless innings to pick up the win (his night was ended by a 2½-hour rain delay).

Kansas City failed to cash as a -111 home favorite in Tuesday’s loss. SS Bobby Witt Jr. homered in the 6th for the Royals’ lone run, while RHP Brady Singer allowed 1 ER in 5 innings and picked up the loss.

Rays at Royals projected starters

RHP Ryan Pepiot vs. RHP Michael Wacha

Pepiot (4-4, 4.40 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 71 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-2 home loss against Seattle Mariners Wednesday
  • Never faced Royals before

Wacha (4-6, 3.91 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 78 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-1 home win against Cleveland Guardians Thursday
  • 2024 vs. Rays: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 4-1 road loss May 26
  • Career vs. Rays: 2-4, 5.54 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 7 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rays at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Royals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+145) | Royals +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

BET RAYS (-115).

Tampa Bay has won back-to-back games and 7 of its last 10. It has held opponents to 1 or fewer runs in 3 of its last 4 and scored 5 runs in back-to-back games. Kansas City has dropped 2 of its last 3 games. It has scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 of its last 5 games while allowing 5 or more in 2 of its last 3.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline presents better value in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Rays have failed to hit the Over in 7 of their last 10 games, including 4 of their last 5. They have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games while scoring 4 or fewer in 6 of their last 9. The Royals have hit the Under in 8 of their last 10 games and scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 10.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (51-41) open the second half against the Kansas City Royals (36-56) Friday with the first game of a 3-game set at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: This is their first meeting of the season.

Tampa has been consistently above average at 6-4, 11-9 and 16-14 over the last 10, 20 and 30 games, respectively. The Rays are 2nd in the AL East and figure to battle it out for an AL Wild Card as the season progresses. They have been great at home at 31-18 with a 20-23 mark on the road.

The Royals have played inspired ball despite being without 3 of their best players in C Salvador Perez, 2B Whit Merrifield and SS Adalberto Mondesi. Kansas City was 15-15 over its last 30 games but has dropped 4 of its last 6, and Merrifield’s absence is sure to continue to sting.

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Rays at Royals projected starters

RHP Drew Rasmussen vs. RHP Brad Keller

Rasmussen (5-3, 3.22 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 72 2/3 IP.

  • Has a 3.79 ERA through his last 4 starts.
  • Struggles on the road with a 4.50 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.4 K/9 vs. 2.09 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 7.9 K/9 at home.

Keller (5-9, 3.96 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 97 2/3 IP.

  • Went 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA against Tampa in 2021. Allowed 5 ER in 1 2/3 IP in one start and 1 ER in 7 IP w/ 7 K’s in the other.
  • He’s better at home with a 3.48 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 6.8 K/9 vs. 4.50 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 5.5 K/9 on the road.

Rays at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Rays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Royals 4

Money line

Tampa was 4-2 against the Royals last season, and Kansas City could start trading away assets any day before the Aug. 2 deadline. Tampa won 5 of 6 games before the break and scored 5.2 runs per game in the process.

The Royals know the sky is about to fall on their roster, and it could start showing on the field. The price for the RAYS (-130) is a decent one, so let’s punch that ticket.

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Run line/Against the spread

As mentioned, Tampa won 5 of 6 before the break, but 3 of them were by 1 run. The Rays are 43-49 on the RL and 21-22 RL on the road. I don’t trust Tampa to win by margin, nor do I trust KC to keep within 1 run. PASS.

Over/Under

It’s nearly 100 degrees with a 14-mph wind blowing out to left field tonight in Kansas City. You have 2 pitchers with suspect results in recent outings. The only question is if K.C. can score enough with its limited, banged-up lineup. Tampa’s last 3 games went Over, and 2 of the last 3 did for Kansas.

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-135).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (10-8) go for the three-game sweep and a perfect 6-0 road trip when they take on the Kansas City Royals (9-7) Wednesday. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Michael Wacha is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 1-1 with a 4.20 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 across 15 IP through three appearances (two starts). It’s early, but Wacha is missing far more bats than ever before and is coming off a 9 strikeout performance against the New York Yankees for his highest single-game total since July 2017.

RHP Jakob Junis is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 12 IP across four appearances with two starts.

Armed with a new cutter that he is throwing on about one-third of his offerings, Junis is racking up more strikeouts than usual. He whiffed 6 batters in 5 innings in each of his first two starts, and earned a win against the Toronto Blue Jays last time out, though he served up his first 2 runs of the year.

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Rays at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Royals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+150) | Royals +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Rays 6, Royals 3

Money line (ML)

After losing three games in a row, the Rays have come out on top in each of their last five.

It has been only 15 innings, but Wacha is displaying the strongest skills of his career, with a FIP and xFIP both under 3.00.

Look for the RAYS (-110) to make it six wins in a row Wednesday night.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

During the Rays’ win streak, their average margin of victory has been 4.2 runs, with each contest decided by more than 1 run.

As the road team, they will have an opportunity to win by multiple runs in the last inning, and there appears to be solid value in taking the RAYS -1.5 (+150).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over has hit in four of the last six games for Tampa, while seven of the last 10 Kansas City games have gone under the total.

Both Wacha and Junis have shown some improvement during the season’s first few weeks, but the sample is too small to fully buy into this being a pitchers’ duel.

PASS on the total.

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