Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (22-22) take on the Boston Red Sox (22-21) Thursday in the finale of a 4-game set at Fenway Park at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 2-1

We’ve had 3 close games in the series, and the Rays have snuck away with 2 W’s – the last of which was a 4-3 victory Wednesday. 1B Yandy Diaz hit a 2-run single to break a 2-2 tie in the 6th and put the Rays in the driver’s seat. Diaz’s numbers are down across the board with a .253/.314./.327 slash line. He has just 3 homers but has driven in 21 primarily from the leadoff spot.

The Red Sox have shocked baseball with their MLB-leading 2.74 ERA. They are just 20th with an 8.5 K/9 but are finding ways to put up zeroes. 3B Rafael Devers leads the offensive charge with a .281 BA, 5 HR and 15 RBIs. OF Tyler O’Neill has provided the power with 10 homers on the season.

Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Zack Littell vs. RHP Cooper Criswell

Littell (2-2, 3.02 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 44 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K Saturday against New York Yankees
  • 1 career appearance vs. Red Sox: 2 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K

Criswell (2-1, 2.10 ERA) makes his 6th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 25 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K Saturday against Washington Nationals
  • Has never faced Rays
  • Tops out at 89 mph w/ a sinker, changeup, sweeper and cutter

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Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Red Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+155) | Red Sox +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Rays 3

Moneyline

Criswell is coming off a career-high 9 K’s against the Nats last time out. He used a changeup to go down-and-in on righties. It looks like a fastball but has a little wrinkle at the end to miss bats. The Red Sox have not lost a game he has started this season.

That trend continues. Take RED SOX -110 at home in the pick ’em.

Run line/Against the spread

I love COOPER CRISWELL OVER 3.5 STRIKEOUTS (-150). He has 4+ K’s in his last 3 starts and in 4 of 5 GS this year. The only concern for me would be that he’s topping out at 83 pitches per outing. Tampa is the 8th-easiest team to K, which makes this a slam dunk – especially since it’s -172 at some books.

Over/Under

All 3 games in this series have gone Under. It’s expected to be a chilly 56 degrees with a 10-mph gust coming straight in. That would deter me, but this is the smallest total we’ve had thus far in the series. Also, neither pitcher throws very hard. The wind won’t stop righties from blistering the Green Monster with line drives.

Take the OVER 7.5 (-115).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (22-20) welcome the Tampa Bay Rays (21-22) to Fenway Park Wednesday. First pitch in the 2nd of the 4-game series is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Red Sox beat the Rays 5-4 in 12 innings Tuesday but failed to cover as a run-line favorite, closing at -120 on the moneyline. SS Romy Gonzalez singled in the winning run in the 12th inning for Boston, which bounced back after a 5-3 loss in the series opener.

Boston is 3-1 over its last 4 yet 4-7 over its last 11. The Red Sox are 19-23 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 10-11 straight up at home.

The Rays have traded off winning and losing over their last 5 games and are 2-4 straight up over their last 6. They are 18-25 ATS on the season. Tampa Bay is 7-10 on the road this season, the 6th-worst away record in MLB.

Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Taj Bradley vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Bradley (0-1, 1.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 1 ER on 4 hits and 2 walks with 7 K’s in his season debut, a 2-0 home loss vs. the New York Yankees Friday.

  • 2023 road splits: 2-4, 5.47 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 55 H, 11 HR, 26 BB, 71 K in 11 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-0, 4.50 ERA (10 IP, 5 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 in 2 starts

Houck (3-4, 2.24 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 52 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-1 home loss against Washington Nationals Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-2, 2.54 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 25 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 24 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Rays (regular season): 0-3, 7.47 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.66 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 3 starts and 2 relief appearances

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Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Red Sox -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-194) | Red Sox -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

BET RAYS (+114).

The Rays haven’t put together long winning or losing streaks this season, and they are 13-8 following a loss. Tampa Bay gave Bradley no help in his 1st start, but it allowed just 2 runs to the Yankees in that game. Tampa Bay has won 7 of its last 11.

The Red Sox have lost 2 straight in which Houck has started, and they have allowed 5 runs in both. The Red Sox are just 7-9 straight up as home favorites, which they are here.

Given Tampa Bay’s pitching advantage and Boston’s struggles as a home favorite, back RAYS (+114).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value on the run line, as the Rays are too pricey and the Red Sox are too risky as run-line favorites. Avoid this play, and take the moneyline.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-120).

The Red Sox have gone Under in 7 straight games and are 14-25-3 O/U on the season. They have 6 or fewer runs scored in 5 of their last 7 games. Boston is 2-5-1 O/U in Houck’s 8 starts.

Tampa Bay is 2-5 O/U in its last 7 games. It is 23-19-1 O/U on the season. With Bradley on the mound, the Rays are 0-1 O/U. Given the season-long trends for both teams, back UNDER 8 (-120).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (21-21) and Boston Red Sox (21-20) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series at Fenway Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0

Tampa Bay got back in the win column with a 5-3 win over Boston Monday to cash as a +106 road underdog. Rays 3B Amed Rosario had 3 RBIs, while 3 Tampa Bay players had at least 1. RHP Zach Eflin allowed 3 ER in 5 innings and picked up the win.

Boston snapped a 2-game winning streak with Monday’s loss as a -114 home favorite. All 3 of Boston’s runs came in the 1st inning, thanks to a 3-run home run from RF Tyler O’Neill. RHP Kutter Crawford allowed 4 ER in 6 innings to pick up the loss.

Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Nick Pivetta

Civale (2-3, 5.88 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 41 1/3 innings.

  • Rays are 4-4 in his starts (1-2 on the road)
  • Has allowed 5 or more ER in 3 of his last 4 starts
  • Fewer than 5 IP in 4 straight starts
  • Has allowed 27 ER and 8 HR this season while striking out 43 and walking 12

Pivetta (1-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 15 innings.

  • Red Sox are 1-2 in his starts, all road games
  • Has allowed 6 ER and 4 HR while striking out 14 and walking 2

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Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-185) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Red Sox 5

Moneyline

BET RAYS (+105).

Tampa Bay is 7-3 in its last 10 games and came out victorious last night in Boston. It faces a Red Sox team that is 3-7 their last 10 games and Pivetta, who allowed 5 ER in his last start. Outside of a 1st-inning home run yesterday, the Boston offense was stagnant, which has been a recent trend over its past 10 games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-105).

Both pitchers have shown a tendency to allow an allotment of runs in their recent outings. Civalehas allowed 5 or more ER in 3 of his last 4 starts, while Pivetta allowed 5 ER in his last start. Tampa Bay has scored 5 or more runs in each of its last 3 games and 7 of its last 10, while Boston has scored 3 or more in each of its last 3.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (20-21) and Boston Red Sox (21-19) open a 4-game series at Fenway Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rays won 11-2 last season

The Rays fell 10-6 against the New York Yankees Sunday while failing to cash as +131 home underdogs. CF Jose Siri hit a grand slam in the 7th inning, and 1B Yandy Diaz hit a solo shot in the 9th. LHP Tyler Alexander allowed 6 ER in 7 innings to pick up the loss.

Boston has won 2 straight after taking down the Washington Nationals 3-2 Sunday, cashing as a -128 home favorite. A 3-run 2nd inning, which included a 2-run double from SS Ceddanne Rafaela, was all it took to power the Red Sox over Washington. RHP Brayan Bello allowed 2 ER in 5 innings and picked up the win.

Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Eflin (2-4, 3.75 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 48 innings.

  • Rays are 3-5 in his starts (1-3 on the road)
  • Has allowed 20 ER and 7 HR this season while striking out 39 and walking 4

Crawford (2-1, 1.75 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 46 1/3 innings.

  • Red Sox are 3-5 in his starts (1-3 at home)
  • Has allowed 9 ER and 2 HR while striking out 46 and walking 15

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Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-210) | Red Sox -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (-120).

The Red Sox have won back-to-back games and are starting Crawford, who has allowed just 9 ER in his previous 8 starts. They have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 10 games, while the Rays allowed 10 last time out.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line in this game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

The Red Sox have hit the Under in 9 of their last 10 games, including 5 in a row. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 9 games while allowing 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 10.

The Rays have hit the Under in 3 of their last 5 games and scored 1 or fewer runs in 2 of their last 4.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (96-62) and Boston Red Sox (76-81) close out a 2-game set at Fenway Park Wednesday. First pitch is at 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 10-2

The Rays held on for a 9-7 victory over the Red Sox Tuesday. They stormed out to a 7-0 lead in the first 3 innings before Boston chipped away to make it 7-6. Tampa added 2 insurance runs in the 8th inning. The Rays have traded wins and losses over their last 8 games and sit 2 1/2 games out in the AL East with 4 to go. They have clinched the top AL Wild Card spot.

The Red Sox put up a fight, but they dug too deep of a hole early — very reminiscent of their season. Boston has been eliminated from the postseason and has lost 3 in a row and 5 of 6. The Sox are 9-21 over the last 30 games.

Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Glasnow (9-7, 3.68 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 115 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 7 K Friday against the Toronto Blue Jays
  • Last 5 regular-season starts against Red Sox: 2-0, 2.25 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 43 K in 28 IP

Bello (12-10, 4.11 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 151 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 8 ER, 8 H, 4 BB, 2 K last Wednesday against Texas Rangers
  • 4 career starts vs. Rays: 1-2, 6.75 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 19 K in 20 IP

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Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Rays 4

Moneyline

Glasnow has allowed 14 ER in 15 1/3 IP over his last 3 starts. However, he shut the Red Sox down in the start before that for 1 ER over 6 IP with 14 K’s. With the Rays’ inability to string together wins, and the momentum Boston garnered nearly coming back Monday night, I look for the Red Sox to get to Tampa’s pen.

Take the RED SOX (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

None of the last 10 games between these teams were decided by 1 run and if you’re feeling the Red Sox like I am, there’s no point in taking -165 for a run of insurance.

PASS.

Over/Under

Three of the last 4 meetings have gone Over, and the Over is 6-4 in the last 10 games. Tampa has now scored at least 3 runs in 8 of 10 games. Boston’s offense has done it in 6 of 10. Glasnow doesn’t go deep into games, and if the Red Sox can wait him out, this should sneak past the finish line.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-115).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (95-62) and Boston Red Sox (76-80) open up a 2-game set at Fenway Park Tuesday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 9-2

Tampa comes in here zig-zagging wins and losses in each of the last 6 games. The Rays are still 2 1/2 games behind the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East but they have a 9-game buffer as the top AL Wild Card spot with 5 games to go.

The Red Sox have lost 4 of 5 games as their disappointing season nears its end. They are 10-20 over the last 30 games and 39-40 at home. They will likely finish in the cellar in the AL East.

Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Eflin (15-8, 3.44 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 172 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 10 K Thursday against Los Angeles Angels
  • 3 career starts vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 6.43 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 21 K in 14 IP

Houck (5-9, 4.92 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 97 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 4 K last Tuesday against Texas Rangers
  • 2 career starts vs. Rays: 0-2, 6.30 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 14 K in 10 IP

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Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The Red Sox scored just 5 runs in a 3-game series against the hapless Chicago White Sox over the weekend. While Tampa is inconsistent, they have scored at least 3 runs in 8 of 10.

Eflin has bad numbers against Boston, but he hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any of his last 7 starts. He’ll set the tone and keep them in it.

Take the RAYS (-125) at a solid price.

Run line/Against the spread

The keyword here is inconsistent. The Rays haven’t won back-to-back games in more than a week, and it’s hard to trust them on the RL.

PASS.

Over/Under

Trust is very important here, and the theme has been inconsistency. The Over is 6-4 between the teams in the last 10 games. However, the Under has hit in 4 of the last 6. The Red Sox aren’t scoring runs, and Tampa will need them in order to cash an Over here.

LEAN UNDER 8 (-105).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (41-19) and Boston Red Sox (30-28) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series in Beantown Sunday. First pitch from Fenway Park is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 5-1

The Rays have won 4 of their last 6 against AL East teams after splitting a doubleheader Saturday, losing the opener 8-5 and winning the nightcap 4-2.  Tampa looks to continue their dominance of Boston this season, having outscored them 35-22 in the 6 games played.

Boston is 2-3 on its current 7-game homestand. The Red Sox have won 3 of their 4 Sunday home games this season. They have lost 8 of their last 12 games overall.

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Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Taj Bradley vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Bradley (3-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his 7th start of 2023. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 30 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 1-0 loss at Chicago Cubs Monday
  • Only start vs Red Sox: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 9-7 home win April 12

Houck (3-4, 5.30 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 52 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 4-2 loss at Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • Only start vs Rays: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 8-1 home loss Aug. 12, 2021
  • Has not won a game since April 20

Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Red Sox 5

Moneyline

I’m going to jump on the RAYS (-120), because the Red Sox have no confidence against this team.

Bradley has been brilliant on the road this season sporting a stellar 1.13 ERA in 3 starts. Houck has allowed at least 3 ER in 6 of his last 7 starts.

BET THE RAYS (-120)

Run line/Against the spread

Despite the juicy odds on the Rays to cover the spread (+135) I am going to  avoid this bet. While I am confident Tampa wins, I am not as confident they win by 2 or more runs. The Rays have lost 5 of their last 7 on the road.

Bet the moneyline and AVOID the run line.

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Over/Under

I like this game to go Over. The Rays have scored the 2nd-most runs in the MLB (349 total, 5.8 per game). Tampa also has the 2nd-best batting average in baseball (.268). Boston has scored the 4th-most runs in MLB (303). The Red Sox have been over this total in 4 of their last 5 games.

BET OVER 9 (-120).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (40-18) and Boston Red Sox (29-27) open up a 4-game set Friday at Fenway Park. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 4-0

Tampa comes in fresh off a day of rest after avoiding a sweep with a 4-3 win over the Chicago Cubs Wednesday. The Rays have played 5 straight 1-run games, which they’ve exited 2-3 from. They’re 6-4 and 11-9 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively, and are just 14-12 on the road despite their historic start.

The Red Sox have struggled, losers of 7 of their last 10 games, after a nice run in May. They sit 10 games back in the AL East and 4 games out of the Wild Card race, so there’s still time to avoid being sellers in July. Boston is 16-13 at home and 7-7 in divisional games.

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Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Garrett Whitlock

Glasnow (0-0, 6.23 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 16.6 K/9 in 4 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday in his season debut
  • Last 5 starts vs. Boston: 1-0, 3.80 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 38 K in 23 2/3 IP

Whitlock (2-2, 5.14 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 21 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5 IP vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
  • 2 career starts vs. Tampa: 0-1, 5.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 12 K in 9 IP

Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (+110) | Red Sox -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The hard-throwing Glasnow makes his 2nd start after missing most of the first couple of months with an oblique injury. He threw 83 pitches and started to fade in the 5th inning in his debut.

He has given the Red Sox fits in his last 2 outings with 1 ER and 16 K’s in 9 2/3 IP. The Rays’ pen is 22nd with a 4.32 ERA, but they use their bullpen a little differently and freely with bullpen games. SS Wander Franco sat out Wednesday with a left-shoulder ailment and his absence could definitely swing the lines. So wait until lineups are released, but LEAN RAYS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

The Rays won 3 of the 4 by multiple runs early in the season, but as mentioned, they have played 5 straight 1-run games. Glasnow doesn’t figure to go deep, so I’d be weary of either side of the RL.

PASS.

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Over/Under

We have some poor conditions forecasted at Fenway with a 63 percent chance of rain and the wind is blowing in from left-center field at 9 mph. Tampa scored a total of 5 runs in the last 3 games, and Whitlock has alternated 1 ER and 5 ER starts over the last 4 starts. The Under is 4-0 in the Rays’ last 4 games on grass and 4-0 in the Red Sox’s last 4 games inside the division. This total looks a little tall with all that in consideration.

Take the UNDER 9.5 (-120).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (86-74) will square off with the Boston Red Sox (76-84) for the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday at Fenway Park at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rays lead 12-5

The Rays have lost 7 of their last 10 games. Tampa Bay has already clinched a playoff spot, but could improve from the No. 3 AL wild-card spot to the No. 2 spot if they win out and the Seattle Mariners struggle to finish the season.

Boston is looking to finish the season strong, but the Red Sox have lost 6 of their last 10 games despite taking down the Rays on Monday.

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Rays at Red Sox projected starters

LHP Jeffrey Springs vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Springs (9-4, 2.45 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 132 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up 0 ER in 4 of his last 6 starts (19 2/3 IP)
  • Sept. 7 vs. Red Sox: 3 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K

Eovaldi (5-3, 4.05 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 104 1/3 IP.

  • The Red Sox have won 3 of his last 4 starts
  • Has surrendered 3 ER or more in 4 of his last 7 starts

Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+140) | Red Sox +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

Only 1 of these teams has something to play for and after taking a loss on Monday, give me the RAYS (-120) to win on the road on Tuesday. Tampa Bay has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Boston.

Run line/Against the spread

Considering that I have Tampa Bay securing the win, RAYS -1.5 (+140) at plus odds is an enticing wager. The Rays should be able to win by multiple runs with Eovaldi on the mound for the Red Sox despite not facing him yet this season.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 RUNS (-112) is where I’m going in this game with the Rays likely scoring a decent number of runs with Eovaldi starting the game for the Red Sox. Boston should also be able to score a couple of runs on Springs to help us reach the over.

The Over is 18-7-1 in the previous 26 meetings between the Rays and the Red Sox when the game takes place at Fenway Park.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (69-55) take on the Boston Red Sox (60-65) Friday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Fenway Park. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rays lead 8-2

Tampa is as hot as it has been all season, winners of 6 in a row, 8 of 10 and 14 of 20. The Rays sit firmly in the first wild card spot in the American League. Friday might be a challenge as they’re throwing an opener in a bullpen game.

Boston fell victim to a 2nd defeat in extra innings in as many nights Thursday. The Red Sox have lost 4 in a row and 6 of 7 as their tailspin continues its downward spiral. Boston was swept in a 4-game series in Tampa in July.

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Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP JT Chargois vs. RHP Michael Wacha

Chargois (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 4th appearance and 1st start. He has a 0.75 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 2 2/3 IP.

  • The 31-year-old journeyman is with his 4th major league team
  • Deploys a slider and sinker 97% of the time; has thrown a 4-seam fastball once in 38 pitches at 95 mph

Wacha (8-1, 2.28 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 83 IP.

  • He’s 5-0 with a 2.13 ERA in his last 7 starts
  • April 22 vs. Tampa: 5 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

Rays at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-190) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Rays 3

Money line

I liked the Red Sox to end their losing streak Thursday, but they folded in extra innings. They have a clear mismatch on the rubber and should come away with the win Friday. The books are on board with that, but there is value on the RED SOX FIRST 5 INNINGS (+102). It requires the inconsistent Red Sox to score, but that shouldn’t be a problem in a bullpen game for Tampa.

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Run line/Against the spread

The deck is stacked against us here. Even the Red Sox Total Runs Over 3.5 (-190) is juiced up. PASS.

Over/Under

This is a big number Friday, and only 2 of the 10 games between these teams has hit it this year. The Under is 4-2-1 for Tampa lately, and the Red Sox’s offense hasn’t done its job this year. Go with the UNDER 9.5 (-125).

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