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The Tampa Bay Rays (66-66) and Seattle Mariners (67-66) meet for the finale of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tampa Bay leads 3-2
Tampa escaped with a 3-2 win over Seattle Tuesday while covering as a +149 road underdog. The Rays scored 3 runs in the 7th and 8th innings to come back from down 1-0 and survive a late push by the Mariners. 1B Yandy Diaz went 2-of-4 at the plate and hit the HR to take the lead in the 8th.
The win ended a streak of back-to-back losses for Tampa while simultaneously ending a streak of back-to-back wins for the Mariners.
Rays at Mariners projected starters
LHP Tyler Alexander vs. RHP Luis Castillo
Alexander (5-3, 5.22 ERA) makes his 18th appearance and 8th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 81 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 7-3 lioss to Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
- Career vs. Mariners: 0-1, 6.20 ERA, 20 1/3 IP, 14 ER, 26 H, 5 BB, 23 K in 6 appearances (4 starts)
Castillo (10-12, 3.66 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 159 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 9 K in a 6-5 win over San Francisco Friday
- Career vs. Tampa Bay: 0-1, 6.75 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Rays at Mariners odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rays +144 (bet $100 to win $144) | Mariners -172 (bet $172 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-150) | Mariners -1.5 (+126)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rays at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 5, Mariners 3
Moneyline
PASS.
I slightly lean toward the Rays to cover here as (+144) underdogs, but their odds are slightly safer on the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET RAYS +1.5 (-150).
Tampa Bay is the slightly hotter team entering this matchup, being 7-3 in its last 10 overall while the Mariners are 4-6 over that same span. The Rays are also 4-2 in their last 6 vs. Seattle.
Tampa has also been the much better ATS team, being 36-28 ATS on the road while the Mariners are only 28-40 ATS at home and 54-79 ATS overall.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 7 (-110).
The Over is 5-3-2 in Seattle’s last 10 overall and is 5-3-2 in the last 10 meetings between these 2 squads. The Over is also 4-1-1 in Tampa’s last 6 wins vs. the Mariners.
In a matchup where the O/U has been even for both teams individually and in recent matchups between these squads, it is unlikely that the Under will hit for the 3rd-straight game.
This is a lean because the Under has hit in each of the last 2 Tampa-Seattle matchups and because the Under has hit in 3-straight for Tampa Bay.
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