The Toronto Raptors (29-23) visit Paycom Center Wednesday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (17-36) at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Raptors continue a road trip in Oklahoma City following a 15-point win (116-101) over the Charlotte Hornets Monday. The Raptors have now won 6 straight, covering each time.
They’re 8-2 against the spread (ATS) in their 10 and 31-21 ATS on the season. While that’s good enough for the fourth-best covering record in the NBA, it still doesn’t top the Thunder, who are second at 32-18-3 ATS – Memphis is first at 37-19.
OKC will be without their top scorer PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, though. His absence offensively has been brutal as Oklahoma City hasn’t topped 100 in 3 of its last 5 outings.
Raptors at Thunder odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:33 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Raptors -540 (bet $540 to win $100) | Thunder +380 (bet $100 to win $380)
- Against the spread: Raptors +9.5 (-108) | Thunder -9.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Raptors at Thunder key injuries
Raptors
- None
Thunder
- PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) out
- PF Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (foot) out
- SG Aaron Wiggins (ankle) out
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Raptors at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Raptors 108, Thunder 96
Money line
PASS.
The Thunder are just a bit better at home (9-17) than on the road (8-19), but backing the Raptors at -540 is not smart sports gambling.
With Gilgeous-Alexander out for the Thunder, backing their +380 for a nice underdog-upset payoff isn’t advised either.
Against the spread
LEAN RAPTORS -9.5 (-108).
The Thunder haven’t been their typical covering selves lately, just 4-4-2 ATS in their last 10. On the other side, the Raptors are surging, winning their last two games by double figures.
Toronto does it on the glass, ranking second in offensive-rebounding rate. The Thunder rank 16th in defensive rebounding. The length of the Raptors on the glass is going to be a problem for the short-handed Thunder.
The Thunder are the worst team in the league in terms of true-shooting rate and rank 26th in turnover rate.
With Toronto 3-1 as an away favorite and having the advantage in key areas, I’ll take the RAPTORS -9.5 (-108) to win by double figures.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 208.5 (-110).
The Raptors average 108.4 points per game, however, they’re playing a team that sits 9th in defensive rating. Over the Thunder’s last 5 games, they actually climb to second in defensive rating.
Thunder SF Lu Dort and rookie SG Josh Giddey are solid defensively, and that’s helped their Under hit 6 times in their last 10, including 1-2 O/U when the total is set at 210 or lower.
Lastly, Toronto ranks 26th in pace with the Thunder sitting at 16th. Neither team prefers to get out and run, especially with SGA sidelined. That should help make the UNDER 208.5 (-110) the better play here.
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