Raptors Heat odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (1-2) and Miami Heat (1-2) meet Monday at FTX Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Raptors vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Raptors covered as 3.5-point underdogs and the Over (215.5) hit as Miami defeated Toronto 112-109 Saturday at FTX Arena. Heat SF Jimmy Butler led all scorers with 24 points in a game that saw Miami lead by as many as 24 in the 3rd quarter.

The NBA has suspended Heat SF Caleb Martin for 1 game and has fined Raptors rookie F Christian Koloko $15,000 following a scuffle in Saturday’s game.

The Heat have started the season 0-3 against the spread (ATS).

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Raptors at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Raptors +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Heat -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +4.5 (-115) | Heat -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Raptors at Heat key injuries

Raptors

F Scottie Barnes (ankle) questionable
F Chris Boucher (hamstring) questionable
F Otto Porter Jr. (hamstring) out

Heat

SG Victor Oladipo (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Raptors at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 105, Heat 104

Moneyline

PASS.

This game is too close to call. The Raptors got the backdoor cover Saturday and should play an even closer game Monday. Beating the Raptors twice in 3 days will be difficult for the Heat, so the spread should be a safer bet.

Against the spread

BET RAPTORS +4.5 (-115).

Toronto has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings vs. Miami and all 4 games have been decided by 5 points or fewer. Take the points with a well-coached Raptors team coming off of 2 close losses.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 215.5 (-115).

Saturday’s Under was ruined by a combined 71-point 1st quarter from both teams. However, the scoring settled down eventually as Toronto and Miami combined for just 100 points in the 2nd half.

The Under is 9-2 in Toronto’s last 11 road games dating back to last season and should hit Monday when these well-coached, defensive-minded teams meet again.

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Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (1-1) and Miami Heat (0-2) meet Saturday at the FTX Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Raptors vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Raptors failed to cover as 2.5-point underdogs at the Brooklyn Nets Friday. Toronto trailed by 12 points with 5:38 left in the 4th quarter and had a live moneyline (ML) of +1450. The Raptors then stormed back to tie the game in the final 2 minutes, but eventually gave up a dagger 3-pointer to Nets F Royce O’Neale with 15 seconds left.

The Heat failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs in a 111-104 home loss vs. the Boston Celtics Friday. SG Tyler Herro led Miami in scoring with 25 points after dropping 23 in its season opener vs. the Chicago Bulls.

The Heat are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) to start the season and are tied with the Denver Nuggets for the 8th-best odds to win the NBA Finals at +1500.

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Raptors at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Raptors +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Heat -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +3.5 (-117) | Heat -3.5 (-103)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Raptors at Heat key injuries

Raptors

C Chris Boucher (hamstring) out
SF Otto Porter Jr. (hamstring) out

Heat

SG Victor Oladipo (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Raptors at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 105, Raptors 104

Moneyline

PASS.

Miami (-150) will be extra motivated to get its 1st win of the season, but it’s too expensive to bet in what I expect to be a close game.

Against the spread

BET RAPTORS +3.5 (-117).

Toronto would’ve covered Friday in Brooklyn if it wasn’t for a late 3-pointer from O’Neale. Both of the Raptors’ games this season have been close finishes, and I expect this to be another one. Take the points with Toronto.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 215.5 (-108).

This should be a close, almost playoff-like game with 2 well-coached teams that have extra motivation. Toronto does not want to fall below .500 early in the season, and Miami badly needs to get its 1st win. Dating back to last season, the Under is 6-1 in the Raptors’ last 7 games. This is a well-coached, defensive-minded Raptors team that will help the Under hit Saturday in Miami.

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Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (23-23) stop by the FTX Arena Saturday for an 8 p.m. ET game against the Miami Heat (32-17). Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Toronto has alternated between winning and losing over the past five games with the latest being a 111-105 loss at the Chicago Bulls as 4-point road underdogs.

Over the past two weeks, the Raptors are 3-4 straight-up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS) but Toronto PG Fred VanVleet has missed the past two games.

Miami defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 121-115 last night (Friday) at home but failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites. The Heat enter on a three-game winning streak.

In the last 14 days, the Heat are 5-2 SU with a plus-6.0 adjusted net rating (ranked fifth) and 4-3 ATS with a minus-0.3 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

The Heat (-4) won and covered their first meeting this season with the Raptors 104-99 Jan. 12. Miami shot better than Toronto from everywhere on the floor and outrebounded the Raptors 49-45.

Raptors at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Raptors +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Heat -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +3.5 (-105) | Heat -3.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Raptors at Heat key injuries

Raptors

PG Fred VanVleet (knee) questionable
C Khem Birch (nose) out

Heat

SF Jimmy Butler (toe) questionable
PG Kyle Lowry (personal) questionable

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Raptors at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 111, Raptors 109

Money line

PASS because there’s a lot of uncertainty with both teams’ injury reports. VanVleet may return for the Raptors, and if that’s the case, I’d “lean” towards Toronto’s money line.

Miami could still be without Lowry and Butler was listed on the injury report as questionable for the Heat’s game against the Clippers yesterday. I wouldn’t be shocked if Butler sat out the second of this back-to-back.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the RAPTORS +3.5 (-105) for a one-third-unit, if at all, because my favorite wager in this game is the Over.

That said, Toronto has the eighth-best ATS margin over the past two weeks (plus-1.4), per CTG, and the Raptors are 17-8 ATS versus teams with a winning record (8-5 ATS on the road).

On top of that, I’m noticing some reverse line movement in the betting market as a vast majority of the action is on the Heat -3.5 (-170), but they’ve been lowered from a 5.5-point favorite on the look-ahead line. Typically, it’s a red flag whenever sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 208.5 (-108) for 1 unit because the Raptors-Heat total has already been steamed up 1-point from the look-ahead number and based on several trendy reasons.

For instance, Miami is 6-1 O/U in the second of a back-to-back (plus-6.6 total margin) and 7-0 O/U when playing with a rest disadvantage (plus-12.1 total margin).

Also, Toronto is 9-2 O/U when playing with a rest advantage (plus-11.0 total margin), the Raptors are 10-9 O/U as a road underdog and the Heat are 10-9 O/U as a home favorite.

Furthermore, Miami is 25th in defensive FT/FGA rate, Toronto is 27th and two of the three referees assigned to this game have officiated more Overs than Unders. Both teams could spend a lot of time at the foul line Saturday given their defensive free-throw rates and the officiating crew.

For the record, the OVER 208.5 (-108) is my favorite wager in this game.

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Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (27-16) host the Toronto Raptors (21-19) Monday at FTX Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Toronto busted a two-game losing skid by upsetting the Bucks 103-96 in Milwaukee Saturday as a 7.5-point road underdog. In January, the Raptors are 6-2 straight-up (SU), 6-2 against the spread (ATS) and 4-4 Over/Under (O/U) with the seventh-best net rating.

Miami had a four-game winning streak snapped Saturday, losing to the Philadelphia 76ers 109-98 as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Heat are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS and 5-2 O/U this month with the eighth-best net rating.

Raptors at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

Money line: Raptors +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Heat -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Against the spread: Raptors +4.5 (-115) | Heat -4.5 (-107)
Over/Under: 211.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Raptors at Heat key injuries

Raptors

SG Gary Trent Jr. (ankle) questionable

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (thumb) questionable
PG Kyle Lowry (personal) out

Raptors at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 112, Raptors 105

Money line

PASS.

The Heat (-180) should handle business at home, but the Raptors are playing some good basketball lately, making Miami’s money line too expensive.

Toronto is 9-7 as a road underdog and has a slightly better net rating than Miami this month.

Against the spread

BET the HEAT -4.5 (-107) for 1 unit. They have several strength-on-weakness edges such as drawing fouls, crashing the glass and perimeter shooting.

Miami ranks ninth in adjusted offensive free-throw rate (FT%), sixth in adjusted offensive-rebounding rate and third in adjusted 3-point percentage (3P%), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Whereas Toronto ranks 29th in adjusted defensive FT%, 27th in adjusted defensive-rebounding rate and 27th in adjusted defensive 3P%.

The Heat are much deeper than the Raptors. Miami’s bench ranks fourth with 38.9 points per game (PPG) and Toronto’s bench is dead-last with 23.9 PPG.

Typically, role players perform much better at home, which is part of the reason Miami has a positive home-scoring margin (plus-6.6 PPG) and Toronto has a negative road-scoring margin (minus-1.6 PPG).

This is a better spot for the Heat, who have covered five of their past six games overall, their last five after a loss and are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against the Raptors.

BET HEAT -4.5 (-107).

Over/Under

PASS.

Both teams play at a bottom-four pace, Toronto has gone Under the total in four consecutive games and the Under is 4-1 in the last five Raptors-Heat meetings.

However, Toronto is 22-18 O/U and 13-9 O/U as an underdog, while Miami is 25-18 O/U and 16-12 O/U as a favorite.

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Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

After a seven-game road trip, the Miami Heat (14-17) are back at home. They’ll host the Toronto Raptors (16-16) on Wednesday night at American Airlines Arena, with tip-off at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Raptors-Heat NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Raptors at Heat: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Raptors +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Heat -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Raptors +3.5 (-115) | Heat -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Raptors at Heat: Key injuries

Raptors

PG Kyle Lowry (thumb and ankle) questionable

Heat

PG Goran Dragic (ankle) questionable
SG Tyler Herro (hip) questionable
PG Avery Bradley (calf) out

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Raptors at Heat: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 109, Raptors 104

Money line (ML)

Both teams have been playing well as of late, with Miami winning the last three and Toronto going 4-1 in its last five games. The Heat have been on the road for the last seven games, however, and will finally be back home for the first time since Feb. 9.

The Heat are getting healthy at the right time and could have Herro back on Wednesday night. That would be a big boost after missing Monday’s win over the Thunder and only playing 14 minutes the game prior. I like the HEAT (-150) to win outright tonight at home.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Heat are 3-0 ATS in their last three games and are favored by 3.5 points tonight. The Raptors are coming off a loss to the 76ers at home and though they won’t have far to travel, it’s still a road game and Lowry is questionable to play.

Take the HEAT -3.5 (-105) to cover and continue their hot streak with a fourth straight win.

Over/Under (O/U)

In the Heat’s last two games, the total went Under. The Raptors haven’t topped 110 points in any of their last four games and scored just 102 against the 76ers on Tuesday. I think the total will go UNDER 214.5 (-110) tonight, especially if either Lowry or Herro are forced to sit this one out.

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Also see:

Even fans take the All-Star vote more seriously than players (Hoops Hype)
Trae Young, Devin Booker and the complete list of 2021 NBA All-Star Game snubs (Hoops Hype)

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