Tag: Rangers Mets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Texas Rangers (75-57) and New York Mets (60-73) meet Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network), as they close out a 3-game set at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Texas leads 2-0

The Rangers have taken the 1st 2 games of a series that has thus far been dominated by pitching and defense. Just 10 total runs were scored over Monday’s and Tuesday’s games.

The Mets are just 1-6 over their last 7 games. Over that stretch, a scuffling New York offense has tallied just 13 runs on a .560 OPS.

Rangers at Mets projected starters

RHP Dane Dunning vs. RHP Denyi Reyes

Dunning (9-6, 3.36 ERA) is tabbed for his 21st start and 28th appearance this season. He owns a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 136 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 6 BB, 6 K in a 12-2 loss at Minnesota Twins Friday
• 2023 road stats: 3-4, 3.33 ERA in 7 1/3 IP in 15 games (11 starts)
• Has never faced the Mets as a starter
• Owns a 4,78 ERA over his last 7 starts

Reyes (0-2, 7.5 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.92 WHIP, 5.25 BB/9 and 9 K/9 in 12 innings.

• Last start: Loss,  4 2/3 IP, 8 H, 5 R, 4 BB, 4 K in 21-3 home loss the Atlanta Braves Aug. 12
• 2023 home stats: 0-2, 11.25 ERA in 8 IP in 4 games (2 starts)
• Has never faced the Rangers as a starter
• Being called up from Triple-A Syracuse for this turn. Owns 5.80 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 76 IP at Triple-A.

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Rangers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Rangers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+105) | Mets +1.5 (-125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rangers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

No leverage on either side here: PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Reyes has allowed too much barreled-up contact in his limited action, but he’s also been undone by a .389 batting average on balls in play.

The Rangers offense figures as being out too far over its skis. And the back end of the Texas bullpen may be a tad compromised by fatigue if they are trying to close out a close game.

The Mets play in a lot of 1-run games. BET NEW YORK +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

What has been an Under lean in games 1 and 2 gets enough pushback the other way for game 3: not a good enough return, some fade-Dunning lean, and a more fatigued Texas bullpen play in call

STEER CLEAR.

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The Texas Rangers (74-57) and New York Mets (60-72) meet for the middle contest of a 3-game series in Queens. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Texas leads 1-0

The Rangers took Monday’s series opener 4-3. They will take the field Tuesday looking to do something they have not done since Aug. 14-15 and that’s win back-to-back games. Since Aug. 16, Texas is 2-9 with a .664 OPS at the plate.

The Mets are just 2-6 over their last 8 games. Over that stretch, a scuffling New York offense has tallied just 3.13 runs per game on a .625 OPS.

Rangers at Mets projected starters

LHP Andrew Heaney vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Heaney (9-6, 4.34 ERA) makes his 26th start of the season. He owns a 1.36 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 122 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 7 H, 3 R (all HRs), 1 BB, 5 K in a 7-5 loss at Minnesota Twins Thursday
• 2023 road stats: 3-3, 4.41 ERA in 49 IP across 10 starts
• Career starts vs. Mets: 0-1, 2.45 ERA in 11 IP in 2 starts (2014-22)
• Has pitched less than 5 IP in each of his last 3 outings and has yielded 7R over 9 1/3 IP in that stretch

Quintana (1-5, 3.73 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start of the season. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 41 innings.

• Last start: Loss,  5 1/3 IP, 9 H, 5 R, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-0 loss at the Atlanta Braves Wednesday
• 2023 home stats: 0-2, 2.45 ERA in 11 IP in 2 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Rangers: 1-1, 3.71 ERA in 26 2/3 IP (2016-21)

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Rangers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Rangers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-160)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rangers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

PASS. The Mets plus 1.5 runs is the only slight lean among these sides. But peg these prices as being fair.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets play in a lot of 1-run games. With an Under call here, the home side is the lean.

Its a lean built a bit on the Ranger offense being overcooked overall. But the lean can’t be augmented enough by having Quintana, a slight fade candidate on the mound. PASS.

Over/Under

Texas games have hit the Under in 18 of the club’s last 28 road games (+6.80 Units, 21% ROI). Mets games have cashed on the Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+9.82 Units, 19% ROI).

Heaney draws a Mets club which has bottom-10 production numbers against left-handers (.700 OPS). Quintana is coming off a rocky start at Atlanta, but he toted a 6-start 3.03 ERA, 1.26 WHIP into that turn. He’s taking on a Texas lineup that has sputtered of late (.664 OPS, 26.1% strikeout rate since Aug. 16).

Both sides have bullpens that generate a lot of fly balls and have been perhaps unduly touched up by home runs at times. Those relievers and fly-ball hurlers Heaney and Quintana should benefit from an inward breeze in the Citi Field forecast.

BET THE UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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The Texas Rangers (73-57) and New York Mets (60-71) open up a 3-game set at Citi Field Monday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mets won 2-1 last year

The Rangers are amidst their worst stretch of the season as they have lost 9 of their last 10 games. Texas is now 1 game out in the AL West and holds the 2nd AL Wild Card spot. The Rangers have mixed results at 20-23 in interleague play and in going 31-33 on the road.

The Mets snapped a 4-game losing skid with a win over the Los Angeles Angels Sunday. They’re 5-5 and 10-10 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively. The Mets are 32-30 at home but just 15-22 in interleague play.

Rangers at Mets projected starters

RHP Jon Gray vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Gray (8-7, 3.76 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 131 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K Tuesday against Arizona Diamondbacks
• Last 5 starts vs. Mets: 1-3, 9.82 ERA, 2.05 WHIP, 24 K in 22 IP

Megill (7-7, 5.54 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 91 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves
• Home/road splits: 5-2, 3.49 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 49 IP at home vs. 2-5, 7.93 ERA, 2.19 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 on road

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Rangers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:58 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rangers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rangers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5 Mets 4

Moneyline

This is a tough one to forecast as the Rangers are the much-better team with the better starter, but they have allowed 4 or more runs in 8 of 9 games. Megill’s numbers are better at home, but I just don’t trust the Mets. Gray’s numbers against them are hideous, but much of that occurred while he was with the Colorado Rockies.

Take the RANGERS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

I like the Mets to make this one competitive. They have been a .500 ball club for much of the month, and the Rangers have had issues allowing runs.

I’ll LEAN METS +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

Texas is 5-4-1 O/U over the last 10, and the Mets are 2-8. The Mets have scored just 9 runs in the last 5 games. I’m projecting a push here, and I’ll just AVOID altogether.

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