2021 Quaker State 400 long-shot odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2021 Quaker State 400, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to the Atlanta Motor Speedway for the  Quaker State 400 presented by Walmart Sunday for a green flag at approximately 3:35 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Quaker State 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

Penske Racing’s Ryan Blaney is the defending champ from the March 21 Cup race, the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. It was Ford’s fifth straight checkered flag at the historic track.

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2021 Quaker State 400: What you need to know

  • Chip Ganassi Racing driver Kurt Busch, in his 20th full season in the NASCAR Cup Series, has had a lot of success at this track. He has 30 career starts, picking up three wins, seven top-5 runs, 15 top-10 showings and 22 finishes of 20th or better while leading the pack for 804 laps.
  • Busch’s laps led is second-best to Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick, who has led 1,348 laps in his career in Atlanta.
  • Both Busch and Harvick lead all active drivers with three Cup wins in Atlanta, and they’re just two of four drivers in the field with multiple victories in Hampton. Kurt’s brother, Kyle Busch, and Penske driver Brad Keselowski have two wins apiece.

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Long-shot bets to win the 2021 Quaker State 400?

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

KYLE LARSON (+225) is the chalk for Sunday’s race, and he is an overwhelming favorite. There is very little money to be made there. Let’s think outside the box a little, and play some drivers with longer odds for a much larger payday.

As mentioned above, KURT BUSCH (+3300) has won at Atlanta three times during his Cup career, and he knows this track just about as well as anyone. The driver of the No. 1 Ganassi Chevy has seven top-5 runs in his 30 career Cup starts while leading 804 laps. He has four DNFs, which is also tied for the most of all active drivers.

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ARIC ALMIROLA (+10000) has ridiculously long odds for a driver of his caliber, too. While this season hasn’t exactly gone according to plan for “The Cuban Missile”, he has two top-10 showings and 36 laps led in 11 career Cup starts in Atlanta while posting a 17.55 AFP.

He’s not a strong contender to pick up the checkered flag, but even just a $1 wager earns a $100 profit if he can somehow find a win.

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