The No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (13-1, 2-1 Big Ten) visit the No. 23 Ohio State Buckeyes (10-3, 2-0) for a Big Ten tussle Thursday. The opening tip at Value City Arena will be at 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. Ohio State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Purdue was undefeated before losing to Rutgers 65-64 Monday. The Boilermakers failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites, and that’s part of a long trend as they’re is 0-7-1 against the spread (ATS) since Nov. 30. A team with the 3rd-best defense in the Big Ten (60.9 points per game) has often been undone ATS by pedestrian shooting efforts on offense.
The Buckeyes have won 3 straight games and 5 of their last 6. Four of those recent 5 wins were at home, where Ohio State is 7-0 this season. The OSU defense has been sharp of late. The Buckeyes have yielded 59.0 PPG and are 3-0 ATS across their win streak.
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Purdue at Ohio State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Off the board (OTB)
- Against the spread (ATS): Purdue +1.5 (-110) | Ohio State -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Purdue at Ohio State picks and predictions
Prediction
Ohio State 73, Purdue 68
Moneyline
The moneyline is OTB at the time of publishing.
Against the spread
The Boilermakers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against winning teams, 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with winning marks on the road. Ohio State took 2 of 2 meetings with Purdue ATS last season.
Purdue was too far over its skis with recent pricing and has been a decent fade. Will that continue in a bounce-back effort in Columbus? The Boilermakers have shot under 40% in 3 of their last 5 games and they may become a regression candidate at some point.
In a tough road game against a Buckeye squad playing solid defense, look for Purdue to come up short. Ohio State has been hitting its triples of late, it takes care of the basketball and can rebound and defend, if not stride-for-stride with Purdue, at a very high level.
BACK THE BUCKEYES -1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Figure on a mid-to-slow-pace game. The Under is a sliver of a lean but nothing more. PASS.
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