Purdue at Ohio State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Purdue at Ohio State Buckeyes odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (13-1, 2-1 Big Ten) visit the No. 23 Ohio State Buckeyes (10-3, 2-0) for a Big Ten tussle Thursday. The opening tip at Value City Arena will be at 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. Ohio State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Purdue was undefeated before losing to Rutgers 65-64 Monday. The Boilermakers failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites, and that’s part of a long trend as they’re is 0-7-1 against the spread (ATS) since Nov. 30. A team with the 3rd-best defense in the Big Ten (60.9 points per game) has often been undone ATS by pedestrian shooting efforts on offense.

The Buckeyes have won 3 straight games and 5 of their last 6. Four of those recent 5 wins were at home, where Ohio State is 7-0 this season. The OSU defense has been sharp of late. The Buckeyes have yielded 59.0 PPG and are 3-0 ATS across their win streak.

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Purdue at Ohio State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Off the board (OTB)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Purdue +1.5 (-110) | Ohio State -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Purdue at Ohio State picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio State 73, Purdue 68

Moneyline

The moneyline is OTB at the time of publishing.

Against the spread

The Boilermakers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against winning teams, 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with winning marks on the road. Ohio State took 2 of 2 meetings with Purdue ATS last season.

Purdue was too far over its skis with recent pricing and has been a decent fade. Will that continue in a bounce-back effort in Columbus? The Boilermakers have shot under 40% in 3 of their last 5 games and they may become a regression candidate at some point.

In a tough road game against a Buckeye squad playing solid defense, look for Purdue to come up short. Ohio State has been hitting its triples of late, it takes care of the basketball and can rebound and defend, if not stride-for-stride with Purdue, at a very high level.

BACK THE BUCKEYES -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Figure on a mid-to-slow-pace game. The Under is a sliver of a lean but nothing more. PASS.

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Purdue at Ohio State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Purdue Boilermakers at Ohio State Buckeyes odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Purdue Boilermakers (6-3, 4-2 Big Ten) and No. 5 Ohio State Buckeyes (8-1, 6-0) tussle in a Saturday 12:30 p.m. ET game at Ohio Stadium in Columbus. Below, we look at the Purdue vs. Ohio State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Purdue upset then-No. 6 Michigan State 40-29 last week. The Boilermakers racked up 536 passing yards, marking the second-most passing yards MSU has ever allowed. For the season, Purdue ranks eighth in FBS, piling up 332.6 passing yards per contest. The Boilermakers are in search of their first win in Columbus since 1988.

The Buckeyes are coming off a 26-17 win at the Nebraska Cornhuskers. A normally efficient Ohio State offense (ranked second in the nation in total yards with 542.2 per game and second in points per game with 44.9 per contest) struggled to move the ball at times. The Bucks were held to just nine second-half points, and their 26 total points marked their lowest for a single game since January’s National Championship Game against Alabama (24 points).

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Purdue at Ohio State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Purdue +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Ohio State -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Purdue +20.5 (-108) | Ohio State -20.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 63.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Purdue at Ohio State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio State 45, Purdue 17

Money line

PASS on what is a wide berth for the house. Peg true odds as being lost in between these prices.

Against the spread

Purdue is a pass-first — and almost a pass-only — operation on offense. The Boilermakers have an elite playmaker in WR David Bell, who has 64 receptions for 1,003 yards this season. They are in some ways a Big Ten version of Tulsa, which gave Ohio State all kinds of trouble in Week 3 (within 7 points until the 3:07 mark of the fourth quarter).

The week-3 version of Buckeye Football was a lesser one on both sides of the ball. QB C.J. Stroud has gotten healthier and upped his performance, and the OSU defense has made wholesale changes in coaching, strategy and personnel. The Bucks have piled up 3.67 sacks per game (fourth FBS), and will be a different look for Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell.

A play on the home side here is leveraging the Buckeyes at a low point and the Boilermakers at a high point. TAKE OHIO STATE -20.5 (-112).

Over/Under

The weather for this one calls for a breezy 40-degree afternoon. Figure some OSU game control, with a decent dose of Buckeye running.

BACK THE UNDER 63.5 (-108), but the margin here is thin. Consider some partial-unit action.

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