Tag: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans odds predictions pick betting line spread

Purdue at Michigan State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Purdue at Michigan State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (16-1, 5-1 Big Ten) and Michigan State Spartans (15-5, 4-2) line up for a special Monday matinee at the Breslin Center in East Lansing. Tip-off is at 2:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Purdue has won 3 consecutive games straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) since losing to Rutgers 65-64 on Jan. 2. In the win streak Purdue is hittting 10.7 triples per game — and made the 3-pointers at a 41% clip. The percentage is a new trend for a team ranked 227th in the nation in 3-point accuracy (32.6%).

The Spartans are coming off a 75-66 loss at Illinois Friday night as 6.5-point underdogs. MSU was undone by an 0-for-7 performance from beyond the arc. In 10 games prior to Friday, the Spartans connected on 40.1% of its triples.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Purdue at Michigan State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Purdue -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Michigan State +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Purdue -3.5 (-115) | Michigan State +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Purdue at Michigan State picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 68, Michigan State 67

Moneyline

Rebounding at both ends will loom large in this game. Michigan State has been quite good — and improving of late — on the defensive glass. It’s coming off 1 of its best efforts in corralling offensive rebounds.

The Spartans have played a tougher schedule to date, and they’ve faced some top-notch offensive teams. The Boilermakers figure to have the advantage when piling up free throws in this game, but expect the Spartans to have the upper hand from beyond the arc, where prizes really add up.

Still, a PASS is recommended here. Michigan State is the lean, but we would want a +155 to account for expected odds near 40%.

Against the spread

The Boilermakers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight-up win. The Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight-up loss. In this series, the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. MSU took both games ATS from Purdue last season (straight up 1-1).

The way veteran Michigan State played Gonzaga (Nov. 11) and Alabama (Nov. 24) make for some optimism in this spot. (The latter was a loss but a game well-played in many respects by the Spartans.)

Look for Purdue to be tested down to the wire Monday afternoon.

BACK MICHIGAN STATE +3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

A slow pace is expected, but these are 2 efficient offenses and ones trending upward of late.

PASS on the current total, but this game is worth a line watch. Partial-unit action on the Over can be considered at 132 or better.

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Purdue at Michigan State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State Spartans sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Purdue Boilermakers (7-5 overall, 2-3 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (8-3, 2-3) Friday for a 7 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Purdue-Michigan State college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Purdue at Michigan State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Purdue +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Michigan State -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Purdue +4.5 (-110) | Michigan State -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 143.5. (O: -110 | U: -110)

Purdue at Michigan State: Three things to know

  1. Purdue visits East Lansing, Mich., on a two-game skid, most recently falling at then-No. 16 Illinois 66-58 Saturday – the game was a push as Purdue was an 8-point underdog. The Boilermakers led 42-39 with 13:50 to go before the Illini grabbed the lead for good one minute later at 43-42. A 39.3% field-goal percentage (22-for-56) did in Purdue, which received a team-high 14-points apiece from junior F Trevion Williams and freshman G Brandon Newman. Purdue was scheduled to host Nebraska Tuesday, but the game was postponed in a mutual agreement between the two programs due to health and safety concerns. Williams leads the Boilers with 14.1 points per game and 9.6 rebounds per game.
  2. Michigan State knocked off No. 14 Rutgers 68-45 as a 3-point home favorite Tuesday. Junior F Aaron Henry scored a game-high 20 points with 8 rebounds and 4 blocks as the Spartans won a second in a row after dropping three consecutive Big Ten games – a slide that saw the Spartans fall out of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll. Henry leads Michigan State in points (14.0 PPG), assists (3.8 APG) and steals (1.6 SPG), while junior F Joey Hauser is the top rebounder (8.5 RPG).
  3. The Boilermakers stunned the Spartans 71-42 as 4-point home underdogs last season (Jan. 12). Purdue held Michigan State to 35.3% shooting (18-for-51), including just 2-for-16 behind the 3-point arc. It was Purdue’s second win in a row in the head-to-head series, which is tied 5-5 in the last 10 meetings.

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Purdue at Michigan State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Michigan State 75, Purdue 68

Money line (ML)

The Spartans win this one, but I’ll PASS on the -200 ML price and focus on the spread below.

Against the spread (ATS)

MICHIGAN STATE -4.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Both teams have been terrible against the spread. Purdue is 3-7-2 ATS and Michigan State is 3-8 ATS.

The Spartans, who are coming off impressive back-to-back victories, get the nod here, especially with the contest on their home floor.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. The O/U of 142.5 is right where my projection is. Purdue averages 71.6 PPG and Michigan State is scoring at a 78.0 PPG clip. Defensively, the Boilermakers have a slight edge, yielding 67.3 PPG compared to the Spartans’ 72.8 PPG. Backing either the Over or the Under would just be a flip of a coin, which offers no advantage here.

O/U records: Purdue 7-5 | Michigan State 6-5

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Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays 22-20 / 8-12
CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays 7-3 / 3-2
2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 15-8 / 8-4
2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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