Tag: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini odds predictions pick betting line spread

Purdue at Illinois odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Purdue at Illinois odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Purdue Boilermakers (1-4, 0-2 Big Ten) take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (4-1, 1-1) at Memorial Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Purdue vs. Illinois odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Outside of a 49-0 trouncing of the Indiana State Sycamores to open the season, Purdue has been bullied. Notre Dame (66-7), Oregon State (38-21), Nebraska (28-10) and Wisconsin (52-6) made Boilermakers fans wish they never left the pre-game tailgating activities. Purdue had 117 passing yards and 99 rushing yards in a touchdown-less loss to Wisconsin last time out.

Illinois, No. 23 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, fell 21-7 at Penn State 2 weeks ago before the bye. They covered as 19-point dogs in the affair and are 4-0-1 ATS on the year. QB Luke Altmyer was 16-for-25 for 185 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT against PSU. He also had the dubious line of 15 rushes for -28 yards. How do you accomplish that with a long rush of 13 yards? He looked great before that, though, with 10 TDs and 1 INT overall.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Purdue at Illinois odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at Friday at 5:39 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Purdue +1000 (bet $100 to win $1000) | Illinois -2000 (bet $2000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Purdue +22.5 (-110) | Illinois -22.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Purdue at Illinois picks and predictions

Prediction

Illinois 34, Purdue 10

Moneyline

There is absolutely nothing to see here. The Illini should roll, but no thanks to the -2000.

PASS.

Against the spread

Purdue is now the biggest underdogs it has been all season after combining to score 16 points the last 2 weeks. The Boilers have won 4 straight in this matchup, but they are clearly inferior talent-wise this season. U of I is an up-and-comer, and they’re coming. Take ILLINOIS -22.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Illinois is 1-4 O/U this season and has averaged 22.8 points per game over their last 4 games. Purdue is 3-2 O/U despite scoring 10 or fewer points in 3 of 4 games. I expect the Illini to establish a big lead and work the clock on the ground. They have big games coming up against Michigan and Oregon, and I don’t expect the pedal to be pressed to the metal.

Give me the UNDER 48.5 (-115).

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Purdue at Illinois odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Purdue at Illinois odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 3rd-ranked Purdue Boilermakers (26-3, 15-3 Big Ten) are in Champaign to take on the No. 12 Illinois Fighting Illini (22-7, 13-5) Tuesday night. Tip-off from State Farm Center is set for 7 p.m. ET (Peacock). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. Illinois odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

It’s Senior Night for Illinois, and both the Illini and Boilermakers will be putting their respective 3-game winning streaks on the line in this Big Ten showdown. Illini F Marcus Domask poured in 31 points, knocking down a season-high four 3-pointers in the 91-83 victory over Wisconsin this past Saturday.

Purdue defeated Michigan State 80-74 at home Saturday, and C Zach Edey led the way for the Boilermakers with 32 points and 11 rebounds.

This is the 2nd matchup of the season between these schools. Purdue won 83-78 in West Lafayette in the Jan. 5 contest, although it failed to cash as a 10.5-point favorite. Edey dealt with foul trouble and his 10 points was the fewest that the senior has scored in a Big Ten game this season.

Illinois has played 9 straight games to the Over, while Purdue has played to the Over in 4 of its last 5.

Despite winning 4 of their last 5, the Boilermakers have covered the spread just once in that span, cashing as a 14.5-point home favorite in a 96-68 win vs. Rutgers Feb. 22.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Purdue at Illinois odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Purdue +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | Illinois -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Purdue +1.5 (-104) | Illinois -1.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Purdue at Illinois picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 84, Illinois 81

Moneyline

BET PURDUE (+104).

The Boilermakers have won 4 straight in this series, and Edey has scored 67 points combined in his last 2 games. Illinois is an outstanding offensive team, but it does not have the size to keep the NCAA’s reigning national player of the year in check.

Against the spread

BACK PURDUE +1.5 (-104).

G Braden Smith tied season highs with four 3-pointers made and 9 rebounds in the win over Michigan State Saturday. Smith was a perfect 4-of-4 from distance, and G Fletcher Loyer connected on 4 of 6 from 3. G Lance Jones is coming off a dismal performance in that game — 1 point on 0-of-6 from the field — but he led all Purdue guards in the last meeting with Illinois, scoring 17 points on a perfect 7-of-7 from the free-throw line. The combination of these talented guards alongside Edey in the starting lineup is getting points, and I will take them.

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Over/Under

PASS.

My lean would be to the Over, as this matchup features the top 2 scorers in the conference in Edey (24 points per game) and Illinois G Terrence Shannon Jr. (22). However, these schools commit the fewest fouls in the conference; Purdue is 1st with 14 per game and Illinois is 2nd with 15.3. A cleaner game means fewer free throws attempted, which could potentially lead to the game going Under.

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Purdue at Illinois odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Purdue at Illinois odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Purdue Boilermakers (5-4, 3-3 Big Ten) and No. 20 Illinois Fighting Illini (7-2, 4-2) meet for a key Big Ten West battle Saturday in Champaign. Kickoff at Memorial Stadium is slated for noon ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Purdue vs. Illinois odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Purdue sits a game behind Illinois, along with 3 other Big Ten West teams (Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin) heading into this mid-November tussle. And the Boilermakers have lost to 2 of those squads (Iowa, Wisconsin) in their last 2 games. Purdue, a 3.5-point favorite at home, was trounced 24-3 by Iowa last Saturday.

Illinois, which is No. 21 in the College Football Playoff rankings, had a 6-game winning streak snapped by Michigan State last week. The Illini lost at home as 16.5-point favorites 23-15 despite outgaining the Spartans 441 yards to 294.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Purdue at Illinois odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Purdue +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Illinois -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Purdue +6.5 (-107) | Illinois -6.5 (-113)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -109 | U: -111)

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Purdue at Illinois picks and predictions

Prediction

Illinois 27, Purdue 17

Moneyline

Illinois had been really good in Memorial Stadium games until running into a Michigan State team that came up big on the defensive end of power-running situations. UI still outgained MSU by a hefty chunk and has outgained every visitor by at least 94 total yards in games at home.

Purdue is also solid against the run, but look for Illinois to have more in the toolbox for this week.

Peg the prices here as bracketing a -250 profit point for Illinois. PASS.

Against the spread

Illinois did not cover last week, and it did not cover in a weird 9-6 softball game against Iowa — which plays an outlier style — on Oct. 8. Aside from those 2 games, Illinois is 5-0 ATS since Sept. 10. And all 5 wins were by margins of 9 points or more.

Purdue wants to throw the ball (297 passing yards per game, 16th FBS). The Illini defense (152.6 passing yards allowed per game, 2nd FBS) and the weather (30s, breezy, chance of precipitation) stand in the Boilermakers’ way.

Look for more quality drives out of Illinois and a key red-zone stop or 2 for the UI defense. BACK THE ILLINI -6.5 (-113).

Over/Under

The Under is a slight lean, even after some drop in the number from earlier in the week. But the lean is not actionable. PASS.

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Purdue at Illinois odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting Illini sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Purdue Boilermakers (7-4 overall, 2-2 Big Ten) visit the Illinois Fighting Illini (7-3, 3-1) Saturday for a 6 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Purdue-Illinois college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Fighting Illini are No. 16 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll.

Purdue at Illinois: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Purdue +333 (bet $100 to win $333) | Illinois -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Purdue +8.5 (-110) | Illinois -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 151.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Purdue at Illinois: Three things to know

  1. Purdue is coming off an 81-76 loss at No. 13 Rutgers as a 1.5-point underdog Tuesday. Junior F Trevion Williams led the Boilermakers with 21 points and a game-high 12 rebounds in the loss. Despite outscoring the Scarlet Knights 42-28 in the paint and winning the rebound battle 33-31, the Boilers suffered a second conference road loss in as many tries. Williams leads Purdue with 14.1 points per game and 9.7 rebounds per game, while junior G’s Eric Hunter Jr. and Sasha Stefanovic average 12.3 PPG and 11.5 PPG, respectively.
  2. Illinois, which also lost at Rutgers this season (Dec. 20), has reeled off back-to-back victories, most recently dumping visiting Indiana 69-60 Dec. 26. Junior G Ayo Dosunmu, who scored a game-high 30 points vs. the Hoosiers, leads the Illini with 24.1 PPG and averages 7.2 rebounds and a team-best 5.2 assists per game. Sophomore C Kofi Cockburn chips in 17.2 PPG and a team-high 9.9 RPG. The Illini have won their last eight at home dating back to last season.
  3. The Illini swept the Boilermakers last season to snap a 4-game skid in the series. Illinois won 79-72 as a 6-point dog at Purdue Jan. 21. That was just 16 days after the Illini shut down the Boilers 63-37 as 1.5-point home favorites.

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Purdue at Illinois: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Illinois 72, Purdue 68

Money line (ML)

PASS. The Illini’s -450 price is too expensive and just not smart sports wagering.

Against the spread (ATS)

PURDUE +8.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Boilers haven’t forgotten their two losses to the Illini last January, including the dismal 37-point showing in Champaign. Head coach Matt Painter will have his squad ready to give the Illini all they can ask for.

ATS records: Purdue 3-7-1 | Illinois 6-4

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 149.5 is the way to go. Following the Rutgers loss, Painter has emphasized Purdue’s defense has to improve. Look for the Boilers to step it up a notch in attempting to slow down the Illini’s 87.3 PPG average. This should look more like Illinois’ 69-60 win vs. Indiana, but a bit closer.

O/U records: Purdue 7-4 | Illinois 8-2

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Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays 15-17 / 5-10
2019-20 CBK record / Strongest plays 5-3 / 5-0
2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 6-1 / 3-0
2020 overall record (all sports)/Strongest plays 178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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