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PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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PSG welcomes Borussia Dortmund to Parc des Princes for the 2nd leg of its UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup Tuesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Dortmund won the 1st leg at home 1-0, ending with 42% possession, 13 shots, and 4 shots on frame. PSG ended with 14 shots and 3 shots on frame. F Niclas Fullkrug scored the lone goal in the 36th minute.

Dortmund beat Atletico Madrid a combined 5-4 in the quarterfinals and PSV a combined 3-1 in the round of 16. Dortmund and PSG played in the group stage with PSG winning 2-0 in France and a 1-1 draw being the result in Germany.

PSG, which sits atop Ligue 1, beat Barcelona a combined 6-4 in the quarterfinals and Real Sociedad a combined 4-1 in the round of 16. PSG went 2-2-2 in the group stage. It is led by F Kylian Mbappe, who has tallied 8 goals in 11 Champions League matches.

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PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | PSG -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Draw +370
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +122 | U: -148)

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PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund picks and predictions

Prediction

PSG 1, Borussia Dortmund 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+370).

PSG to win outright has no value, and it is unlikely that Dortmund pulls off the upset. PSG has not played that well at home. It lost 3-2 to Barcelona at home in the quarterfinals, ending with 0.7 fewer expected goals.

While beating Real Sociedad 2-0 in the round of 16, PSG ended with only 0.5 more expected goals. Dortmund beat both AC Milan and Newcastle United on the road in the group stage.

Considering how it defended against PSG in the 1st leg, the best play here is DRAW (+370).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 3.5 (-148).

While the 1st leg had a plethora of scoring opportunities, there was just 1 converted. Dortmund has scored more than 2 goals in just 2 of 11 Champions League games, and it has scored 1 or fewer in 7 of those.

PSG has topped 2 in just 2 of 11 games as well and has had fewer than 1.5 expected goals in 6 of 11. It has allowed just 7 goals in 5 games following the group stage.

Both teams have defenses that are playing well enough to bring value to the Under, and this is a lofty total considering the playmakers taking the pitch. With that in mind, back UNDER 3.5 (-148).

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Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Borussia Dortmund welcomes PSG to Signal Iduna Park Wednesday for the 1st leg of their UEFA Champions League semifinal. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

PSG sits 12 points ahead of AS Monaco in Ligue 1 play — the top league in France. PSG beat Barcelona 4-1 on the road in the 2nd leg of its quarterfinal matchup April 16, and won 6-4 on aggregate. PSG beat Real Sociedad a combined 4-1 through 2 legs of the Round of 16 following a disappointing 2-2-2 group-stage effort. It finished 2nd in a group led by Dortmund, so these teams are familiar with each other.

Dortmund was 3-2-1 in the group stage, ending with 7 goals for and 4 against. It beat Atletico Madrid a combined 5-4, winning 4-2 at home in the 2nd leg April 16. Dortmund beat PSV 3-1 in the Round of 16. Dortmund has had a disappointing season in league play, sitting 5th in the Bundesliga despite a +20 goal differential. F Niclas Fullkrug, who has 12 goals and 8 asssists in 28 league matches, is Dortmund’s top attacking threat.

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Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | PSG +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Draw +260
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +126 | U: -154)

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Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG picks and predictions

Prediction

PSG 2, Borussia Dortmund 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET PSG (+145).

In 2 group-stage matches against Dortmund, Paris Saint-Germain won 2-0 at home (Sept. 19, 2023) and drew 1-1 on the road (Dec. 13, 2023).

Dortmund ended with 1.4 fewer expected goals at home and 1.7 fewer on the road. Dortmund has had as many or fewer expected goals in all 4 games following the group stage. It has gotten the results but hasn’t played like an elite side, and PSG should be able to expose that.

PSG is coming off an impressive 4-1 road win over Barcelona, which sits 2nd in La Liga. PSG has the firepower in F Kylian Mbappe (26 goals, 7 assists in 28 matches) to get the job done and has proven it can win big games on the road.

BACK PSG (+145).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 3.5 (-154).

While both teams netted 4 goals in their last respective Champions League match, neither has consistently scored throughout the league this season. Dortmund tallied 7 goals in 6 group-stage matches and then 4 goals in its first 3 games following. It has only scored 2 or more in 4 of 10 games.

PSG has gone Under this total in 6 of its last 8 Champions League matches, having tallied more than 2 in just 2 of 10 matches. It has allowed fewer than 1.5 expected goals in every Champions League match this season.

Expect fewer goals, especially given how familiar the teams are with each other and how the 2 group-stage games were played. TAKE UNDER 3.5 (-154).

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Barcelona vs. PSG odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Barcelona vs. PSG odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Barcelona welcomes PSG to Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys for the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal battle. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Barcelona vs. PSG odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Barcelona won the 1st leg 3-2 at PSG  as F Raphinha led the way with 2 goals. PSG did end with 3 more shots and 59% of the possession, but still will face an uphill battle Tuesday.

PSG did not play over the weekend and sits atop the Ligue 1, the top French league. It is 18-9-1 in league play and has a +41 goal differential. PSG beat Real Sociedad a combined 4-1 in the Round of 16 after finishing 2nd in Group F.

Barcelona finished atop Group H, going 4-2 in the group stage. It sits 2nd in the La Liga with a 21-7-3 record and owns a +28 goal differential. Barcelona beat Napoli 4-2 on aggregate in the Round of 16. They are led by F Robert Lewandowski, who has 13 goals in league play.

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Barcelona vs. PSG odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:39 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Barcelona +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | PSG +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Draw +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +114 | U: -138)

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Barcelona vs. PSG picks and predictions

Prediction

Barcelona 2, PSG 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET BARCELONA (+115).

Barcelona has been on fire as of late, winning 6 in a row throughout all competitions. They have a few quality wins mixed in there, taking down Atletico Madrid, another team in the Champions League, on the road 3-0. Barcelona won every group stage game at home, totaling 9 goals and allowing 2. They took down Napoli 3-1 at home as well.

PSG is a quality side, but they don’t have the same level of competition in France and struggled in the group stage, losing 2 and drawing 2. While they did have more shots in the 1st leg, they also had fewer shots on frame, struggling to convert chances. PSG lost 2 of 3 group stage road games.

Put it all together and take BARCELONA (+115).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 3.5 (-138).

PSG has played 9 group stage games this season and has gone Under this total in 7 of them. They have 1.5 or fewer expected goals in 6 of the 9 as well, while allowing under 2.0 expected goals in all 9.

Barcelona has an electric offense, but they have also had over 2.0 expected goals in just 3 of 9 games, many of which were against backlines weaker than PSG’s. They allowed north of 1.3 expected goals in just 1 of the 9 games as well.

Both teams should perform better defensively. Take UNDER 3.5 (-138).

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UEFA Champions League: PSG vs. Barcelona odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s PSG vs. Barcelona odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predcitions and best bets.

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PSG welcome Barcelona for the 1st of 2 legs in the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal. Kickoff from Parc des Princes is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the PSG vs. Barcelona odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

PSG, who have also made it to the final in the French Cup and sit atop Ligue 1 by 10 points, beat Real Sociedad in the Round of 16. They won the 2 legs a combined 4-1. PSG finished 2nd in Group F, tallying 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses with a +1 goal differential. They are led by F Kylian Mbappe, who has totaled 24 goals in 26 Ligue 1 matches.

Barcelona beat Napoli 3-1 at home and drew 1-1 on the road in their 2 legs of the Round of 16. They have won 3 straight La Liga games and sit 2nd in the top Spanish league, 8 points shy of Real Madrid. Barcelona finished atop Group H, totaling 4 wins and 2 losses while posting a +6 goal differential. Barcelona’s top offensive option is F Robert Lewandowski, who has 13 goals and 8 assists in 28 league matches.

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PSG vs. Barcelona odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: PSG -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Barcelona +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Draw +270
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -146 | U: +122)

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PSG vs. Barcelona picks and predictions

Prediction

PSG 3, Barcelona 2

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN PSG (-105).

PSG won both at home and on the road against Real Sociedad in the Round of 16, having at least 0.5 more expected goals in both matches. They have won 4 of their last 5 games throughout all competitions and 10 of their last 14. PSG are also far younger and should be more energized late in the season. Their top 7 players in terms of minutes are all under 29 years old.

Barcelona have yet to lose on the road in league play but have drawn 6 of 14 away matches. They have lost 3 of their last 16 matches and had fewer expected goals in their lone Round of 16 road match. At this value, take the home side, and back PSG (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (-146).

The offenses are just too potent to bet against here. Barcelona have tallied at least 3 goals in 2 of their last 3 games and in 3 of their last 6. They have had at least 1.5 expected goals in 4 straight games. Barcelona went over this total in 4 of 6 group stage games and in 1 of 2 Round of 16 games.

PSG are averaging 2.25 goals per game in league play and tallied 4 in the 2 games against Real Sociedad. They have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 games. In 3 of their last 4 league games, PSG have also allowed at least 1.4 expected goals.

Considering those trends and the starpower that will be on display, back OVER 2.5 (-146).

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Newcastle United vs. PSG odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Newcastle United vs. PSG odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predcitions and best bets.

Newcastle United (0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) welcomes PSG (1-0-0) to St. James’ Park Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. PSG odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

In the group of death, Newcastle drew AC Milan 0-0 in the 1st matchday while PSG beat Borussia Dortmund 2-0.

Newcastle sits 8th in the EPL, the top English league, and is 3-0-1 at home this season. It is averaging 2.57 goals per game while allowing 1.00 per game. Newcastle is led offensively by F Alexander Isak and F Callum Wilson, both of whom have 4 league goals. Newcastle ended its match against Milan with 1.6 fewer expected goals.

PSG sits 5th in Ligue 1, the top French league. It is 1-2-0 on the road this season. PSG’s strength is in its defense, allowing just 6 goals through 7 matches. Offensively, it is averaging 2 goals per game and is spearheaded by superstar F Kylian Mbappe, who has 7 goals in 6 matches. PSG had 1.7 more expected goals in its 1st Champions League match against Dortmund.

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Newcastle United vs. PSG odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Newcastle United +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | PSG +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Draw +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -160 | U: +115)

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Newcastle United vs. PSG picks and predictions

Prediction

Newcastle United 1, PSG 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+260).

Newcastle has lost 3 matches in EPL play this season. Two of them were on the road to Man City and Brighton and the other was at home 2-1 to Liverpool in which Newcastle had 1.1 more expected goals. It has had 0.9 or more expected goals than its opponent in all 4 home league matches. It has the talent to hang with PSG.

PSG beat Borussia 2-0 which is impressive, but it hasn’t been overly stunning otherwise. PSG is 1-2-0 on the road this season. It has the high-end talent in D Achraf Hakimi, F Ousmane Dembele and Mbappe, but the consistency hasn’t been there. Expect them to let Newcastle hang around in this match.

Back DRAW (+260) given each team’s trends in this situation.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (+115).

Both teams have dynamic offenses yet somehow managed to go Under this in their 1st match. Newcastle’s match didn’t have a single goal, and PSG won 2-0, not allowing many opportunities.

Both teams do not allow more than a goal per game in league play, and the unfamiliar competition mixed with the quality defenses should make this a more slow-paced, methodical game. Take UNDER 2.5 (+115).

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PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds and lines, with Champions League expert picks, predictions and best bets.

PSG welcomes Borussia Dortmund to Parc des Princes Tuesday. Kickoff in the 1st Group F match for both clubs is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

PSG is off to a 2-2-1 start (2 draws) through 5 matches in Ligue 1, the top French league. It has scored 10 goals and allowed 6 in the 5 matches and has gone 2-0-1 at home. The PSG offense has been a 1-man show as F Kylian Mbappe, who had offers to leave the club this offseason, has 7 of the team’s 10 goals. PSG lost 0-3 aggregate to Bayern Munich after advancing past the Champions Leagues group stage last season.

Borussia Dortmund is 2-2-0 through 4 matches and sits 7th in the Bundesliga, the top German league. It has scored 8 goals and allowed 5 in the 4 matches. They are led by 24-year-old Netherlands F Donnell Males, who has 3 goals in 4 matches. Dortmund, which is 1-1-0 on the road this season,  also advanced out of the group stage last season but lost 1-2 aggregate to Chelsea in the Round of 16.

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PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: PSG -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Borussia Dortmund +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Draw +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)

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PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund picks and predictions

Prediction

PSG 2, Borussia Dortmund 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET PSG (-130).

Dortmund struggled on the road in the Champions League last season. They lost 2-0 in the Round of 16 to Chelsea and 2-1 to Manchester City, the best team in their group stage draw. Dortmund hasn’t played a team of PSG’s caliber yet, having yet to take on Bayern Munich or even Union Berlin.

While PSG has struggled, Mbappe should be active and has ample Champions League experience. PSG has had 2 or more expected goals in 2 of 5 matches and more expected goals than its opponent in 4 of 5 matches. It doesn’t have the results to show for it, but the high-end talent is there. Expect PSG to come out on top at home.

At this value, back PSG (-130).

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 3.5 (-160).

Dortmund has gone Over this total in 2 of 4 league matches. PSG has gone Over it in 3 of 5. However, this will be the best defense either side has faced so far this season, and without the 2 sides having much experience against each other, the different styles could cause the defense to have more success.

PSG went Under this total in 6 of 8 Champions League games last season. Dortmund went Under it in 7 of 8. The value isn’t great, but it is the far safer side. Take UNDER 3.5 (-160).

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PSG vs. Monaco odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s PSG vs. Monaco odds and lines, with Ligue 1 picks and predictions.

On Sunday, Monaco (7 wins, 5 losses, 5 draws) travels to Parc des Princes to take on PSG (13-1-3). Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the PSG vs. Monaco odds and lines, and make our best Ligue 1 bets, picks and predictions.

PSG is still expected to reign supreme over Ligue 1 despite losing F Neymar for the foreseeable future.

The Parisians are 11 points higher than second-place Rennes. Led by forwards Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe, PSG is coming off a 4-1 Champions League victory Tuesday over Bruges. They have drawn their last two Ligue 1 matches against Lens and Nice.

Monaco has scored 27 goals and allowed 20 in 17 matches so far this season, good for 8th place on the table. The Monégasques haven’t lost since a 2-1 defeat Oct. 31 by the hand of Brest.

PSG vs. Monaco: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: PSG -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Monaco +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Draw +390
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -150)

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Prediction

PSG 3, Monaco 1

Money line (ML)

PASS on the money line. PSG has drawn two straight and the -210 line doesn’t feel like good enough odds even though it’s at home and facing an inferior opponent.

I would consider the BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE? YES (-160). PSG’s hasn’t quite been as dominant defensively as many would expect.

The Red-and-Blues have allowed about a goal per game. PSG is topping two goals of its own per game on average, so that isn’t much of a worry to the outcome, but Monaco has scored 27 in 17 games and should be able to get one here.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET on the OVER 3.5 (+120) as both teams are dynamic offensively and susceptible defensively. Each side has allowed around a goal per game but they’ve scored over three on average combined.

PSG should be able to net several in this one with all of the talent on its side and is coming off a four-goal showing in midweek Champions League play.

Monaco has scored the sixth-most goals in the league, so the attack for both teams is lethal.

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