Providence at Villanova odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Providence at Villanova odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 21 Providence Friars (16-5, 8-2 Big East) will travel to take on the Villanova Wildcats (10-10, 4-5) Sunday at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia at 12 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Providence vs. Villanova odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

After losing 83-75 at Marquette on Jan. 18, Providence has won 2 straight games at home against 2 of the worst teams in the Big East. They beat DePaul 75-64, failing to cover as 13.5-point favorites, and then routed Butler 79-58, covering a 10-point spread.

Villanova comes into this game on its own 2-game winning streak with a 77-73 win over Georgetown (+13.5) followed by a 57-49 win over St. John’s as 4.5-point underdogs at Madison Square Garden.

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Providence at Villanova odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Providence -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Villanova +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Providence -1.5 (-110) | Villanova +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Providence at Villanova picks and predictions

Prediction

Providence 67, Villanova 60

Moneyline

PASS.

Both teams come in on 2-game winning streaks, but only 1 has shown the ability to keep the trend going. Providence is having a solid season, while Villanova needs this game to get over .500. The Friars will take down the Wildcats in this game and I do not see an upset happening for the home team. But the spread is a better value.

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Against the spread

PROVIDENCE -1.5 (-110) is the side to wager.

This is a weird line. And I might be getting sucked in. But Providence should be bigger favorites then this. Even on the road.

The Friars and Wildcats have yet to play yet this season, so it will be good to see how these teams match up. My feeling is that the Friars will use the better offense and the better defense to pull away at the end of this game. It will be close for a while. But in the end, Providence will win by 4 or 5.

Providence will use its No. 37 offense (78.8 points per game) to outscore a Villanova squad that is 201st in the nation ( 70.7 PPG).

Over/Under

UNDER 138.5 (-110) is the total play here.

The Villanova offense is struggling and will be unable to get anything going  against the Providence defense. This game will remain close throughout and Providence will also not find baskets easily gotten. Another physical Big East game is in store here and I do not see either team getting out of the 60’s. So, the Under 138.5 is the correct side.

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Providence at Villanova odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Providence at Villanova odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets in a Big East battle.

The No. 8 Providence Friars (24-3, 14-2 Big East) visit the Pavilion Tuesday to take on the No. 11 Villanova Wildcats (21-7, 14-4). Tip is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we look at the Providence vs. Villanova odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Providence is coming off a huge 21-point win (72-51) over Creighton Saturday. The Friars have won 3 straight games since losing at home to Villanova 89-84 Feb. 15. They’ve only lost to Virginia, ‘Nova and Marquette.

Providence is 16-11 against the spread (ATS), 3-2 ATS against ranked opponents and is a conference-best 6-2 ATS on the road.

Villanova is 7-5 ATS at home, only behind DePaul (12-5) in the Big East. The Wildcats are 14-13-1 ATS overall and 6-4-1 ATS against ranked opponents.

They are led by fifth-year senior G Collin Gillespie’s 16.6 points per game this season.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Providence at Villanova odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Providence +380 (bet $100 to win $380) | Villanova -540 (bet $100 to win $540)
  • Against the spread: Providence +9.5 (-105) | Villanova -9.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Providence at Villanova odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Villanova 68, Providence 64

Money line

PASS.

At +380, Providence has good value. The Friars are 7-1 straight up on the road, but having been inconsistent offensively at times this season, I can’t fully get behind them.

Taking the points below has value though.

Against the spread

BET PROVIDENCE +9.5 (-105).

The Friars have gotten quite a bit of flak this season for winning close games and not putting it on weaker opponents, but they have a mere three losses. As mentioned, one of the losses was to the Wildcats by just 5 points.

The three times the Friars were underdogs by 5 or more points this season, they not only covered, but they went 3-0 straight up (SU). Those 3 times were at UConn, at Xavier and at Wisconsin. Providence is 5-0 SU/ATS as a road underdog.

In the season’s first meeting between these rivals, ‘Nova shot 50.9% from the field and 47.8% from deep (11-for-23), while Providence shot 48.4% and 21.7% from deep (5-for-23). If those averages return to normal, Providence wins the game.

The Friars have shown few weaknesses and have been able to hang with close teams. I’d take them to cover in this position.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 134.5 (-107).

Villanova made it rain the first time these teams met. Assuming that doesn’t happen again, there should be fewer points as both teams rank outside the top 200 in possessions per game.

Villanova sits 334th out of 358 programs in possessions per game. Basically, the Wildcats play an ultra-slow pace. The Friars don’t pick up the pace much either, ranking just 224th.

Villanova averages 66.4 possessions per game, while Providence averages 69.4. The Wildcats defense ranks 61st in opponents’ field-goal percentage, while the Friars rank 49th.

The ‘Cats are 14-14 O/U this season; the Friars are 14-13 O/U.

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