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Big East Tournament: Providence vs. Marquette odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Providence vs. Marquette odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Providence Friars (21-12) take on the No. 10 Marquette Golden Eagles (24-8) Friday. Tip-off from Madison Square Garden is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Providence vs. Marquette odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Friars advanced to the semifinal round of the Big East Tournament by upsetting No. 8 Creighton 78-73 Thursday night. G Devin Carter recorded a double-double with 22 points, including 9-of-9 from the free-throw line, and 11 rebounds. The junior leads the conference in points per game (19.5) and was recently named Big East Player of the Year.

The Golden Eagles needed overtime to defeat Villanova 78-73 at MSG Thursday, covering as 4-point favorites. G Kam Jones paced Marquette with 18 points. G Tyler Kolek, who leads the nation in assists averaging 7.6 per game, missed Marquette’s tournament opener, as he continues to recover from an oblique injury.

This is the 3rd meeting between these schools this season. Providence was victorious 72-57 at home Dec. 19, cashing outright as a 4-point underdog. The Golden Eagles exacted revenge with a cover as 11.5-point favorites in a 91-69 win at home Feb. 28, although this was the game where Kolek sustained his injury.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Providence vs. Marquette odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Providence +164 (bet $100 to win $164) | Marquette -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Providence +4.5 (-110) | Marquette -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Providence vs. Marquette picks and predictions

Prediction

Marquette 78, Providence 74

Moneyline

BET MARQUETTE (-200) IN A ML PARLAY.

Golden Eagles coach Shaka Smart has big game experience, plus he certainly has a skillset for drawing up inbounds plays — even if they don’t count. Pairing MARQUETTE (-200) with ARIZONA (-670) vs. Oregon in a 2-leg moneyline parlay at -138 is much more feasible than laying 2 dollars in a solo bet.

Against the spread

BET PROVIDENCE +4.5 (-110).

Providence coach Kim English petitioned for his team to be in consideration for the NCAA Tournament after the Creighton win, asserting that it did not have a bad loss.

While it did fall to Marquette by 22 in the last meeting, the Friars’ worst Big East loss was against Xavier more than 2 months ago, and their only out-of-conference defeats came against No. 19 Oklahoma and Kansas State before the New Year.

This team has grown up and competed against big-time opponents since then, so expect Providence to hang tough until the final minute or so.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 139.5 (-110).

An 11-5 turnover advantage was 1 of the big reasons Marquette was able to outlast Villanova in the quarterfinals. Only Depaul (13.6) and Seton Hall (12.8) averaged more turnovers per game than Providence (12.2), so expect the Golden Eagles to be able to get a good number of points in transition. Plus, 3 of the last 4 meetings dating back to Dec. 2022 have gone over the total.

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UConn at Providence odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UConn at Providence odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Providence Friars (19-11, 10-9 Big East) welcome the No. 2 UConn Huskies (27-3, 17-2) to Amica Mutual Pavilion Saturday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UConn vs. Providence odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

UConn is No. 2 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Huskies beat the No. 9 Marquette Golden Eagles 74-67 Wednesday, covering as 5-point road favorites. UConn has won 3 straight games and has lost just once since Dec. 20, 2023. The Huskies have covered in 6 of their last 7 games and are 19-11 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

Providence beat the Georgetown Hoyas 71-58 Tuesday, covering as an 8-point road favorite. The Friars have covered in just 2 of their last 3 games and have won 4 of their last 6. They are 17-12-1 ATS on the season. Providence is led by G Devin Carter, who is averaging 19.2 points per game.

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UConn at Providence odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UConn -520 (bet $520 to win $100) | Providence +385 (bet $100 to win $385)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UConn -9.5 (-114) | Providence +9.5 (-106)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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UConn at Providence picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 74, Providence 68

Moneyline

PASS.

UConn (-520) has just 1 loss to an unranked team, and there’s not much reason to think it’ll make that 2 on Saturday. However, at -520, avoid betting on the favored road team.

Against the spread

BET PROVIDENCE +9.5 (-106).

The Huskies are coming off a high-energy road win over Marquette in which they barely covered. They are 2-2 ATS in their last 4 road games as single-digit favorites.

The Friars have covered in 5 of their last 8 games and took down the No. 10 Creighton Bluejays at home Feb. 7 — so they can compete on their home court. Providence is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 home games when closing as an underdog or a single-digit favorite.

Back PROVIDENCE +9.5 (-106).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 139.5 (-110).

UConn has gone Over in 4 of its last 7 games and has tallied at least 74 points in 3 straight and at least 78 in 3 of its last 5. The Huskies have the nation’s 3rd-best offense, per KenPom.

Providence has gone Over in 2 of its last 5 but has scored at least 70 in 6 of its last 8 games. The Friars have 3 players averaging 15 or more points per game, so they have the firepower to help keep pace with UConn.

Back OVER 139.5 (-110).

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March Madness: Providence vs. Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Providence vs. Kentucky odds and lines, with expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 11th-seeded Providence Friars (21-11) take on the 6-seed Kentucky Wildcats (21-11) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in Greensboro, N.C., Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Providence vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Providence is led by Kentucky transfer F Bryce Hopkins, who averages 16.1 points, 8.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. Hopkins has lifted a Friars team which lost 3 of its top 5 scorers off last season’s team.

Kentucky finished 4th in SEC this season behind Oscar Tshiebwe, who  patrols the center for the Wildcats and averaged 16.5 points and 13.1 rebounds per game.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Providence vs. Kentucky odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Providence +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Kentucky -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Providence +3.5 (-105) | Kentucky -3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Providence vs. Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 70, Providence 64

Moneyline

PASS.

Providence has played some good basketball this season, but its talent level is not up to that of Kentucky’s. Even a disappointing Kentucky.

Reigning player of the year Tshiebwe still controls the middle of the floor for Kentucky and Providence will have no one with the ability to shut him down.

If the Friars can score, this game could be close. But Kentucky is the better team and wagering anyone -180 is not worth the risk straight up. Although it might make a fine addition to a parlay.

Against the spread

KENTUCKY -3.5 (-115).

Hopkins has been key to the Providence rejuvenation this season. But the former Kentucky player will find difficult times going against his former team. With Kentucky’s ability to shut him down, Providence will not have other stars to count on and this will limit the production it can manage.

Tshiebwe will dominate and allow Kentucky to get out on fast breaks with his rebounding on the defensive boards. The 3.5 points is not enough and I do not see this being a potential upset. Kentucky -3.5 is the way to go.

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Over/Under

UNDER 145.5 (-105).

With Kentucky’s ability to control the paint and the rebounding, Providence will find 2nd-chance points difficult. This will limit the amount of offense it is able to put up and also limit the amount Kentucky, which has struggled a bit, will also need to put up to win.

While one of these teams could get to 70, I do not see both getting there and this game should comfortably go Under the 144.5 total.

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Big East Tournament: Providence vs. UConn odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Providence vs. UConn odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Providence Friars (21-10) battle the No. 14 UConn Huskies (24-7) on Thursday in the quarterfinal round of the Big East Tournament. Tip from Madison Square Garden is set for 2:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Providence vs. UConn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Providence, seeded 5th in the tournament, was trampled in its final regular-season game 82-58 by Seton Hall on Saturday while failing to cover as 8-point favorites . It has lost back-to-back games both outright and against the spread (ATS). The Friars are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games and are 18-13 ATS this season.

UConn, the No. 4 seed, beat Villanova 71-59 on the road on Saturday to cover as 2.5-point favorite. It has won 5 games in a row and covered in its last 4. The Huskies are 8-2 outright in their last 10 games and 7-3 ATS to improve to 20-10-1 ATS this season.

The teams split during the regular season, each winning on its home court. Providence won 73-61 as a 5.5-point underdog on Jan. 4 as the 141.5 Under hit, while UConn won 87-69 as a 7.5-point favorite on Feb. 22 while the 142.5 Over cashed.

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Providence vs. UConn odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:06 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Providence +245 (bet $100 to win $245) | UConn -330 (bet $330 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Providence +7.5 (-115) | UConn -7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Providence vs. UConn picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 79, Providence 71

Moneyline

PASS.

Simply no point in risking more than 3 times your money on UConn.

Against the spread

LEAN UCONN -7.5 (-105).

The Huskies have been on a hot streak recently winning 8 of their last 10 and covering the spread in 7 of their last 10. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an outright victory, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning outright record. The Huskies are also 5-0 ATS this season while playing as 7.5-9.5-point favorites.

Providence is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against a team with a winning outright record and 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games. It is also 0-2 ATS this season while playing as 7.5-9.5-point underdogs.

On neutral floors this season, Providence is 1-2 ATS while UConn is 3-0 ATS.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 144.5 (-115).

In order for the Friars to stay in this game, their offense will have to score consistently. Ranked 36th in the nation for points per game (78.5), they have the capabilities to do that. The Over is 6-0 in the Friars’ last 6 games and 6-0 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

For the Huskies, the Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Their offense is also their strength, ranking 29th in the nation in points per game (79).

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Xavier at Providence odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Xavier at Providence odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 17 Xavier Musketeers (21-8, 13-5 Big East) take on the No. 20 Providence Friars (21-8, 13-5) Wednesday at Amica Mutual Pavilion. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Xavier vs. Providence odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Musketeers defeated Seton Hall 82-60 as 1.5-point road favorites on Friday. Xavier has recorded a 6-4 record in the last 10 games.

The Friars covered as 6.5-point favorites in Sunday’s 88-68 victory on the road. Providence has won 7 of its last 10 contests.

This will be the 2nd meeting between Xavier and Providence this season. The Musketeers escaped with an 85-83 overtime win despite the Friars covering the 4-point spread and the Over connected.

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Xavier at Providence odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Xavier +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Providence -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Xavier +3.5 (-115) | Providence -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Xavier at Providence picks and predictions

Prediction

Providence 82, Xavier 77

Moneyline

AVOID.

This is expected to be a close Big East contest and unless you can get Providence at -150 odds or better, I wouldn’t advise taking the moneyline in this game.

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Against the spread

PROVIDENCE -3.5 (-105) is the lean in this matchup with the Friars being  perfect at home (15-0). The Musketeers are also expected to be without their 2nd-leading scorer in F Zach Freemantle.

The Friars are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

Over/Under

With how electric these offenses are, OVER 153.5 (-115) is the pick despite it being such a high number. Xavier and Providence average a combined 160.7 points per game and both teams convert 35-plus percent of their 3-point shots.

The Musketeers are 4-1 to the Over in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. The Friars have gone Over in each of their last 4 games overall.

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Providence at Georgetown odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Providence at Georgetown odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 18 Providence Friars (20-8, 12-5 Big East) visit the Georgetown Hoyas (7-22, 2-16) on Sunday. Tip from Capital One Arena is at 12:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Providence vs. Georgetown odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Providence fell 87-69 to UConn on Wednesday failing to cover as 7.5-point road underdogs. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak both outright and against the spread (ATS). In their last 10 games, the Friars are 6-4 both outright and ATS to improve to 17-11 ATS on the season.

Georgetown lost 79-70 to St John’s on Wednesday, failing to cover as 2-point home underdogs. It is just 2-8 in its last 10 games, but 8-2 ATS in that same span. The Hoyas are 14-14 ATS this season despite their 7-22 record.

Providence beat Georgetown 74-62 while failing to cover as 13-point home favorites in their 1st matchup on Feb. 8.

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Providence at Georgetown odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Providence -310 (bet $310 to win $100) | Georgetown +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Providence -7.5 (-105) | Georgetown +7.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Providence at Georgetown picks and predictions

Prediction

Providence 84, Georgetown 69

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline presents no value for Providence in this matchup.

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Against the spread

BET PROVIDENCE -7.5 (-105).

The Friars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing outright record. They are also 6-4 ATS on the road this season.

Providence ranks 36th in the nation averaging 78.5 points per game while Georgetown’s defense ranks 333rd allowing 77 PPG.

While Georgetown has been on a ATS hot streak recently, it is just 5-10 ATS at home this season.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 149.5 (-105).

The Over is 3-0 in the Friars’ last 3 games, 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage less than .400, and 6-4 in their 10 road games this season.

Expect a big offensive performance for Providence to help the Over hit in this game.

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Providence at UConn odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Providence at UConn odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 18 Providence Friars (20-7, 12-4 Big East) battle the No. 23 UConn Huskies (20-7, 9-7) on Wednesday with tip from Gampel Pavilion set for 6:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Providence vs. UConn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Providence took down Villanova 85-72 on Saturday to cover as 3.5-point home favorites. It has won back-to-back games and is 6-2 in its last 8 games. The Friars are 7-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games to improve to 17-10 ATS on the season.

UConn beat Seton Hall 64-55 at home on Saturday, but failed to cover as 11.5-point favorites. It is 5-2 in its last 7 games and 4-3 ATS in that span. The Huskies are 16-10-1 ATS this season.

Providence beat UConn 73-61 to cover as 5.5-point home underdogs when they met Jan. 4.

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Providence at UConn odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Providence +255 (bet $100 to win $255) | UConn -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Providence +7.5 (-110) | UConn -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Providence at UConn picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 77, Providence 74

Moneyline

PASS.,

The moneyline odds on UConn do not present enough return on investment to make a play worth it.

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Against the spread

BET PROVIDENCE +7.5 (-110).

The Friars have been ATS moneymakers going 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games overall, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games, and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.

The Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games and are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 143.5 (-105).

The Over is 4-0 in Providence’s last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. For UConn, the Over is 4-1 in its last 5 games following a ATS loss, 4-1 in its last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 6-2 in its last 8 games following an outright win.

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Creighton at Providence odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Creighton at Providence odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 19 Creighton Bluejays (17-8, 11-3 Big East) and No. 21 Providence Friars (18-7, 10-4) tangle Tuesday in a key Big East battle. Tip-off at Amica Mutual Pavilion is at 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Creighton vs. Providence odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Since a Dec. 16 loss at Marquette, Creighton is 11-2 and has won 8 straight games that started Jan. 14 with a 73-67 triumph over Providence. The Bluejays failed to cover as 7.5-point favorites while the Under 141.5 cashed.

The Friars lost Saturday at St. John’s. Providence was a -4.5 favorite, but fired a 33.3% mark from the floor in a 73-68 loss. The Friars are 1-2 in their last 3 games.

Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Creighton at Providence odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Creighton -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Providence +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Creighton -1.5 (-115) | Providence +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Creighton at Providence picks and predictions

Prediction

Creighton 68, Providence 66

Moneyline

Creighton has been terrific since its early-season slump. But the offering here is fair; the Bluejays’ are worth an investment on this number. PASS.

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Against the spread

PASS.

If you think Creighton can win this Top-25 battle then the spread is the bet over the moneyline. I prefer the total.

Over/Under

The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 games of this series and 5-1 in the Bluejays’ last 6 against winning teams as well as 5-1 in the Friars’ last 6 against winning teams.

Creighton’s schedule to date has been loaded with good offensive teams. Their already good defensive efficiency figures deserve a quality-of-opponent adjustment.

Both teams defend 3s well. The Bluejays counter a couple point spiral factors that normally go as a green check mark in the Providence columns — free-throw frequency and 2nd-chance points. Look for Creighton to keep both area in check in a tight 130-something game.

BACK THE UNDER 140.5 (-105).

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Georgetown at Providence odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Georgetown at Providence odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Georgetown Hoyas (6-18, 1-12 Big East) and No. 17 Providence Friars (17-6, 9-3) meet Wednesday at Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, R.I. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Georgetown vs. Providence game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Hoyas have dropped the last 3 games and have gone 1-13 straight up in the last 14 outings overall. Georgetown has been cover kings lately, however, cashing in 6 straight games, all as an underdog.

The Friars (+4.5) were tripped up 85-83 in overtime at Xavier last time out on Feb. 1, halting a 3-game win streak. Providence is on fire against the number, cashing 4 in a row, while going 13-2 against the spread (ATS) in the last 15 games overall.

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Georgetown at Providence odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Georgetown +13.5 (-115) | Providence -13.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Georgetown at Providence picks and predictions

Prediction

Providence 79, Georgetown 68

Moneyline

The moneyline was off the board at the time of publishing, but Providence will be too expensive when a moneyline is made available.

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Against the spread

GEORGETOWN +13.5 (-115) is worth a play, as while it hasn’t been winning games, it has been keeping it close.

The Hoyas have cashed in 6 consecutive games overall, while going 4-0 ATS in the last 4 against teams with a winning overall record. Georgetown is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games following a cover, and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 against a straight-up loss, too.

While Providence -13.5 (-105) has been hot lately, the series trends point to the Hoyas, too. The ‘dog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings, with the road team cashing at a 10-4 ATS clip during the stretch, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 147.5 (-115) is the lean, but go lightly.

The Under has cashed in 7 of the last 10 games against teams with a winning overall record for the Hoyas. The Under is 7-3 in the last 10 games overall for the Friars, too, while cashing at a 5-2 clip in the last 7 following a straight-up loss.

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Providence at Xavier odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Providence at Xavier odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 17 Providence Friars (17-5, 9-2 Big East) visit the No. 15 Xavier Musketeers (17-5, 9-2) in a top-20 matchup in Cincinnati. The contest at the Cintas Center will tip off at 6:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Providence vs. Xavier odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Providence is on a 3-game win streak straight up and against the spread (ATS). The Friars are a mid-pace squad which is efficient at both ends of the floor and works with monster edges in free-throw frequency. Through 22 games, Providence has attempted 179 more free throws than its opponents.

The Musketeers are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against  Providence. That stretch includes an overtime game and 3 other games decided by 2 scores or less.

Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Providence at Xavier odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Providence +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Xavier -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Providence +4.5 (-115) | Xavier -4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Providence at Xavier picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 74, Providence 70

Moneyline

Lots of juice drowning out true probabilities here. PASS.

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Against the spread

Xavier does well to avoid too many fouls. And the Musketeers are not a great perimeter-defense team, a weakness we should not expect Providence to adequately leverage.

An Xavier win by 2-to-5 points holds as a reasonable outcome. It is not one conducive to unearthing much, if any value. PASS.

Over/Under

After the last 7 outright Providence wins, the Under has gone 6-1.

The Friars’ defensive efficiency has been trending the right way. The Musketeers have played a schedule leaning toward much better offensive opponents. Both teams have slower pace numbers over recent games.

Wednesday’s figure is 16 points higher than the average listed totals from 2 meetings a year ago. Don’t expect a lot of add-on points in the turnover, 2nd-chance, and 3-point departments. BACK THE UNDER 153.5 (-105).

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