Tag: Prop Picks

Prince’s Props: Lamar Jackson, Alvin Kamara and more NFL Week 14 player prop bets

After a stellar Week 13, Prince is here for your Week 14 props.

So close to perfection last week! Just a Tyreek Hill touchdown short of a 6-0 Week 13, and I am not at all disappointed. After a few weeks off and a triumphant return, it’s only up from here.

I rode the running backs in my wins last week, with Joe Mixon, Najee Harris and Jamaal Williams all coming through for me. This week is QB-heavy with four passer picks, but I still threw in a wide receiver prop – my kryptonite this season. Looking for Davante Adams to change that for me.

Last week: 5-1 (Season: 10-8)

All odds are provided by Tipico.

PGA Championship prop bet picks and predictions

We’ve made our picks to win and highlighted some long shots for this week’s PGA Championship.

The second major of 2021 is here with the world’s best golfers at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina for the PGA Championship. We’ve made our picks to win and highlighted some long shots; below, we’ll look for the best value prop bets in the 2021 PGA Championship odds, with placings, groups and first-round leader picks and predictions.

There are six players with odds lower than +2000 to win, led by tournament favorite and defending Kiawah champion Rory McIlroy at +1200. He won here by eight strokes in 2012.

The best way to maximize your profit potential in the 156-man field when betting the 2021 PGA Championship is to fade these favorites and look at the various prop markets.

2021 PGA Championship picks: Placings

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Top 5: Tyrrell Hatton (+900)

Hatton shares the 20th-best odds to win at +5000, but he’s 18th in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. This is a sign of value in a vacuum, but he’s also an excellent fit for the course

The Englishman is 10th on Tour in sand save percentage and fourth in Strokes Gained: Approach for the 2020-21 season.

Top 10: Shane Lowry (+700)

The Ocean Course, which runs entirely along the coastline of the Atlantic, shares many similarities to Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland, where Lowry won the 2019 Open Championship.

Harsh winds and some rain will play to Lowry’s favor if the course is playing longer and tougher than its already high standard. He made the cut in each of his four major appearances since the 2019 Open, and he finished eighth at The Players Championship in a very similar field. Both TPC Sawgrass and the Ocean Course were designed by Pete Dye.

2021 PGA Championship picks: Top player

Top American: Bryson DeChambeau (+900)

DeChambeau, the reigning US Open champ, shares the fourth-best odds to win, but he’s still third by the odds in this pool with McIlroy and Jon Rahm removed.

He’s No. 1 on Tour in driving distance and SG: Off-the-Tee per round. He also averages 0.48 SG: Putting per round.

Place your legal, online 2021 PGA Championship bets in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV at BetMGM. Risk-free first bet! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Top Asian: Si Woo Kim (+400)

Kim is just 99th on Tour in driving distance, but he’s ninth in par 4 efficiency: 450-500 yards, of which there are five such holes on the course. He won already this season, and he won The Players in 2017.

2021 PGA Championship picks: First-round leader

Keegan Bradley (+5000)

Bradley tied for third at the 2012 PGA Championship, albeit nine strokes back of McIlroy. He’s not the same golfer in 2021, but he has two runner-ups in 10 events this year and is seventh on Tour in Round 1 scoring average.

He’ll tee off at 8:17 a.m. ET Thursday morning and should get in the clubhouse before winds pick up in the afternoon.

Russell Henley (+10000)

Henley has a slightly less appealing 1:31 p.m. ET tee time but it’s always a good idea to have a little diversity in your first-round leader bets in case the weather doesn’t stick to the forecast.

Born in Georgia, he currently resides in Charleston, South Carolina, and has somewhat of a home course advantage this week. He’s tied for 19th on Tour in Round 1 scoring average and is second in bogey avoidance.

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Get some action on the 2021 PGA Championship by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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2020 Super Bowl: How many TDs will be scored in the game?

Analyzing the 2020 Super Bowl prop bets, and looking at the betting odds and lines around the total touchdowns scored.

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The 2020 Super Bowl is here, as the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are putting the final touches on their game plans for Super Bowl LIV. It’s expected to be a competitive and close game with the Chiefs entering as 1.5-point favorites.

It should also be a fairly high-scoring game, pitting two of the top-five offenses in the NFL against each other. At the very least, it should be much higher scoring than Super Bowl LIII between the Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots, which closed at 13-3 despite having an Over/Under of more than 57 points at most sportsbooks.

The Over/Under for Sunday’s game is set at 54.5 points, which implies an expected score of about 28-26. With Patrick Mahomes on one side and the league’s second-best rushing attack on the other, there should be touchdowns scored in bunches.

2020 Super Bowl Prop Bets: Total TDs Scored

But how many touchdowns will actually be scored? Let’s look at the odds and betting lines.

Over 5.5: -154
Under 5.5: +125

Over 6.5: +110
Under 6.5: -134

Over 7.5: +240
Under 7.5: -304

In the divisional round against the Texans, the Chiefs scored seven touchdowns themselves; Houston scored three. In the AFC Championship Game against Tennessee, they scored five touchdowns and there were eight total scored in the game.

Special NJ/WV betting line for the big game

If you’re in New Jersey or West Virginia, Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Place bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.

The 49ers offense hasn’t been quite as explosive this postseason, but they’ve still scored plenty of points. In the divisional round against the Vikings, they scored three touchdowns and Minnesota only scored one. The next week, they scored four touchdowns and the Packers found the end zone three times.

In the regular season, the 49ers averaged 3.5 touchdowns per game and their opponents averaged 2.3. The Chiefs scored 3.2 touchdowns per game and their opponents 2.3 per game. So, if together they averaged 6.7 touchdowns per game this season, betting the Over of 6.5 would seem like the best choice.

And looking at the different lines, that feels like the best combination of value and probability. You could play it safer by going over 5.5, but then you lose the value that comes with plus-money.

You figure Mahomes is going to score at least three touchdowns, and Damien Williams could chip in another for the Chiefs. On the 49ers’ side, their defense could score a touchdown itself, having done so five times in the regular season. Their ground game may not be as dynamic as the Chiefs’ passing attack, but Raheem Mostert is a big-play back, as is George Kittle at tight end.

I’d bet Over 6.5 (+110) and feel good about getting plus-money.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Bets: How many rushing yards will Damien Williams have?

Analyzing the 2020 Super Bowl prop bets, and looking at the betting odds and lines around Kansas City Chiefs RB Damien Williams.

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Super Bowl LIV features two very evenly matched teams with the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs squaring off Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The oddsmakers at BetMGM predict it to be a close battle with the Chiefs entering as 1.5-point favorites.

The 49ers boast a dominant ground game and defense, while the Chiefs have 2018 NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes and an offense that can light up a scoreboard in a hurry. One player who doesn’t get talked about much for Kansas City is RB Damien Williams.

That’s probably because he only started six games and rushed for 498 yards this season, not playing a significant role until the second half of the year. Entering Super Bowl LIV, he’s the Chiefs’ starter at running back.

Just how productive will he be against the 49ers defense, though? And should you bet on his rushing yards total for the game?

Damien Williams Super Bowl LIV rushing yards: 100.5

(Photo Credit: Jeff Curry – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

On the surface, it seems obvious to take the Under on that total. Williams has rushed for at least 100 yards only three times in his career and twice this season. In the playoffs, he has gained 92 yards on 29 carries.

When you look at the betting line, it’s not such an easy bet. The Over is +600, while the Under is -1000. In other words, a $10 bet on the Over will pay out $60, and a $10 wager on the Under will net you a whopping $1.

Risking $10 to win a buck doesn’t seem like smart business, especially with Williams’ speed. He had a 91-yard run this season, which was the longest in the NFL. he’s a big play waiting to happen, and although the 49ers allowed only two running backs to gain at least 100 yards against them this season, Williams is a firecracker.

Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.

It’ll be difficult for him to get enough opportunities to top the 100-yard mark. He has never received 20 carries in a single game in his career and only twice has he carried it more than 13 times. The Chiefs are clearly going to lean on their MVP quarterback, thus limiting the chances for Williams.

If the Chiefs want to attempt to negate the 49ers’ pass rush, utilizing draws and wide zone runs could help.

It’s not worth betting $10 to win $1. It’s certainly not worth laying down $100 to win $10 on the Under. You’re better off putting a wager on the OVER 100.5 (+600) and hoping Williams can find a crease and create a big play on the ground. He’s not going to get 20 carries, and in the two games in which he topped 100 rushing yards this season, he had a carry of 91 yards and 84 yards.

Also see:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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