Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs Wild Card odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7-1) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (12-5) Sunday for an AFC Wild Card battle. Kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Steelers vs. Chiefs odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Steelers snuck into the playoffs behind a 16-13 overtime win at the Baltimore Ravens in Week 18, but also needed the help the Jacksonville Jaguars’ stunning 26-11 upset of the Indianapolis Colts. This could be Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger’s final game as he is expected to retire after the season.

The Chiefs bounced back from a 3-4 start to the season by winning nine of their final 10 games. They were 7-2 at home this season and beat the Steelers 36-10 at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 16.

Also see: Wild Card Weekend picks and predictions

Steelers at Chiefs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Steelers +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Chiefs -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +12.5 (-112) | Chiefs -12.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Steelers at Chiefs key injuries

Steelers

  • None

Chiefs

  • RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (shoulder) out
  • RB Darrel Williams (toe) questionable

Let’s Make This Interesting

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Steelers at Chiefs odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Chiefs 24, Steelers 17

Money line

PASS. There is no reason to consider the Steelers for the upset. They are overmatched against a team that is built to make it to its third Super Bowl in a row.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ -750 price is way too high and not worth the risk.

Against the spread

BET PITTSBURGH +12.5 (-112).

Both the Chiefs and the Steelers were 8-9 ATS in the regular season. The Chiefs beat the Steelers by 26 points just a few weeks ago.

There is one way to slow the Chiefs and that is by getting pressure on QB Patrick Mahomes. The Steelers have the league’s sack champion in LB T.J. Watt, who recorded 22.5 sacks this season. With injury issues and questionable depth at running back, the Chiefs will have to rely on their passing game.

The Chiefs will win the game, but it won’t be a blowout.

They were 2-2 ATS when favored by 10 or more points.

Take the STEELERS +12.5 (-112).

Over/Under

Back UNDER 46.5 (-112).

The two teams combined for 46 points in Week 16. It’s the Steelers’ only game in their last four that cashed an Over ticket.

The last five games for the Chiefs hit the Over, but the Steelers just don’t have the offense to help much. I don’t think the Chiefs get 30 in this game and I don’t think the Steelers will score enough to help on their end.

BET UNDER 46.5 (-112).

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs Week 16 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6-1) are on the road for a tilt with the Kansas City Chiefs (10-4) Sunday in Week 16. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Steelers vs. Chiefs odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Steelers’ playoff hopes aren’t entirely dashed yet, despite that they’re third in the AFC North, although they are on the outside looking in as the season winds down. Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses over its last four games (2-2 ATS), most recently picking up a 19-13 home victory over the Tennessee Titans in Week 15.

The Chiefs have rattled off seven consecutive victories after starting the season 3-4. Kansas City also enters on a 5-0 ATS run, most recently picking up a 34-28 overtime victory on the road at the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 15.

Steelers at Chiefs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Steelers +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Chiefs -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +10.5 (-120) | Chiefs -10.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Steelers at Chiefs key injuries

Steelers

  • TE Pat Freiermuth (concussion) out
  • DL Chris Wormley (groin) out
  • LB Devin Bush (COVID/reserve) out

Chiefs

  • TE Travis Kelce (COVID/reserve) out
  • OL Lucas Niang  (COVID/reserve) out
  • LB Nick Bolton (COVID/reserve) out

Let’s Make This Interesting

Place your legal sports bets online in New Jersey and Colorado with Tipico Sportsbook, a trusted, global sports-betting leader. Iowa, get ready, Tipico is coming to your state soon! New customer offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $100 in instant bet credits! 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Steelers at Chiefs odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Chiefs 31, Steelers 17

Money line

Although the Chiefs are almost certainly the correct side of this line, there’s just no value in betting more than five times your potential return.

PASS on the money line.

Against the spread

Kansas City has been rolling lately, and while Pittsburgh’s defense has been effective off and on all season, it has been lit up by high-octane teams in over the last month, giving up 41 points to the Cincinnati Bengals and 36 to the Minnesota Vikings.

While KC will undoubtedly feel the absence of Kelce in its offensive gameplan, WR Tyreek Hill, who had been on the COVID list earlier in the week was able to clear protocols and will be active.

Pittsburgh has been held to 20 or fewer points in three of its last four outings, and even if it can get near that number today it probably won’t push far beyond it.

BET the CHIEFS -10.5 (+100).

Over/Under

Kansas City, despite missing some pieces, should be able to take advantage of Pittsburgh and will do more than its fair share to get this over the number Sunday. The Chiefs are looking to finish the season strong as they surge toward a bye in the opening week of the playoffs.

Pittsburgh and KC have both gone 3-2 O/U over their last five games. I’m anticipating this one adds to the Over column.

TAKE the OVER 44.5 (-110).

Also see: All Week 16 odds and lines

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First look: Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs Week 16 NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6-1) travel to meet the Kansas City Chiefs (10-4) for a Week 16 game Sunday. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Steelers vs. Chiefs odds and lines; check back for our NFL picks and predictions.

The Steelers kept their playoff hopes alive with a 19-13 home victory against the Tennessee Titans in Week 15. Pittsburgh has had trouble on the road, however, losing its past three away from home while going 1-2 ATS.

Also see: All Week 16 odds and lines

The Chiefs topped the Los Angeles Chargers 34-28 in overtime last Thursday for their seventh consecutive victory. Kansas City has covered five in a row, too.

Steelers at Chiefs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:41 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Steelers +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Chiefs -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +9.5, -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Chiefs -9.5, -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5, O: -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | U: -108 (bet $108 to win $100)

Also see: Betting 101

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2021 betting stats:

  • ML: Steelers 7-6-1 | Chiefs 10-4
  • ATS: Steelers 6-8 | Chiefs 7-7
  • O/U: Steelers 5-9 | Chiefs 7-7

Steelers at Chiefs head-to-head

These teams haven’t met since Sept. 16, 2018, when the Chiefs came away with a high-scoring 42-37 victory at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh. The last time these teams met in Kansas City was Oct. 15, 2017, when the Steelers posted a 19-13 win as 3.5-point underdogs.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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