Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4) visit the Baltimore Ravens (9-5) for a Week 16 Saturday afternoon tilt in Charm City. Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Steelers vs. Ravens odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Steelers dropped their Week 15 matchup against the Eagles, 27-13, failing to cover as 5.5-point road underdogs. The Under 43 hit as Pittsburgh’s offense sputtered, totaling just 163 yards while allowing Philadelphia to rack up 401. RB Najee Harris had a rough outing, posting a season-low 14 rushing yards.

The Ravens rebounded from a Week 14 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles with a dominant 35-14 victory over the New York Giants in Week 15. They covered as 17-point road favorites, with the Over 43.5 hitting. QB Lamar Jackson bolstered his MVP case, tying a career-high with 5 touchdown passes, including 2 to WR Rashod Bateman, who finished with 80 receiving yards.

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Steelers at Ravens odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Steelers +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Ravens -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +6.5 (-105) | Ravens -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Steelers at Ravens key injuries

Steelers

  • S DeShon Elliott (hamstring) out
  • QB Justin Fields (abdominal) out
  • CB Donte Jackson (back) questionable
  • DT Larry Ogunjobi (groin) questionable
  • WR George Pickens (hamstring) out

Ravens

  • WR Nelson Agholor (concussion) out
  • CB Jalyn Armour-Davis (hamstring) out
  • WR Rashod Bateman (foot) questionable
  • OL Daniel Faalele (knee) questionable
  • WR Diontae Johnson (personal) out
  • LB Odafe Oweh (ankle) questionable

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Steelers at Ravens picks and predictions

Prediction

Ravens 24, Steelers 13

Moneyline

The Steelers have taken 8 of the last 9 matchups, but every single one was decided by 7 points or less. This time, I think it’ll break the mold, so I’m rolling with the spread and I’ll PASS on the moneyline.

Against the spread

It’s always a gritty matchup when these teams meet, but this one has a fresh twist: Lamar Jackson will play the Steelers in front of a packed house in Baltimore for the first time.

In 2018, he was Joe Flacco’s backup. In 2019 and 2023, he was rested. COVID kept fans away in 2020, and injuries sidelined him in 2021 and 2022. Now, he finally gets his shot.

The Ravens have won 3 of their last 4 at home, with their only loss coming to the Eagles, who just beat the Steelers. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s offense has been stuck in neutral without Pickens. Without their deep-ball threat, they’ve managed just 163 total yards in Week 15 and 158 passing yards in Week 14.

On top of that, LB T.J. Watt is dealing with an ankle injury from last week. He’s playing but won’t be at full strength, which takes a big piece out of Pittsburgh’s defense.

With Jackson ready to shine and the Steelers struggling, the Ravens are in a great spot to handle business and grab a much-needed divisional win.

BET RAVENS -6.5 (-115)

Over/Under

It’s tough to back the Over here. The Under has hit in 8 straight matchups, including an 18-16 game Nov. 17. Over their last 9 meetings, neither team has topped 20 points, which is wild. With that trend in mind, I’ll stick with the UNDER 44.5 (-105).

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) visit the Baltimore Ravens (10-5) for the Sunday Night Football game in a divisional rivalry with major playoff implications. Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Steelers vs. Ravens odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

One game under .500, the Steelers hope to continue coach Mike Tomlin’s streak of never finishing a season below .500. Pittsburgh has won 2 games in a row since suffering a 16-14 defeat as a 1.5-point home favorite against Baltimore Dec 11. The Steelers’ playoff hopes are alive but are incredibly slim with most football experts having their postseason odds around 2%. They can’t afford to lose another game, but if the Miami Dolphins (8-7), who are 2.5-point road underdogs, upset the New England Patriots (7-8) earlier in the day, the Steelers would be eliminated, according to FiveThirtyEight.

The Ravens trail the AFC North-leading Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) by 1 game in the division. As long as the Ravens don’t lose ground — the Bengals host the Buffalo Bills (12-3) Monday night — the two rivals will play for the North title next week in Cincinnati. Baltimore would win a tiebreaker because it beat Cincy at M&T earlier in the season and would complete a sweep if it wins there in Week 18. The Ravens have already secured a playoff spot and are looking to be one of the top seeds in the AFC by winning the division and getting hot just in time for QB Lamar Jackson to return from injury. Baltimore is coming off a much needed 17-9 win as a 6.5-point favorite vs. Atlanta last Saturday that gave the Ravens momentum that they will look to ride into this game.

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Steelers at Ravens odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Steelers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Ravens -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +2.5 (-107) | Ravens -2.5 (-113)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 35 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Steelers at Ravens key injuries

Steelers

  • LB Myles Jack (groin) questionable
  • DB Tre Norwood (hamstring) out
  • DL Larry Ogunjobi (toe) questionable

Ravens

  • DL Calais Campbell (knee) questionable
  • QB Lamar Jackson (knee) out
  • CB Marcus Peters (calf) out
  • Geno Stone (hamstring) questionable

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Steelers at Ravens picks and predictions

Prediction

Steelers 13, Ravens 12

Moneyline

PASS since I’m focusing on the spread.

The Steelers (+115) are the underdogs, but they should be the favorites with Jackson out for the Ravens. In this divisional rivalry, it’s rare that either team sweeps the other in the season series, and I don’t see that happening in this one. Plus, Tomlin has never had a season under .500 in his career and the Steelers will keep that streak going with a win Sunday — they host the last-place Cleveland Browns (6-9) in Week 18.

Against the spread

PITTSBURGH +2.5 (-107) is the BEST BET in this matchup. However, if the Steelers are eliminated from playoff contention before kickoff — because of a Miami win at New England — this is a PASS.

When these teams met 2 weeks ago, the game ended with a 2-point differential — the above-mentioned Ravens’ 16-14 victory. This final should be just as close. With Jackson out and the Steelers looking much better now than at the start of the season, this will be a tough game for the Ravens.

If the Steelers aren’t eliminated before kickoff, BET 1.5 UNITS here or divvy up the 1.5 units with a smaller PITTSBURGH (+115) ML wager.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 35 (-112).

If Jackson was playing for the Ravens, I’d lean Over, but because he is out and knowing how terrible the Ravens offense is without him, the Under should be pretty safe here. The Steelers offense has been bad all season and the Ravens offense struggles without their starting QB. With Baltimore’s running game also not performing, it will be hard for either team to put up points.

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (8-7-1) face the Baltimore Ravens (8-8) in both teams’ regular-season finale Sunday in Week 18. Kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Steelers vs. Ravens odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Pittsburgh needs the Jacksonville Jaguars to upset the Indianapolis Colts and for the Los Angeles Chargers versus Las Vegas Raiders game to not end in a tie to clinch an AFC postseason berth.

The Steelers beat the Cleveland Browns 26-14 on Monday Night Football in Week 17 in what’s expected to be Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger‘s final home game. Pittsburgh is 7-9 ATS and 6-10 O/U.

Baltimore needs a lot more help to make the playoffs. The Ravens have to win against the Steelers and need losses by the Colts, Chargers and Miami Dolphins to advance to the postseason.

The Ravens have lost five straight games (3-2 ATS) and they’ve been without former MVP QB Lamar Jackson for the last three outings. Baltimore is 8-8 ATS and 8-8 O/U.

Pittsburgh has won three straight over Baltimore including a 20-19 victory in Week 13 this season that concluded with the Ravens failing on a would-be go-ahead 2-point conversion attempt in the final minute.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 18 picks and predictions

Steelers at Ravens odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Steelers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Ravens -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +3.5 (-112) | Ravens -3.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Steelers at Ravens key injuries

Steelers

  • OT Dan Moore Jr. (ankle) doubtful

Ravens

  • QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) out
  • CB Anthony Averett (ribs/chest) out
  • OLB Odafe Oweh (foot) doubtful
  • WR Devin Duvernay (ankle/knee) doubtful
  • Ben Powers (foot) questionable

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Steelers at Ravens odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Steelers 23, Ravens 20

Money line

SPRINKLE on the STEELERS (+155) with the plan of betting more on Pittsburgh plus the points. I give the Steelers the edge because they are far healthier than the Ravens and have the motivation of sending Big Ben off on a winning note.

Baltimore’s offensive line has struggled all season in pass protection and Pittsburgh has one of the best pass-rushing units in the NFL.

Furthermore, Steelers OLB T.J. Watt is one sack away from NFL Hall of Famer Michael Strahan’s single-season sack record (22.5). Watt is going to be the best player on the field and wreak havoc over Baltimore’s offensive line.

Both sides of the ball for Pittsburgh have max motivation while Baltimore is limping down the stretch. The idea is to bet Pittsburgh’s spread heavier but SPRINKLE on the STEELERS (+155).

Against the spread

Definitely BET the STEELERS +3.5 (-112) heavier than, or instead of, their money line. This line has already come crashing down after news broke that Lamar would miss Baltimore’s regular-season finale.

However, there’s still value in Pittsburgh’s spread because it’s been profitable to bet on whichever team is an underdog of 3.5 or more points in this Steelers-Ravens head-to-head series.

For what it’s worth, the STEELERS +3.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 40.5 (-115) for a small wager, if at all, as a fade against a market that’s barrelling into the Under.

More than 60% of the action is on the Under according to Pregame.com and we know 60% of sports bettors don’t beat the oddsmakers.

That said, the Under has cashed in five of the past seven Steelers-Ravens meetings in Baltimore and my favorite wager is Pittsburgh’s spread anyhow.

Also seeNFL Week 18 odds and lines

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Baltimore Ravens favored over undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 8

The Baltimore Ravens open as betting favorites in their Week 8 matchup against the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-0) head to M&T Bank Stadium in Week 8 to face the AFC North rival Baltimore Ravens (5-1) for the first time this season. The Ravens open as the betting favorites over the undefeated Steelers. Below, we take a look at the early Week 8 betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Steelers are the NFL’s final undefeated team of 2020 following their 27-24 road win over the Tennessee Titans in Week 7. Pittsburgh took a 24-7 lead into halftime and survived the Titans’ late comeback bid. QB Ben Roethlisberger completed 32 of 49 pass attempts for 268 yards and two touchdowns but threw three interceptions.

The Ravens come off a Week 7 bye which followed their 30-28 road win over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 6. Reigning MVP QB Lamar Jackson has thrown for 10 touchdowns against two interceptions and has rushed for 346 yards and two touchdowns through six games. The Ravens have won three straight games after losing 34-20 against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 3.

Steelers at Ravens betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Steelers +175 (bet $100 to win $175) / Ravens -209 (bet $209 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Steelers +5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Ravens -5, -110 (bet $209 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 48.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Bet now

New to NFL betting?

A winning bet on the underdog Steelers almost doubles your investment at the +175 odds. They have an implied win probability of 36.36%, 7/4 fractional odds and 2.75 decimal odds. They’ll need to stay within 4 points in a loss or win outright in order to cover the spread.

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The Ravens need to win by at least 6 points to cover their side of the spread. Their -209 money line odds represent an implied win probability of 67.64% with 89/186 fractional odds.

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