Tag: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds odds predictions pick betting line spread

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-88) and Cincinnati Reds (56-83) continue a 4-game NL Central series with a Tuesday doubleheader. First pitch from Game 1 from Great American Ball Park is slated for 12:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds Game 1 odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cincinnati leads 7-6

The Pirates won Monday’s series opener 6-3. Pittsburgh hit 3 home runs in the game and has hit 8 round-trippers in its last 3 contests. This surge has come from a Bucs offense that owns a .652 OPS on the season (28th MLB).

The Reds have lost 3 outings in a row. Cincinnati did have 9 hits Monday, and it has registered a fine .752 OPS over its last 8 games.

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Pirates at Reds Game 1 projected starters

RHP Johan Oviedo vs. RHP Luis Cessa

Oviedo (2-2, 3.90 ERA) has appeared in 16 games (3 starts). He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 30 IP.

  • Scuffled in his last start: allowed 4 four runs on 1 hit and 5 walks over 1 2/3 IP against the New York Mets Wednesday
  • Three starts against the Reds from 2020-21: allowed 8 ER in 13 IP (5.54 ERA)

Cessa (3-2, 4.97 ERA) has appeared in 41 games, making 6 starts. He owns a 1.33 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 54 1/3 IP.

  • Has clocked a 3.10 ERA and 0.93 WHIP across his last 20 1/3 IP
  • Fanned a season-high 8 batters in his last start Thursday at Chicago Cubs and allowed 2 runs in 5 2/3 IP

Pirates at Reds Game 1 odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Reds -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-170) | Reds -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Pirates at Reds Game 1 picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Pirates 4

Money line

The home nine has the more rested bullpen, especially at the back end. That Cincy relief corps has been a bunch with expected performances better than their surface numbers for much of the season and they’ve pitched better of late (3.42 ERA last 30 days).

TAKE CINCINNATI (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

The likable home side and likable Under don’t usually mix well on the Run Line. PASS.

Over/Under

Peg the Cincy offense as being a bit too far out over its skis with its surface numbers. Cooled-off temperatures in the weather report work against an outward-blowing hitters’ breeze.

BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-122).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (51-88) and Cincinnati Reds (56-82) swing into a 4-game NL Central series Monday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cincinnati leads 7-5

The Pirates head down the Ohio River after a 2-7 homestand. They are just 6-22 over and have clocked a mere .644 OPS over their last 28 games. Pittsburgh’s .561 OPS for the season ranks 28th in MLB.

The Reds are back at home after a 3-3 road trip. Cincinnati scored 6 runs in a loss at the Milwaukee Brewers Sunday. The Reds have slashed a solid .266/.317/.486 (.803 OPS) over their last 5 games.

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Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Bryse Wilson vs. LHP Mike Minor

Wilson (2-8, 6.11 ERA) He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 88 1/3 IP across 20 games (16 starts).

  • Has allowed 3 or more runs in 7 of his last 8 appearances
  • Albeit in a small sample, has held Reds batters to an aggregate .618 OPS

Minor (4-10, 5.70 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 90 IP.

  • Has been shelled in 2 outings versus Pittsburgh this season for 9 runs over 12 innings
  • Allowed 1 R over 5 2/3 IP in his last start Wednesday at the Chicago Cubs) and has a history of strong finishes with a career 3.88 ERA in Sept./Oct.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-180) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Pirates 4

Money line

Cincinnati is 17-3 over its last 20 home games against the Bucs.

Pittsburgh has had 11 road trips so far this season: the Pirates are 1-10 in their trip openers.

The home nine has the more rested bullpen, especially at the back end.

TAKE CINCINNATI (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

The likable home side and likable Under don’t usually mix well on the Run Line. PASS.

Over/Under

Peg the Cincy offense as being a bit too far out over its skis with its surface numbers. The wiggle room for the pitchers shades the Under, and the weather report in Cincinnati calls for a cooled-off evening.

BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-130).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The league-worst Cincinnati Reds (3-22) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (10-14) for the opener of a 4-game series at Great American Ball Park Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincinnati has been swept in 3 straight series. It split its opening series with the Atlanta Braves 2-2 and has gone 1-20 since. The Reds are off to one of the worst starts in MLB history.

The Pirates enter off a split of a 2-game series with the Detroit Tigers and lost 2 of 3 outings to the San Diego Padres in the series before that.

This is the first meeting between the Reds and Pirates this season.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP JT Brubaker vs. RHP Connor Overton

Brubaker (0-2, 6.20 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 20 1/3 IP.

  • Hasn’t made it past the 5th inning in any start, but hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in any of his last 3 outings.
  • Pittsburgh is 3-2 in his 5 starts.

Overton (0-0, 1.69 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 2 BB with 3 K across 5 1/3 IP.

  • Overton made his season debut in a 4-3 loss at the Colorado Rockies Saturday.
  • The 28-year-old only has 4 starts in his MLB career and joined the Reds in the offseason after finishing last year with the Pirates.

Pirates at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:13 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Pirates -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+122) | Reds +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Pirates 4

Money line

LEAN to the REDS (+110).

While the Reds are the worst team in baseball they head home after 5 road games and have a pitching advantage. Their luck will eventually change after being swept in 3 consecutive series, and today seems like that day.

Brubaker has been one of the worst pitchers in the Pirates rotation this season with 14 earned runs allowed in 20 1/3 innings. Pittsburgh ranks 21st in OPS, which indicates it isn’t exactly a strong hitting team either.

The Pirates are only averaging 3.4 runs per game over their last 7 outings.

The Reds have averaged 4 runs per game in their last 3 series, all losses. It’s been their pitching that’s the problem, and Overton could change that considering his season debut was a strong start.

The Reds are actually T-22 in home runs against right-handed pitchers while the Pirates are T-25. Cincinnati may be able to get to Brubaker.

I’ll back the REDS (+110) in this one.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Reds at home, and the Pirates are only 5-7 on the road. However, Pittsburgh -1.5 (+122) would be the only side of this with any value, but it’s only won 3 of its 10 games by more than 1 run.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (-115).

Couple Brubaker’s struggles with the Reds’ league-worst 5.16 reliever ERA, and there should be some excitement Friday at Great American.

Even if Overton pitches another gem, the Pirates should be able to score easily after he exits. Also, the Pirates rank 20th in reliever ERA, and Brubaker has yet to play more than 5 innings in a game this season.

The OVER 8.5 (-115) is the better play on the total.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (57-94) and Cincinnati Reds (78-74) play the finale of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Pirates RHP Connor Overton (0-0, 0.00) has not allowed a run on just 6 hits and 3 walks through 11 2/3 innings spanning one start and six relief appearances with the Pirates and Toronto Blue Jays.

  • Expected to be the opener for a bullpen day. Went 3 innings in his first start Thursday before returning to the bullpen for 1 inning Monday.

Reds RHP Luis Castillo (8-15, 4.08 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 through 176 1/3 IP.

  • Twirled 6 1/3 scoreless innings in a win against the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday, allowing just 5 hits and 2 walks with 10 strikeouts.
  • His win against the Dodgers was his first since Aug. 19, a span of five starts.

Pirates at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:04 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Reds -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-105) | Reds -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Reds 6, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

The REDS (-250) are the play in the series finale.

Cincinnati will benefit from facing a right-handed pitcher with little experience at GBAP. There will be a jetstream for left-handed hitters blowing out to right field at 11-14 mph, too. That’s good news for the Cincinnati hitters.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

REDS -1.5 (-115) are the play based on the pitching matchup, as Castillo looks to build on his tremendous effort last time out. He is the better pitcher in this getaway game, and the offense will back him with plenty of support.

Over/Under (O/U)

The lean is to the UNDER 8.5 (-120), based on Castillo’s outing last time he took the hill. He was lights out against a playoff-bound Dodgers side.

While I expect the Reds to get plenty of offense against the Bucs starter, the visitors will struggle trying to solve Castillo.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (41-67) and Cincinnati Reds (57-51) open a four-game series Thursday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Pirates RHP Wil Crowe (3-5, 5.40 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 71 2/3 IP in 16 games this season – he made 1 relief appearance.

  • Crowe hasn’t pitched more than 6 innings in a single start this season, but he’s fared well in his last two outings: 2-0, 1.59 ERA (2 ER, 11 1/3 IP), 5 H and 13 K.
  • In his last start, a win against the Philadelphia Phillies Friday, he allowed a season-low 1 hit in 6 innings.

Reds RHP Sonny Gray (3-6, 4.26 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 76 IP.

  • Gray has been up and down in July with a trip to the 10-day injured list. He allowed 2 or fewer runs in two July starts, but also had a 5-run game and an 8-run outing in the month.
  • He faced the Pirates May 12, allowing 1 run on 7 hits in 4 2/3 IP in a game the Reds won 5-1 in 10 innings.

Pirates at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:38 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Reds -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-102) | Reds -1.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Reds 6, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

This is a matchup between the league’s sixth-best and last-ranked scoring offenses. The Pirates are 30th in runs and 19th in hits, while the Reds are sixth and fifth, respectively.

Pittsburgh is 3-7 in its last 10 games, losing all seven games by 2 or more runs. I like the Reds (-250) to win, but the spread comes at a high price.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Reds are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games and have won six of their last eight games overall. The Pirates have covered in just three of their last 10, struggling as of late, as they have all season.

Bet the REDS -1.5 (-122) to cover the spread. They’re at home with Gray looking to build on a 1-run outing his last time on the mound.

Over/Under (O/U)

In the last five games between these two teams, the total has gone Over four times. The Over is 4-1 in the Reds’ last five home games, too.

Furthermore, the Pirates have scored 26 total runs in the last three starts by Crowe, giving him good run support.

Bet the OVER 9.5 (-102).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (1-3) and Cincinnati Reds (3-1) play the second of a three-game set Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET at the Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trevor Cahill is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He was 1-2 with a 3.24 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 and 5.0 BB/9 in 25 IP across six starts and five relief appearances in 2020 with the San Francisco Giants. He hasn’t faced the Reds since June 26, 2019, when he allowed two hits and a walk in two scoreless innings of relief as a member of the Los Angeles Angels.

LHP Wade Miley is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He was 0-3 with a 5.65 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 5.7 BB/9 in 14 1/3 IP in four starts and two relief appearances last season. He hasn’t faced the Pirates since Sept. 23, 2018, when he was a member of the Milwaukee Brewers. He was 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and .305 opponent batting average in 14 innings across three starts against the Pirates in 2018.

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Pirates at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Reds -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-145) | Reds -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Reds 6, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

The REDS (-155) are moderate favorites here behind their fifth starter Miley, but they’re a good play. The Pirates (+125) haven’t faced a southpaw yet this season, and they might not be looking forward to their first try in 2021. Also, their best hitter, 3B Ke’Bryan Hayes (wrist) landed on the injured list. The Bucs are just 16-35 across the past 51 games against a left-handed starting pitcher.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The REDS -1.5 (+120) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line. They have won three straight hitting the run line in each. It was a close shave on Monday, though, as the Reds needed some late-inning heroics against the Pirates +1.5 (-145) bullpen to push bettors across the line.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 9 (-115) is a great play. Yes, Cincinnati has hit the Over in three of its four games to date, but the Under cashed in the series opener with Pittsburgh.

The Pirates are struggling to put up runs, averaging just 3.0 runs per game, and they have played just seven runs over the past three outings since their lone win, a 5-3 opener at Chicago Cubs.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (1-2) and Cincinnati Reds (2-1) meet Monday evening at 6:40 p.m. ET to open a three-game NL Central set at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP JT Brubaker draws this start for the Pirates. In 2020, he went 1-3 with a 4.94 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, and 3.2 BB/9 in 47 1/3 IP over 11 appearances. He was dinged up by hard contact in Grapefruit League action.

RHP Jose De Leon is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He went 0-0 with an 18.00 ERA, 2.83 WHIP, 15.0 K/9, and 16.5 BB/9 in 6 IP over five relief appearances in 2020. The 28-year-old is in the Reds’ rotation due to an injury to RHP Sonny Gray (back). He has a history of wildness, and registered a bout with gopher-itis in the spring (5 home runs allowed).

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Pirates at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Reds -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-155) | Reds -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Reds 6, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

Going by preseason win totals, you would have to be really down on De Leon not to like the Reds at this price. Preseason win totals had Cincinnati at 81.5 and Pittsburgh at 59.5. Last season, the Reds bludgeoned the Pirates, 46 runs to 27, in 10 meetings and won the season series 7-3.

In batting splits, Pittsburgh scuffled against right-handers last season (a low-contact .612 OPS). The Reds were at their best against righties with .733 OPS.

The Pirates bullpen bolsters that last nugget; when Brubaker exits, it’s a heavily right-leaning corps of relievers behind him. Bullpen availability at the top end favors Cincinnati coming into this series.

Peg this one as a strong-signal play (at least for an early-season tilt) on the REDS (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Cincinnati dominated Pittsburgh in the runs department last year but this starting pitching matchup brings too much gray area into the equation.

This run-line play brings in extra juice for the house and a PASS is recommended.

Over/Under (O/U)

Walks, home runs, wind out, warmed-up Midwest, Pittsburgh ‘pen playing to Cincy strengths.

Again — gray area on the starters chips away at the strength of the play, but consider some partial-unit action on the OVER 9 (-120).

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