Phoenix Raceway odds picks predictions best bets

2023 United Rentals Work United 500: What you need to know

Penske Racing’s Joey Logano won the NASCAR Cup Series title, taking checkers at Phoenix Raceway on Nov. 6 to close out the 2022 season.

Logano has 3 Cup wins at Phoenix, while leading 908 laps in his 28 career starts with a 12.7 Average-Finish Position (AFP).

Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick has managed 9 career Cup wins at Phoenix in 40 starts, posting an 8.7 AFP with 1,663 laps led.

Kyle Busch (3) and Denny Hamlin (2) are the only active drivers with multiple Cup wins at Phoenix besides Logano and Harvick.

Penske’s Ryan Blaney has the best AFP (12.6) among active Cup drivers who have never won at Phoenix. He does have 5 top-5 finishes, and 9 top-10 runs with 429 laps led in 14 Cup starts.

Hendrick’s Alex Bowman has had a difficult time on the flat track in Arizona, posting a rough 23.8 AFP in 15 career Cup starts with just a single top-10 finish and 3 DNFs.

Michael McDowell has been terrible in his career at Phoenix, posting a dismal 30.6 AFP in 24 career starts with 7 DNFs.

Josh Berry will fill in again at Phoenix for the injured Chase Elliott (tibia). He was 29th at Las Vegas last week behind the wheel of the No. 9 Hendrick Chevrolet.

2023United Rentals Work United 500 – Expert pick(s)

Hendrick’s KYLE LARSON (+400) is the chalk, and he is hungry to get back to Victory Lane. He was lurking at LVMS last week, running hard, but he just came up short in the runner-up position while leading a season-high 63 laps.

Larson has a win and 6 top-5 finishes with 181 laps led at Phoenix in his 17 career Cup starts while posting a 12.2 AFP.

If you don’t want to bet the favorite, SHR’s KEVIN HARVICK (+1000) is the next best bet. He finished 5th at California, and 9th at Las Vegas, and now he heads to arguably the best track in his Cup career.

Happy has dominated at this track, posting the 9 wins, 19 top-5 runs and 29 top-10 finishes with 1,663 laps led. His 8.7 AFP is best among all drivers, with Hamlin the next closes at 10.5.

2023 United Rentals Work United 500 prop pick

TOP-10 FINISH: BRAD KESELOWSKI (+250)

Keselowski had a brutal 2022 season in his first campaign with RFK Racing. The driver of the No. 6 machine has shown some signs of life during the early going of 2023, posting a 7th-place finish at Auto Club. He was running well last week at Las Vegas, but he brought it home 17th after a promising day.

Keselowski has led 49 laps in the first 3 races this season, and he is primed and ready to make noise at Phoenix. A top-10 finish will help earn multiply your initial wager by more than 2 times, and it is certainly worth a roll of the dice.

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The NASCAR Cup Series is at Phoenix Raceway Sunday for the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3 p.m. ET (NBC). Below we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds, and make our NASCAR picks and predictions.

2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship: What you need to know

The Championship 4 is set, with Joe Gibbs Racing’s Christopher Bell, TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, Hendrick Motorsports’ Chase Elliott and Penske Racing’s Joey Logano vying for the title
Stewart-Haas Racing’s Chase Briscoe posted a victory in the Ruoff Mortgage 500 on March 13 in Phoenix in the 1st stop of the season
As for the title contenders in that March race: Chastain finished 2nd, Logano 8th, Elliott 11th and Bell 26th
Chastain topped the charts in the 1st practice session Friday with an average speed of 133.240 mph; Logano took the pole Saturday with a 134.389 lap time
While Chastain was a runner-up in March in Phoenix, he has the worst Average-Finish Position (AFP) among the Championship 4 drivers at 20.5 in 8 Cup starts
On the flip side, Logano has 2 career wins in Phoenix with a 13.1 AFP, and Elliott has 1 win in Avondale with a solid 10.7 AFP
Bell has 5 career Cup runs under his belt at the Arizona track, posting just 2 top-10 finishes, 0 laps led and a middling 17.0 AFP
SHR’s Kevin Harvick leads all active drivers with 9 wins in 39 career Cup starts at Phoenix, posting a leading 8.7 AFP with 1,663 laps led
Hendrick’s Alex Bowman has really struggled on the flat track at Phoenix, posting a dismal 23.1 AFP in 14 career Cup starts with 0 top-5 finishes, just one top-10 run and 3 DNFs

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2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:26 a.m. ET.

JOEY LOGANO (+280) is looking for his 2nd career Cup Series championship after securing the title at Homestead-Miami Speedway in 2018. He has 2 career wins in Phoenix, and is the most experienced of the Championship 4 drivers, with Elliott closely on his tails. I expect it to come down to those 2 drivers for all the marbles.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+230) isn’t as good of a value as Logano, but he is just as strong of a contender for the title. He looks to match Logano with a 2nd Cup championship after bringing home the title to Dawsonville, Ga., with a win in 2020 at this very same track.

2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship – Contenders

KEVIN HARVICK (+1500) would be a great choice to crash the Championship 4 party and secure the win. He has 9 career victories on the flat track in Avondale, while the rest of the field combined has 12 total wins at the track. Harvick has made 39 career starts at Phoenix Raceway, posting 18 top-5 finishes, 28 top-10 runs and 1,663 laps led with an 8.7 AFP.

2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship – Long-shot pick

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+5000) had a horrendous season in 2022, failing to make the playoffs. However, he is worth a look as a long-shot play in Phoenix. He has a win with 6 top-5 finishes and 14 top-10 runs with a 15.6 AFP in 33 career Cup Series starts. A small-unit bet could pay off handsomely if he can take checkers.

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