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The NASCAR season wraps up at Phoenix Raceway Sunday with the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET (NBC) for the final start of the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race: What you need to know

After 9 playoff races, including 3 elimination races, Ryan Blaney, Joey Logano, Tyler Reddick and William Byron make up the final 4 as they’ll compete to win the Cup title Sunday.
Team Penske driver Ryan Blaney aims for a 2nd consecutive NASCAR Cup Series championship. He had the best practice time with a 132.480 mph top speed heading into Sunday’s race, in which he’ll start 17th.
Hendrick Motorsports’ William Byron was also sharp in practice, posting a best speed of 132.004 mph, as he vies for his 1st Cup title. He’ll start 8th.
Penske’s Joey Logano qualified 2nd with a time of 134.69 mph. He’s aiming for his 3rd NASCAR Cup Series championship, all since 2018.
23XI Racing driver Tyler Reddick qualified 10th as he looks for his 1st series title. He was just 21st in practice with a best speed of 130.795 mph.
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr., who is retiring from full-time NASCAR competition after this race, won the pole with a speed of 134.741 mph. He has 1 win in 37 career starts in Phoenix with 6 top-5’s out of his 16 top-10’s.
Blaney has never won at Phoenix, but he leads all Championship 4 drivers with a 10.9 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 17 career Cup starts at the flat track. He has finished inside the top 5 on 8 occasions, leading 431 laps with 2 DNFs.
Byron has a checkered flag in his 13 Cup races at Phoenix, while posting 7 top-10 finishes and 186 laps led with 0 DNFs and a 93.6 Average Driver Rating.
Logano leads all Championship 4 drivers with 3 checkered flags in Avondale, while posting 8 top-5 runs and 16 top-10 finishes with 908 laps led and 3 DNFs with a 13.5 AFP in 31 career Cup starts.
Reddick has just 9 Cup starts in his career at the Arizona flat track, going for only 2 top-5 finishes and 3 top-10 runs with 1 DNF and a dismal 82.6 Average Driver Rating.
JGR driver Denny Hamlin has a 10.8 AFP in 38 career Cup starts with 16 top-5 finishes and 936 laps led at Phoenix. He’ll start 14th.
Hendrick’s Kyle Larson has a win and 8 top-5 finishes in 20 career Cup starts with 382 laps led and a 97.2 Average Driver Rating. He’ll start 4th.

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NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated at 3:11 a.m. ET.

RYAN BLANEY (+250) is the safe play. He won the championship last season, finishing as the runner-up in the season finale to Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, who wasn’t in the final 4 picture. In fact, Blaney and Chastain made contact after a late-race restart last season.

There is safety in numbers here, too. Team Penske has won the past 2 championships. Blaney has his teammate Logano to work with. Now, if it comes down to those 2 in the final lap, obviously all bets are off. But they can each help each other get into a better and safe position during the early to middle laps.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race – Contender

TYLER REDDICK (+1300) didn’t get into the Championship 4 by accident. He is a good driver, even though his results at Phoenix Raceway over his career haven’t been great. In practice, Reddick was just 21st with a 130.795 mph, so he has work to do.

In 9 career Cup starts at the flat track in Phoenix, Reddick has managed just 2 top-5 finishes, 3 top-10 runs and only 5 placements inside the top 20, posting 72 laps led, 1 DNF and a mediocre 82.6 Average Driver Rating.

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2024 Shriner’s Children 500: What you need to know

Penske Racing’s Joey Logano topped the charts in Friday’s practice session with a best speed of 131.167 mph and qualified 23rd

Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin grabbed the pole position with a qualifying time of 132.655 and was 2nd in practice with a best speed of 131.081 mph, just ahead of 23XI Racing’s Tyler Reddick at 131.066 mph

Hamlin leads all active drivers with a 10.8 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 37 career Cup starts at Phoenix, posting 2 wins, 16 top-5 finishes, 22 top-10 finishes and 868 laps led

JGR’s Ty Gibbs struggled in his first 2 Phoenix Cup starts, turning in finishes of 21st and 28th. He’ll start 2nd after a qualifying time of 132.227 mph

Richard Childress Racing’s Kyle Busch has 3 wins, 12 top-5 finishes, 26 top-10 runs and a circuit-best 1,190 laps led at Phoenix in his 37 career Cup starts, posting a solid 10.9 AFP

Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain won the most recent stop at Phoenix in November, starting from the 8th position

The past 7 winners, and 12 of the previous 13, have started 10th or higher

Penske’s Austin Cindric has struggled in Phoenix, posting a dismal 23.8 AFP in 4 Cup starts

Hendrick’s Alex Bowman has just 2 top-10 finishes in 17 career Cup starts at Phoenix, while posting a dismal 22.5 AFP with 3 DNFs

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2024 Shriner’s Children 500 – Expert pick

JOEY LOGANO (+1100) has been doing well in practice and in qualifying so far this season, but something has gone wrong on race day. He was a respectable 9th last week at Las Vegas, but he was 32nd at the Daytona 500 and 28th in Atlanta. He has been running too good to stay out of Victory Lane for much longer.

Logano is tied with Kyle Busch with the most active wins (3) at Phoenix, and he had 8 top-5 finishes and 16 top-10 runs with 908 laps led in his 30 career Cup starts with a 12.8 AFP.

2024 Shriner’s Children 500 – Contender

KYLE BUSCH (+3000) has super long odds despite tremendous success at this track. Again, he is tied with Logano for the most wins at Phoenix among active drivers. Perhaps the books are a little bearish on Busch after he qualified 31st.

Look at the bigger picture, however, and take Busch based on his previous history at the track, not just one poor handful of laps.

Check out Motorsports Wire: For the auto racing fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website covers NASCAR, F1, IndyCar and more.

Tag: Phoenix Raceway odds Phoenix Raceway predictions Phoenix Raceway best bets

2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race odds, picks and predictions

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race: What you need to know

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race – Expert pick

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race – Contender

2024 Shriner’s Children 500 odds, picks and predictions

2024 Shriner’s Children 500: What you need to know

2024 Shriner’s Children 500 – Expert pick

2024 Shriner’s Children 500 – Contender

2024 Shriner’s Children 500 prop picks

KYLE BUSCH TOP-10 FINISH (+100)