Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Phoenix Mercury at Minnesota Lynx odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Phoenix Mercury (8-7) visit the Minnesota Lynx (12-3) Saturday. Tip from Target Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mercury vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

Phoenix has won back-to-back games after taking down New York and covering as a 5-point home underdog on Tuesday. C Brittney Griner and G Diana Taurasi each scored a team-high 19 points while 6 Mercury players scored in double figures. The Mercury shot 55.1% from the field and 50% from 3 in the win.

Minnesota has won 5 games in a row after taking down Atlanta 68-55 on Wednesday and covering as a 9.5-point home favorite. F Napheesa Collier scored a game-high 16 points while F Dorka Juhasz (10, 11 rebounds) had a double-double. The Lynx shot 35.5% from the field in the win.

Mercury at Lynx odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mercury +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Lynx -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mercury +5.5 (-110) | Lynx -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 165.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mercury at Lynx picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 84, Mercury 76

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Lynx (-225) to win its 6th straight game.

Against the spread

BET LYNX -5.5 (-110).

The Lynx have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games as single-digit favorites. They have won 8 of their last 9 games with 7 of the 8 wins coming by double digits including their last game against the Mercury in which they won by 24 points.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 165.5 (-110).

Both the Mercury and Lynx have hit the Under in 6 of their last 10 games with the each team scoring 87 or fewer points in 7 of their last 10. Minnesota has held opponents to 78 or fewer in each of its last 3 and 7 of its last 9.

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New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (12-2) and Phoenix Mercury (7-7) meet Tuesday at the Footprint Center in Phoenix. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Liberty lead 1-0

The Liberty opened a current 2-game West Coast swing with a 90-82 win at the Las Vegas Aces Saturday in a WNBA Finals rematch. New York won outright as a 2.5-point underdog, improving to 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 games, while the Over has a slight 4-3 edge in the previous 7 outings despite the Under (174) hanging on in Vegas.

The Mercury played the Liberty tough in the 1st head-to-head meeting this season, played May 29 at Barclays Center. New York held on for an 81-78 win as a 14-point underdog and the Under (173) cashed.

Phoenix has won 3 of the past 4 games, while covering 4 in a row. The Over has a slight 2-1 edge in the Mercury’s past 3 games, but the Under is 6-3 across the previous 9 outings.

Liberty at Mercury odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Mercury +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread: Liberty -4.5 (-115) | Mercury +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 170.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Liberty at Mercury picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 83, Mercury 80

Moneyline

New York (-225) will cost 2.25 times the potential return. That’s a bit risky given how close the 1st meeting was on its home floor against Phoenix in late May.

Of course, you can’t trust the Mercury (+180) straight up, either, as the Liberty have won 12 of 14 games. New York always finds a way to win, even when it might not be at its best.

PASS and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

PHOENIX +4.5 (-105) is a solid play on its home floor.

New York is 5-1 ATS in the past 6 games, so this is a slightly risky play. However, Phoenix covered in the May 29 game, and it is on a 4-0 ATS run, while cashing in 3 in a row on its home floor.

The Mercury hold a slight 3-2 ATS edge in the past 5 meetings in this series, too, even with the Liberty winning 4 in a row outright.

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Over/Under

UNDER 170.5 (-110) is a solid play in this West vs. East battle.

In this series, we’ve seen the Under go 5-1 in the past 6 meetings, including the May battle in Brooklyn, while total has gone Under at a 7-2 clip in the past 9 in the series.

The Under has a slight 3-2 edge for the Liberty in the past 5 games, while going 5-1 in the past 6 on the road.

For the Mercury, the Under has cashed in 4 of the past 6 outings, while going 3-1 in the previous 4 contests at home.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces (5-5) and Phoenix Mercury (6-6) meet Thursday in a Commissioner’s Cup game at Footprint Center in Phoenix. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Aces suffered a 100-86 loss at home to the Minnesota Lynx as a 7-point favorite Tuesday. It was the 3rd straight setback for Las Vegas, who has dropped 3 in a row for the first time since 2019.

The Aces have allowed 98.0 PPG in the past 2 games, the most points allowed in consecutive games by Las Vegas since allowing 108.5 PPG in a home-and-home with the New York Liberty July 6-12, 2022.

The Mercury posted a 97-90 win in overtime on the road against the Dallas Wings Sunday. Phoenix has won and covered consecutive games for the first time since a 3-game win streak from May 18-23, which included a 98-88 road win against the Aces on May 21 as a 13.5-point underdog.

Phoenix has won just the one game May 21 in the past 10 tries against Las Vegas. However, the Mercury have covered 3 in a row in the series since Sept. 10, and the Over is 6-1 in the previous 7 meetings.

Aces at Mercury odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Aces -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Mercury +198 (bet $100 to win $198)
  • Against the spread: Aces -5.5 (-110) | Mercury +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 170 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Aces at Mercury picks and predictions

Prediction

Mercury 93, Aces 89

Moneyline

PHOENIX (+198) is a tremendous value at home, as you can nearly double up with a win by the home side.

Las Vegas (-250) is struggling badly, especially at the defensive end, and facing a Mercury team that dropped 98 on it earlier in the season at Mandalay Bay won’t help matters.

Against the spread

PHOENIX +5.5 (-110) is worth playing if you still can’t bring yourself to bet against Las Vegas -5.5 (-110) despite its recent woes.

The Merc have covered 3 of the past 4 outings, while going a respectable 3-2 ATS in 5 games at the Footprint Center this season, including covers in the past 2.

The Aces are not only losing outright, but as you’d imagine, they’re not covering, either. Las Vegas is 0-3 ATS in the 3-game losing skid, and just 3-7 ATS on the season.

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Over/Under

OVER 170 (-108) is a solid play until the Aces can prove they’re past their defensive woes.

The Over has hit in back-to-back games, with Las Vegas going for 89.0 PPG, while allowing 98.0 PPG. The offense is good for 86 or more points on 7 of 10 occasions.

The Mercury hit the Over last time out in an OT road win in Dallas, and they cashed high in the most recent meeting with Las Vegas May 21.

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New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (24-7) visit the Phoenix Mercury (9-21) Friday at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ION Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Liberty were humbled Thursday in a 88-75 road loss to the Las Vegas Aces. New York had won its last 2 matchups versus the league leaders, including the Commissioner’s Cup Tuesday night. It was the first loss in 7 games for New York in regular-season play, and it had a 4-game cover streak snapped.

The Mercury suffered an 81-71 loss to the Seattle Storm on the road last time out on Sunday, but Phoenix is playing a little better. The Merc have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) across the past 6 outings.

These teams last met on July 5 in Brooklyn, as the Liberty won 99-95. However, the Mercury easily covered as a 15-point underdog while the Over (167) also comfortably connected. New York also won a home meeting on June 18 by an 89-71 score, covering as a 15-point favorite as the Under (163) came through.

Liberty at Mercury odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100) | Mercury +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -12.5 (-115) | Mercury +12.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 165.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Liberty at Mercury picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 86, Mercury 75

Moneyline

The Liberty (-1200) would cost you 12 times your potential return, and that’s simply too much risk and not nearly enough return, even though New York is the much better team, and it has won the first 2 meetings this season.

PASS.

Against the spread

PHOENIX +12.5 (-105) is worth a look as I think the Mercury keep this one fairly close. New York should have a little bit of a hangover after playing a marquee team in the 2 previous games in Las Vegas.

The Liberty failed to cover in their only game this season when working on no rest.

The Mercury are 6-1 ATS in the past 7 home games and they’re 4-0 ATS in the past 4 against Eastern Conference foes.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 165.5 (-110) is a solid play.

The total has gone low in 6 of the past 7 regular-season outings for the Liberty and 7-1 in their last 8 games overall. The Under is 6-0 in their past 6 against Western Conference foes and 5-1 in their last 6 games on the road.

The Under has been the rule for these teams, going 9-5 so far this month and cashing 5 of their last 7 meetings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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