Tag: Phillies Nationals odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (54-53) continue a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (49-58) Wednesday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chase Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. Anderson is 2-4 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 7.0 K/9, and 3.9 BB/9 in 44 IP in eight starts and five relief appearances.

  • Has been hurt by an 11.7% home run/fly ball rate and 61.5% LOB rate which are exacerbated by a relatively low ground-ball rate (35.7%).
  • In limited work has held current Washington bats to an aggregate .564 OPS. Has allowed 2 ER on 6 base runners in 7 IP vs. the Nats this season.
  • Owns a .687 OPS on the road since 2019.

RHP Paolo Espino is the projected starter for the Nationals. He is 3-2 with a 3.08 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 6.8 K/9, and 1.6 BB/9 in 61 1/3 IP in a swingman role across eight starts and 16 relief appearances.

  • Has been good in his home starts allowing 6 ER through 29 IP.
  • Solid numbers of late (4 ER in last 15 1/3 IP) come alongside generous BABIP figures.

Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Nationals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+140) | Nationals +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

Philadelphia has taken the first two games of this series. Washington owns .820 OPS since July 6.

The starting pitcher matchup is a gray area for Game 3. Recent success and surface numbers lean toward Espino and the Nats, but underlying peripherals point to some value with Anderson and the Phils.

The veteran hurler has done well to limit hard contact of late. Washington’s lefty bats do a lot of damage (.793 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers), but Anderson is the rare righty who has better stuff vs. lefty bats (career .683 OPS allowed, .648 this season).

Neither bullpen is any great shakes, but the Nationals relief corps has been a mess of late. They own an 8.01 ERA in the second half.

BACK THE PHILLIES (-105).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the juice-drowned prices here and focus on the near pick ’em on the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Washington puts up solid offensive numbers at home, and the Nats own good second-half numbers in broad offensive categories.

Heading into Tuesday, the Phils owned an .830 OPS over their last 12 contests on the road.

This whole series has set up for Overs, and so far the Over is 2-for-2.

BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-102).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (53-53) continue a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (49-57) Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zack Wheeler is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. Through 21 starts this season, the veteran hurler is 8-6 with a 2.45 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 across 139 2/3 IP.

  • Has been ultra-consistent while giving the Phillies 7-plus innings in nine of his last 13 starts (2.20 ERA over that stretch).
  • Has logged a career-best 12.7% swinging-strike rate and has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 5.2-to-1.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. He is 6-9 with a 5.78 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 through 109 IP over 20 starts.

  • Going through a rough stretch of late and owns a 7.18 over his last 26 1/3 IP (five starts).
  • Facing the Phillies for a second straight start; allowed 4 ER on 8 hits (including 3 homers) over 5 IP Thursday. Philadelphia batters own an aggregate .771 career OPS against him.

Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (-108) | Nationals +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

Philadelphia — which won Monday’s series opener 7-5 —  is tough on left-handed pitching with .7561 OPS. Washington — owner of an overall .830 OPS since July 6 — has logged a league-leading .807 OPS against southpaws but a mere .729 mark against righties.

Wheeler has been a tremendous second-half pitcher over his career with a 2.94 ERA after the All-Star break. In his two years with the Phillies, he’s become a big-time ground-ball pitcher, and that cuts into a weakness for Washington (.667 OPS vs. ground-ball pitchers).

With Wheeler being dialed in and Corbin being an iffy proposition, the PHILLIES (-180) are a solid play in Tuesday’s contest in D.C.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS: both these clubs get mired in a lot of one-run games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Washington puts up solid offensive numbers at home and the Nats own MLB’s top second-half OPS with an .850 figure.

The Phils own an .830 OPS over their last 12 contests on the road. With both bullpens leaning toward the fatigue end on the energy-meter, Monday’s game was ripe for an Over. So is Tuesday’s.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-102).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (52-53) start a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (49-56) Monday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Ranger Suarez is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. Suarez is 5-3 with a 1.12 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, and 3.1 BB/9 in 40 1/3 IP. All 27 of his appearances have come in relief.

  • Is expected to be a starter for the balance of the season after the team’s acquisition of RHP Ian Kennedy to serve as closer. Has logged six appearances of more than 2 innings but none since July 11.
  • His ERA is buoyed by a .188 batting average on balls in play and an 85.8% left-on-base rate.

RHP Josiah Gray is the projected starter for the Nationals. Gray is a rookie who came over from the Dodgers in the RHP Max Scherzer trade. He made his first Major League start on July 25.

  • Gray has coughed up 4 home runs and 6 ER in 8 IP through one start and one relief appearance. He walked 5 and struck out 13 across the two games.
  • Is a converted shortstop who has only been pitching full-time for a few years. Called up last month after clocking just 198 Minor League innings from 2018-21.

Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Nationals 5, Phillies 4

Money line (ML)

Washington is tough on left-handed pitching, recording a league-leading .811 OPS, and righties swing the Phillies around to the lesser side of their platoon splits with a .704 OPS.

Statcast quality-of-contact numbers peg Philly as being rather lucky in their run-scoring so far; the numbers for the Nationals swing the other way.

Philadelphia is just 5-8 since July 20 and is 1-4 in road games over that stretch. The Nats are 4-2 with an .862 OPS over their last six games.

BACK THE NATIONALS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the added juice in the run line prop.

Over/Under (O/U)

Washington puts up solid offensive numbers at home and is on a nice roll with the bats. Neither bullpen should scare off an Over bettor, and both could have used a day off and figure to be tired heading into this series.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-135).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (20-17) vs. Washington Nationals (13-19) match up Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zach Eflin is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 0.6 BB/9 in 45 1/3 IP over seven starts. Eflin has gone at least 6 IP in every start this season and has walked a total of just three batters. In his last three starts, he has recorded an outstanding 23/1 K/BB in 19 1/3 IP.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 in 29 1/3 IP over six starts. Corbin has had just one good start all year, which he tossed six shutout innings against St. Louis. In the two starts before that, he allowed 15 ER in 6 1/3 IP, and in three starts since has served up six homers with a 9/7 K/BB in 17 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -110 (bet $100 to win $100) | Nationals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Nationals +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Phillies 7, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

Of all pitchers who have thrown 20 or more innings this season, Corbin is among the three worst in both ERA and FIP, at 7.36 and 7.81, respectively. While the Phillies have whiffed at the 3rd highest rate vs lefties, they are middle of the pack in terms of production (17th in wRC+, 15th in OPS).

Meanwhile, the Nationals do have OF Juan Soto back now, but he may not be enough to completely resurrect an offense that is 27th in wRC+ vs RHP as well as in runs per game. Lock in the PHILLIES -110.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Corbin has been a mess this season, as he leads the league in earned runs allowed, and his Statcast page is all blue. The Philadelphia offense is averaging 6.2 runs per game in their last five contests and should keep rolling against the struggling left-hander. The PHILLIES -1.5 (+150) are a solid value.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over has hit in four of Corbin’s six starts to this point, and there is little reason to believe he’s about to turn things around, given his poor skills. On the other side, Eflin is likely to deliver a pretty strong outing, but the Washington offense should still push across a few runs. Siding with OVER 8 (-115) is the smart play here.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (19-17) and Washington Nationals (13-18) continue a three-game NL East series Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zack Wheeler is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 3-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 9.3 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 in 47 2/3 IP over 7 starts.

This season Wheeler has upped his strikeouts while generating manageable contact. He has a would-be career-best 12.8% swinging-strike rate. Current Washington bats own a .667 OPS against him, and the Nationals are pegged to their lesser platoon numbers when facing right-handed pitching (.669 OPS).

LHP Jon Lester is the projected starter for the Nationals. In 2 starts, Lester is 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 5.4 K/9, and 3.6 BB/9 in 10 IP.

Current Philadelphia batters have pounded Lester in past meetings (.899 OPS).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Phillies at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+110) |  Nationals +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

Figure the Nats as being a value in general right now but perhaps not with Lester on the mound Wednesday.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Over is likely the best play in this contest. Heading into this series, Washington had a .748 OPS over the last two weeks; Philly had a .635 mark. Wheeler is coming off a season-high 118 pitches in his last.

Consider a partial-unit play on the NATIONALS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Much more is expected from both these offenses. Both have had a tough slate of opposing pitchers so far.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (18-17) and Washington Nationals (13-17) open a three-game NL East series Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chase Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 1-3 with a 5.54 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7.3 K/9, and 4.9 BB/9 in 26 IP over 6 starts.

Anderson has been battling control problems; he’s walked 9 batters over his last 14 IP. Current Washington bats own a high-contact .958 OPS against him.

RHP Erick Fedde is the projected starter for the Nationals. He is 2-3 with a 5.27 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 9.2 K/9, and 4.3 BB/9 in 27 1/3 IP over 6 starts. Fedde coughed up 5 runs in his last start.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cubs at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Monday at 11:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Phillies +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-185) |  Phillies +1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Phillies 3

Money line (ML)

Washington comes into this series after losing 2-of-3 to the New York Yankees over the weekend, and the Nats have lost four of their last six.

Philadelphia is on the second leg of a three-city road trip. The Phillies dropped 2-of-3 at Atlanta to start the trip, and they’re just 5-11 (with a minus-22 run differential) on the road. The Phillies won last year’s season series against the Nats, 7-3.

Fedde was serviceable in the three outings preceding his last. These are two offenses headed in different ways of late (last two weeks: Nationals .748 OPS, Phillies .635 OPS).

BACK THE NATIONALS (-130).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on a run line loaded down with a lot of juice.

Over/Under (O/U)

Cool night in D.C. Wind in from left-center. A scuffling Philadelphia offense and two rested bullpens.

BACK THE UNDER 9 (-120).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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