The Philadelphia Phillies (61-57) kick off a six-game road trip Tuesday with the first game of three against the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-81). First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Phillies RHP Kyle Gibson (8-4, 3.12 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the year and third since joining the Phillies. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 130 IP.
- Gibson allowed 6 earned runs over 4 1/3 innings out of the bullpen in his last appearance. He won each of his two starts since being traded to the Phillies from the Texas Rangers.
- Allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 17 of his starts this season.
The Diamondbacks had not announced the starter for Tuesday’s game at the time of publishing. LHP Caleb Smith (4-8, 5.17 ERA) originally would have drawn the start but was moved to the bullpen. He’s still an option to start as an opener.
Diamondbacks starters have a combined 5.35 ERA while the relief corps has a 5.33 ERA.
Phillies at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Phillies -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)
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Prediction
Phillies 6, Diamondbacks 3
Money line (ML)
The Phillies won 10 of their last 15 games, including each of their last five on the road. They are in the thick of the playoff race while 1.5 games behind the NL East-leading Atlanta Braves.
The Diamondbacks are coming off an 8-2 loss to the San Diego Padres Sunday but took three out of four games at home in that series. They still have the worst record in MLB and the second-worst home record at 24-36.
Take the PHILLIES (-133).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Phillies are 57-60 ATS this season and 28-29 ATS on the road. They are 8-6 ATS in their last 14 games.
The Diamondbacks covered the spread in three of their last four games and four of their last six. They are 33-27 ATS at home.
They have been playing better recently, but the uncertainty of who will start combined with the overall play of Gibson this season has me leaning toward Philly.
Take the PHILLIES -1.5 (+122).
Over/Under (O/U)
More than 60% of the games at Chase Field this season have gone Over the projected total. Only two of the last nine games for the Phillies had a total of 9 or more runs.
Half of Arizona’s last eight games finished with at least 9 runs.
Take OVER 8.5 (-135).
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