Tag: Philip Rivers bets

Over/Under: Projecting Indianpolis Colts QB Philip Rivers’ stats

Projecting Philip Rivers’ 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Today we focus on Indianapolis Colts QB Philip Rivers’ projected passing numbers and how they match up against future odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Philip Rivers’ stats history

Rivers is one of the most consistently productive passers in the NFL. He hasn’t missed a start since he took the reins in 2006. He has had at least 4,200 passing yards in all but one season since 2009 and has had fewer than 4,300 only three times in those 11 seasons. He now will play his first season with the Colts after 16 with the San Diego/Los Angeles Chargers.

Many will say his play has diminished, as threw 20 interceptions in 2019 and for only 23 touchdown passes, his lowest total since 2007.

That said, playing for coaches he knows – as some on the Indy staff used to coach for the Chargers – there is no reason to believe he will significantly decline in his production, especially considering his durability.

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Philip Rivers’ projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, April 18 at 12:25 a.m. E.T.

Passing Yards: 4,199.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

At the time of this publishing, there is no line for Rivers’ total touchdown passes, so this is a very easy bet to make. Take the OVER and run with it without looking back. Colts QB Andrew Luck, who retired in the offseason, threw for more than 4,500 passing yards in 2018 with Frank Reich as head coach. Rivers is significantly better than Jacoby Brissett, who started 15 games in 2019. Rivers passing for at least 4,200 yards is all but a lock in 2020.

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Odds on where QB Philip Rivers signs in free agency

Forecasting where will quarterback Philip Rivers will sign in NFL free agency.

Last month, the Los Angeles Chargers announced that they would be moving on from quarterback Philip Rivers, who has been the face of the franchise since the early 2000s. Now, Rivers is set to hit the free-agent market for the first time in his NFL career. Today, we are looking at where he will play football in 2020 and analyze the odds for each potential destination.

Indianapolis Colts (-150)

The betting favorite to land Rivers is the Indianapolis Colts. After Jacoby Brissett was given the keys to the franchise in 2019, the team is looking to potentially upgrade their quarterback situation. And given that head coach Frank Reich worked with Rivers in San Diego, the fit makes the most sense.

Rivers would play behind one of the league’s best offensive lines and in a system that fits his skill set. The Colts know he wouldn’t be their long-term answer at quarterback, but it would buy them some time as they have a roster that is ready to compete in the AFC South. Despite the chalky odds, don’t be afraid to bet heavily on Rivers ending up in Indianapolis. There are also reports that people around the NFL Scouting Combine believe that’s where he’ll end up.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+175)

After the Colts, the Buccaneers have the highest odds to land Rivers, partly due to Jameis Winston’s contract expiring. Rivers would make some sense in Tampa Bay, given the weapons that they have at their disposal. However, the fit feels clunky as Rivers doesn’t have the arm talent anymore to thrive in Bruce Arians’ scheme. But if the Buccaneers just want to find a stopgap quarterback, Rivers does make some sense. But at +175, avoid this bet as there is just too much risk.

Get some action on this prop bet or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.

Carolina Panthers (+800)

Next up is the Carolina Panthers, who appear to be a team that might be hitting the reset button as a franchise. Quarterback Cam Newton is coming off two major injuries, and there is a new coaching staff in place. If the Panthers decide to move on from Newton this offseason, Rivers would provide them some veteran leadership at the position until Matt Rhule found “his” guy. But with the Panthers likely rebuilding, expect them to pass on Rivers and potentially draft a player in the first round instead.

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Monday at 12:30 p.m. E.T.

Chicago Bears (+1000)

One team that could desperately use Rivers’ services is the Chicago Bears. It’s obvious to most, but Mitchell Trubisky doesn’t appear to be the answer at quarterback for the Bears. However, the rest of the roster is ready to go, and it’s their quarterback who is holding them back. At +1000, this is a solid bet as there is a clear need at quarterback for the Bears, and Rivers shouldn’t be all that expensive. Don’t be afraid to make this bet instead of the Buccaneers or Panthers.

New England Patriots (+2000)

Want a fun sleeper team to land Rivers? Look no further than the New England Patriots who could lose Tom Brady this offseason. If that is the case, the Patriots will likely look for a stop-gap quarterback to allow them to stay competitive with a ready-to-win roster. Rivers would make some sense in Josh McDaniels’ offense, and he wouldn’t break the bank. While this seems unlikely, the odds aren’t terrible. Consider this a fun longshot bet.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship, and there is no influence on news coverage.

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